OTHERS' VIEWS

OTHERS' VIEWS

SUNDAY 1-DEC

 

Hearn confirms Joshua’s 2025 return date
https://reubenabati.com.ng/sports/hearn-confirms-joshua-s-2025-return-date

Why Nigeria Needs Tax Reform – Oyedele
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/why-nigeria-needs-tax-reform-oyedele

Okpebholo, APC Jittery Over Exposure Of Systemic Rigging In Edo, Lies To Cover Fraud – Obaseki
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/okpebholo-apc-jittery-over-exposure-of-systemic-rigging-in-edo-lies-to-cover-fraud-obaseki

CBN tells Nigerians to report cash withdrawal issues from December 1, banks to face penalties
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/cbn-tells-nigerians-to-report-cash-withdrawal-issues-from-december-1-banks-to-face-penalties

Local Government Autonomy….Concerns Mount Over Non-execution Of Supreme Court Ruling
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/local-government-autonomy-concerns-mount-over-non-execution-of-supreme-court-ruling

Tinubu Tax: North’s anger grows as youths attack Deputy Senate President
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/tinubu-tax-north-s-anger-grows-as-youths-attack-deputy-senate-president

OAuGF report reveals huge financial infractions in NNPCL, NUPRC, NMDPRA
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/oaugf-report-reveals-huge-financial-infractions-in-nnpcl-nuprc-nmdpra

Rivers: N27bn IGR behind Fubara, Wike rift, INEC now APC member – Adeyanju
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/rivers-n27bn-igr-behind-fubara-wike-rift-inec-now-apc-member-adeyanju

‘I Am Against Tax Reform Bills, It Gives Some States More Advantage’ – Ningi
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/i-am-against-tax-reform-bills-it-gives-some-states-more-advantage-ningi

[STATE HOUSE PRESS RELEASE] President Tinubu Congratulates New NUJ President And Executive Team
https://reubenabati.com.ng/news/state-house-press-release-president-tinubu-congratulates-new-nuj-president-and-executive-team

[PRESS RELEASE] President Tinubu Approves Funds for UNESCO Media and Information Literacy Institute in Nigeria
https://reubenabati.com.ng/news/press-release-president-tinubu-approves-funds-for-unesco-media-and-information-literacy-institute-in-nigeria

Trump threatens 100% tariff on BRICS countries over currency plans
https://reubenabati.com.ng/news/trump-threatens-100-tariff-on-brics-countries-over-currency-plans

‘From Secular To Sacred’ - Filmmaker, Mike Bamiloye Reflects On Transformation To Gospel Drama
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/from-secular-to-sacred-filmmaker-mike-bamiloye-reflects-on-transformation-to-gospel-drama

Darey Art Alade and wife Desola mark 18th wedding anniversary
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/dare-art-alade-s-wife-deola-celebrate-18th-wedding-anniversary

Sokoto NLC Suspends Planned Strike Over ₦70,000 Minimum Wage
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/sokoto-nlc-suspends-planned-strike-over-70-000-minimum-wage

Nigeria needs collaborative leaders for national progress - Peter Obi
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/nigeria-needs-collaborative-leaders-for-national-progress-peter-obi

How Tinubu’s fiery critics became spokespersons, loyalists
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/how-tinubu-s-fiery-critics-became-spokespersons-loyalists

2027: Atiku, Obi deny joint presidential bid after reunion
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/2027-atiku-obi-deny-joint-presidential-bid-after-reunion

Tax Reform Bill: Atiku Calls For Transparency, Inclusivity In Debate
https://reubenabati.com.ng/news/tax-reform-bill-atiku-calls-for-transparency-inclusivity-in-debate

 

The recent statements by Kole Omololu, a chieftain of Afenifere, labeling former President Olusegun Obasanjo as a leader who mismanaged his presidency, are not only inaccurate but also reflect a glaring case of a prophet not recognized by his own people and a lack of appreciation for the achievements of one of Nigeria’s most impactful leaders. Omololu’s sweeping criticism, while glowing over President Tinubu’s recent economic moves, is a prime example of the proverbial saying that a prophet is never honored in his own land.

Before delving into Omololu’s critiques, it is crucial to recognize Obasanjo’s transformative leadership during his time as president from 1999 to 2007. While no administration is devoid of flaws, Obasanjo’s tenure was marked by significant strides that set Nigeria on a course toward economic recovery and democratic consolidation. Under his watch, Nigeria saw substantial debt relief, economic reforms, and efforts to stabilize a post-military democratic era.

The achievements of the Obasanjo administration are often overshadowed by selective criticism, usually from quarters unwilling to acknowledge the broader impact of his policies. The dismissal of Obasanjo’s legacy as one of failure is, therefore, not only unfair but reveals a narrow, ethnocentric perspective that disregards the complex realities of nation-building in a post-military Nigeria.

 

Could it be that Omololu’s harsh critique of Obasanjo is colored by their shared Yoruba ethnicity, making it difficult for him to objectively assess the former president’s accomplishments? It’s not unusual for people to be more critical of those who hail from their own ethnic or regional background, perhaps holding them to higher, and sometimes unrealistic, and standards. In this case, Omololu’s statements might be seen as a classic case of failing to recognize the worth of a leader who is “too close to home.”

The biblical adage that “a prophet is not recognized in his own country” rings true here. Despite Obasanjo’s enduring influence and global recognition, his achievements are often downplayed by those who should know better, perhaps because they are too familiar with his perceived flaws. This tendency to criticize one’s own kin, while embracing outsiders, is one of the complexities of Nigeria’s political landscape, where “see finish” can sometimes cloud objective judgment.

Omololu’s comparison of Tinubu’songoing brief tenure with Obasanjo’s eight-year presidency appears premature, especially when one considers the long-term impacts of governance. It is no secret that economic reforms like the removal of fuel subsidies and forex rate unification, championed by Tinubu, are necessary steps. However, they have come at a significant cost to the already impoverished Nigerian populace, leading to widespread suffering. It is one thing to praise bold economic decisions, but it is quite another to assess their real impact on the lives of ordinary Nigerians.

 

Omololu highlights the economic indicators under Tinubu, such as improvements in the Nigerian Stock Exchange and trade surplus records. Yet, these metrics do not tell the whole story. Obasanjo’s era was about laying the foundation for macroeconomic stability, debt relief, and creating a new image for Nigeria on the global stage. By contrast, Tinubu’s reforms have so far brought more pain than relief to the average Nigerian struggling with inflation and unemployment.

Omololu attempts to score points by comparing corruption ratings under Obasanjo and Tinubu. He cites Transparency International’s recent report, suggesting that Nigeria’s corruption perception has improved under Tinubu. However, reducing the complexities of corruption to mere rankings on global indices does a disservice to the broader, systemic issues Nigeria faces. Obasanjo, for all his faults, did take decisive steps to tackle corruption, including establishing the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) and the Independent Corrupt Practices Commission (ICPC), both of which remain central to Nigeria’s anti-corruption fight today.

Moreover, Omololu’s reference to the public fallout between Obasanjo and his deputy, AtikuAbubakar, as evidence of Obasanjo’s inability to manage his presidency is a shallow argument. Leadership, especially in a diverse nation like Nigeria, involves managing difficult personalities and interests. It is this very openness in Nigerian politics, where internal disagreements are aired in public,that fosters a democratic spirit, even if it sometimes appears chaotic.

 

Obasanjo’s willingness to critique the current state of affairs, including under President Tinubu, is not a reflection of bitterness or failed leadership but of his commitment to Nigeria’s progress. It takes courage and experience to speak out against the prevailing winds, especially when those winds blow from one’s own ethnic enclave.

Kole Omololu’s assertion that Obasanjo has no moral standing to criticize Tinubu is not only misplaced but also suggests a lack of historical understanding. Leaders like Obasanjo, who have seen Nigeria through its tumultuous journey, should not be silenced for the sake of political expediency. The real question is not whether Obasanjo managed his presidency perfectly but whether his criticisms, however uncomfortable, hold merit in addressing Nigeria’s current trajectory.

In the final analysis, it is crucial to remember that governance is a marathon, not a sprint. Omololu may be quick to shower praises on Tinubu’s “bold reforms,” but only time will tell if these policies truly benefit Nigeria or simply provide short-term gains with long-term consequences. Meanwhile, Obasanjo’s criticisms should not be dismissed as “habitual attention-seeking” but rather seen as part of a necessary dialogue to hold leaders accountable.

 

Indeed, a prophet is often not recognized by his own people. But history has a way of vindicating those who speak truth to power, even when their words are uncomfortable. Omololu and others may be eager to sideline Obasanjo, but the enduring legacy of Nigeria’s past leaders should not be so easily erased from the national consciousness.

Let me start by congratulating former President Olusegun Obasanjo the Balogun Owu kingdom. Going through the Bible, I came across men like Daniel called the greatly beloved of God (Daniel 10:11); Abraham, a friend of God (James 2:23); David, a man after God’s heart (Acts 13:22); Olusegun Matthew Okikiola Ogunboye Aremu Obasanjo is another personality that is known to be a beneficiary of God’s benevolence.
 
The former Head of state/President came from a Nigerian village Ibogun-Olaogun, Ifo, Ogun State, Nigeria, to the pinnacle of power on the continent. Obasanjo was Nigeria’s military head of state between 1976 and 1979 and two-time democratically elected president, from 1999 to 2007. “OBJ”, as he is widely called, is probably the most globally known and celebrated Nigerian leader.
 
I believe ‘OBJ’ laid the foundation of where we are today. Profoundly, in the words of Chief Olusegun Osoba, a Nigerian journalist and politician who served twice as governor of Ogun State first from 1992 to 1993 during the Nigerian Third Republic and then from 1999 to 2003. Osoba has accused ex-president Olusegun Obasanjo of laying the foundation for bad leadership in the country. Aremo, says “Obasanjo laid the foundation for bad leadership in Nigeria.”
 
President Obasanjo’s recent address at Yale University sparked intense criticism, with many Nigerians viewing his self-glorification as misplaced. His tenure was marked by significant opportunities to address Nigeria’s fundamental issues, but he failed to capitalize on them. Instead, he prioritized self-preservation, enrichment, and promotion.
 
Sadly, a critical example is Nigeria’s oil windfall between May 29, 1999 and May 29, 2007, and recent years. It was a bumper harvest. Unfortunately, oil became more of a curse than a blessing because of Weak institutions of state and poor governance in managing the vast revenues which led our beloved country Nigeria to fail to realize its full potential under the watch of Olusegun Obasanjo.
 
On November 15, former Head-of-State/President Olusegun Obasanjo addressed the Chinua Achebe Leadership Forum at Yale University, sharing his insights on topical issues, such as; leadership, governance, and Africa’s development. ‘OBJ’ emphasized the importance of effective leadership, accountability, and transparency in Africa’s development. Furthermore, he stressed the need to combat corruption, citing it as a major obstacle to progress in the African continent.
 
Obasanjo’s address benefited from his extensive experience as a “leader/statesman”. His call to action resonated with the audience, particularly among African youths. Obasanjo demonstrated a deep knowledge and understanding of Africa’s challenges and opportunities. However, some critics opined that Obasanjo’s address offered few new or innovative solutions.
 
Selectively, he largely glossed over his own tenure which was marked by controversies, such as; lack of accountability, corruption, profligacy, recklessness, and the attempted unconstitutional elongation of his legitimate two terms tenure, alias “third term gambit”. I tried so much to separate the message from the messenger, yet it was extremely difficult to comprehend.
 
Following from the above, Olusegun Obasanjo’s legacy is a topic of heated debate among Nigerians. Many question whether he deserves the heroism he seeks, especially considering his administration’s controversies and the perceived underperformance of subsequent regimes. Critics argue that Obasanjo’s self-portrayal as a hero is exaggerated and that his actions were often driven by personal interests rather than the nation’s well-being.
 
Some of the concerns raised about Obasanjo’s heroism include: Questionable Military Record: General Alabi-Isama, a fellow military officer, has disputed Obasanjo’s account of his military achievements, accusing him of lying about his role in the Nigeria-Biafra War. Obasanjo’s administration was marked by authoritarian tendencies, including the persecution of opponents and the suppression of dissenting voices. Critics argue that Obasanjo’s economic policies, including the privatization of state-owned enterprises, benefited his cronies rather than the Nigerian people.
 
Given these concerns, it’s understandable that many Nigerians are skeptical about Obasanjo’s claims of heroism. Some even view his attempts to portray himself as a hero as a desperate attempt to rewrite history and distract from his flaws. Ultimately, whether Obasanjo deserves heroism is a matter of personal opinion, but it’s essential to critically evaluate his legacy and consider multiple perspectives.
 
In conclusion, OBJ’s recent address at Yale University has further increased the level of agitation on failed leadership and failure to address challenges, which Obasanjo’s administration was criticized for its handling of the economy, with policies that benefited his inner circle rather than the Nigerian people. His attempts to amend the Constitution to extend his presidential tenure were widely seen as a power GRAB. The conduct of the 2007 Elections under his watch was marred by allegations of electoral malfeasance.
 
Many further argue that Obasanjo’s speeches and addresses lack fresh ideas and innovations and so offer nothing new, merely summarizing popular criticisms of Nigeria.
 
Obasanjo should, as an elder statesman that he is, be humble, and call for unity and progress rather than perpetuating self-justification and glorification. He should acknowledge his shortcomings and propose a way-forward. Nigeria’s growth and development require collaborative efforts, not individual aggrandizement.
 
Moving forward, Nigerians are determined to build a better future, despite the distractions of Obasanjo’s self-promotion. By focusing on innovative solutions and collective progress, the country can overcome its challenges and achieve greatness.
 
Finally, the responsibility of Nation-building rests squarely on the shoulders of all of us. It behooves us to find a  viable remedy for our ailing nation. For indepth insight into the myriad of problems bedevilling Nigeria and possible solutions, I recommend one of my books, ‘Nigeria Needs A New National Model’ published by Lambert Academic Publishing, Germany.

Appointments of ambassadors or high commissioners by the President is a constitutional obligation. There should not be any delay in such appointments. Section 171 of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria states that:

“(1) Power to appoint persons to hold or act in the offices to which this section applies and to remove persons so appointed from any such office shall vest in the President.

(2) The offices to which this section applies are, namely – (a) Secretary to the Government of the Federation; (b) Head of the Civil Service of the Federation; (c) Ambassador, High Commissioner or other Principal Representative of Nigeria abroad; (d) Permanent Secretary in any Ministry or Head of any Extra-Ministerial Department of the Government of the Federation howsoever designated; and (e) any office on the personal staff of the President. 

(3) An appointment to the office of the Head of the Civil Service of the Federation shall not be made except from among Permanent Secretaries or equivalent rank in the civil service of the Federation or of a State. (4) An appointment to the office of Ambassador, High Commissioner or other Principal Representative of Nigeria abroad shall not have effect unless the appointment is confirmed by the Senate.

(5) In exercising his powers of appointment under this section, the President shall have regard to the federal character of Nigeria and the need to promote national unity.

(6) Any appointment made pursuant to paragraphs (a) and (e) of subsection (2) of this section shall be at the pleasure of the President and shall cease when the President ceases to hold office;

Provided that where a person has been appointed from a public service of the Federation or a State, he shall be entitled to return to the public service of the Federation or of the State when the President ceases to hold office.”

The delay in appointing ambassadors mirrors the way this government thinks of the roles of ambassadors. Ambassadors actively manage and maintain diplomatic relations between the home country and the host. They engage in political and economic negotiations, promote bilateral cooperation and safeguards the home country’s interest in the host country. Additionally, they supervise the functioning of consulates within their jurisdiction.

They are not just mere desk officers or protocol officers whose schedule is only to hire uber vehicles for President, their relatives and other top officials. They are an integral part of government. 

Ambassadors also engage in delicate negotiations, representing their country’s policies while understanding others’ perspectives. This balancing act is crucial for successful international relations. Their work includes advocating for their home country’s political, economic, and cultural agendas abroad. Ambassadors are the voice of their nation in foreign lands, aiming to foster global partnerships. 

How can we be chasing foreign investments when ambassadors who are to play prominent roles in such negotiations have not been appointed? 

If ministers could be appointed and sworn-in three months after presidential inauguration, why delay the appointments of ambassadors?

At the 79th General Assembly of the United Nation, Nigeria made a legitimate demand for a permanent seat at the United Nations security council. At the time we made the demand, we had no permanent representative in the United Nations. What a contradiction. We undervalue the position of ambassadors in this country. We starve their embassies of funds and we pay little attention to their needs.  

We acknowledged the efforts of Mr. Walter Carrington (24 July 1930-11 August 2020), the American ambassador to Nigeria between 1993-1997 and the role he played in standing for human rights during the General Sani Abacha years. He stood firm by his principles and he was resolute in defending human rights. 

In other countries of the world, the ambassadorship is the training ground for leadership.

To be concluded…

“We eagerly anticipate the coming on stream of the Kaduna, Warri and Port Harcourt refineries before the end of this year, as promised by the Group Chief Executive Officer (GCEO) of NNPCL, Mele Kyari. This milestone will not only end baseless rumours of monopoly but also position Nigeria as a refining hub for petroleum products in Africa.”

 Dangote Group, VANGUARD, November 6, 2024. 

“Once to every man and nation comes the moment to decide, in the strife of truth and falsehood, for the good or the evil side.” — J. R Lowell, 1819-1891, VANGUARD BOOK OF QUOTATIONS, VBQ p 254.

I deliberately led off this article with the last statement by the Dangote Group in their rejoinder Press Release issued, incredibly on the very next day after the PINNACLE OIL & GAS issued its own Press Release in our paper – Vanguard.

Permit me to start by expressing my appreciation to the two companies for patronising our paper. We need every advert we can get; but Vanguard remains the most objective newspaper in Nigeria irrespective of whether the issue is politics, economics, business, religion or social. All the stakeholders – companies, government regulators, NNPCL, NGOs, activists, lawyers and, of course, the final consumers of petroleum products — engaged in the strife for truth and falsehood on the literally burning issue of fuel will have unfettered access to this paper. The ultimate fate of our country hangs on our individual and collective ability to make the right choices on this combustible matter. We have no choice.

Dangote Press Release interrogated

“An [organisation] is the lengthened shadow of one man.”

—Ralph Waldo Emerson, 1803-1882. VBQ p 105, available online.

 Every company in the Dangote Group, including those quoted on the Stock Exchange, is essentially a one-man business masquerading as something else. Even the Annual General Meetings, AGMs, amount to Alhaji Dangote holding a meeting with himself. Nothing that anybody else says, or thinks, matters. All the proposals, decisions, amendments to the Articles of Association etc, have already been approved before the other shareholders gather for the ritual. The control is absolute. That can sometimes carry unintended consequences for minority shareholders whenever Alhaji decides to bail out.

Since he controls virtually every important aspect of a company’s operations, including external communications, it can reasonably be inferred that he approved of the Press Release cited above. In that case, the last sentences , which would be regarded as “the punch line” for the rest of the rejoinder were very unfortunate. Rather than strengthen Dangote Refinery’s position, they damaged it beyond redemption. Permit me to start from “We eagerly anticipate the coming on stream of the Kaduna, Warri and Port Harcourt refineries by the end of this year…”.

 Certainly, only the people at the Dangote Refinery can possibly believe that drivel. Even if they have limited their anticipation to the Port Harcourt refinery, keen observers of the petroleum sector, since June 2023, would have been sceptical. The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, NNPCL, had promised to start supplying fuel from that refinery by December last year. Three other deadlines have been missed; and the most reliable information indicates that there might be no fuel from PH this year. The same is true of the Warri refinery. Kaduna is the worst case. The Turn-Around-Maintenance, TAM, on that one has barely got started; and, probably is stalled. Altogether, we are confronted with a huge scam perpetrated by the Ministry of Petroleum Resources, NNPCL and the contractors assigned to undertake the TAMs. Dangote Refinery people can wait, if that is their choice, but the rest of Nigerians are sick and tired of waiting for NNPCL fuel this year.

“To murder one’s reputation is a kind of suicide; a detestable and odious vice. —Henry Fielding, 1707-1754, in TOM JONES, VBQ p 213. available online.

 Calling the Group Chief Executive Officer (GCEO) of NNPCL, Mele Kyari, as his only witness was perhaps the worst blunder the Dangote Group could have committed. Bluntly stated, Mele Kyari “ has made so many false statements; failed to fulfil so many promises with regard to fuel supply from the four NNPCL-owned refineries that the man has murdered his reputation. It is simply amazing that the Dangote Group will base its rejoinder on the words of someone who has no reputation left to protect. Was it not the same Kyari who, in July this year, told a House of Representatives Committee that NNPCL would be producing 2 million barrels of crude oil by December this year? Is the country anywhere close to that output level now in November?

When the Press Release ended with the assertion that “This milestone will not only end all baseless rumours of monopoly…”,  I really felt bad for the Dangote Group; which appeared like the drowning man grasping at every water hyacinth. The truth is, there will be no milestone to end rumours about monopoly because there are other facts which buttress the charge that Dangote Refinery is gunning for monopoly for reasons too numerous to disclose here; but which go beyond the dispute with PINNACLE OIL & GAS.

Dangote at war with everybody

“War is hell.” — General Sherman, 1820-1891. VBQ p 268.

The US Army General spoke the minds of everyone who has ever been involved in armed or brand conflicts. Troubled days and sleepless nights become more frequent. Peace of mind is lost as long as it lasts.

My worst experience of brand warfare occurred in 1982; when the Board of Directors of North Brewery Limited, Kano, called me; and after thanking me for a wonderful job done with DOUBLE CROWN lager beer and increasing my remuneration package by 25 per cent, announced that they have a new assignment for me. According to the Chairman, “The Board has decided to launch a Stout brand to rival GUINNESS STOUT – which has close to 95 per cent of the market share. We want you to embark on the assignment from this minute; prepare a plan and budget. You will receive all the financial support you need.” As a professional Marketing manager, member of the American Marketing Association, AMA, at the time, I knew better than everybody in that room that I had been asked to start a war against one of the most powerful brands, in its sector, in the world. GUINNESS STOUT had for years held at least 92% of market share in any country in which it was distributed; and the Board was expecting 10 per cent share in two years. I didn’t know whether to rejoice or cry. Here was opportunity and danger wrapped up in one assignment. It was too painful to laugh; but, I was too old to cry.

Dangote might not have realised it when he embarked on building the world’s largest single train refinery in Nigeria, purportedly capable of processing 650,000 barrels of crude oil per day and supplying most of domestic needs for fuel. But, he was embarking on war because the ambition threatened other companies’ plans for expansion and survival. Certainly, no firm would abandon its own plans just because a bigger enterprise had moved to monopolise the market. The truth is, the Dangote Refinery can only survive if it operates without any competition locally….

In my column last week, I discussed how Trump’s victory could impact on Africa, noting that his presidency might not be as bad for Africa as generally thought.  This week I will explore further how his election as the 47th President of the United States could possibly affect the Russo-Ukraine war. The war has been going on since February 2022.

The general assumption is that Trump would pursue a somewhat isolationist policy within the framework of his campaign slogan of Make America Great Again, MAGA, and that he would more likely pull all the funding for Ukraine. During the campaign, Trump had derisively called Ukraine’s President, Volodymyr Zelensky, the greatest salesman in history, implying that he had through sheer marketing skills got more than he deserved from the US and other NATO members who had been supporting his war efforts.

Trump had also suggested that he could impose a blanket 20 per cent tariff on all goods imported into the U.S., with a tariff of up to 60 per cent for Chinese products and one as high as 2,000 per cent on vehicles built in Mexico. For the European Union, meanwhile, Trump has said the 27-nation bloc will pay a “big price” for not buying enough American exports.

 
 

Zelensky himself reinforced this belief that the second coming of Trump might be bad news for Ukraine when, after a telephone conversation with Trump following the latter’s electoral victory over Kamala Harris, he told his countrymen and women that he was certain that the war with Russia would “end sooner” than it would have been once Donald Trump is sworn in as the President of the United States in January 2025. “It is certain that the war will end sooner with the policies of the team that will now lead the White House. This is their approach, their promise to their citizens,” he was reported to have said in an interview with the Ukrainian media outlet, Suspilne. He added that Ukraine “must do everything so that this war ends next year, ends through diplomatic means”.  

It should be noted that the US has been the biggest arms supplier to Ukraine in the course of the war. For instance, between February 2022 when the war began to the end of June 2024, it delivered or committed to deliver weapons and equipment worth $55.5bn (£41.5bn), according to the German research organisation, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. At present the momentum in the war seems to be with the Russians. For instance, Russia is reportedly winning significant swathes of territory in eastern Ukraine. Russia’s recent seizure of the strategically important city of Vuhledar appears to have cleared the way for possible Moscow’s advances deeper into Ukraine.

It is also reported that Moscow is preparing for an offensive using about 10,000 North Korean soldiers and about 40,000 Russians in the Kursk region of Russia, where Ukrainian forces have been struggling to defend the territory they captured during the summer. With this picture in mind, it is understandable why there are apprehensions among Ukrainians and their supporters in the war. The thinking appears to be that the country should use the remaining part of the supportive Biden presidency to do whatever they can to push back the Russians and strengthen their bargaining position before Trump becomes the substantive President in January 2025 and forces them into a negotiating table. Recently, it was announced that the Biden administration has allowed Ukraine to use long-range American missiles against targets in Russia in a move that would mark a new round of tension in the war. 

There is no doubt that Trump would like to reduce or drastically cut funding to Ukraine in keeping with his campaign promise of America First. There are however other considerations that might influence his decisions on the Ukraine war:

The first is that Trump, who regards himself as the ultimate dealmaker, is a very transactional politician – and might be open to be influenced by Ukraine or the Europeans depending on the sort of ‘deal’ he is offered. The German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who spoke with Trump after the US election, alluded to this when he reportedly told the German media that the incoming US leader had a “more nuanced” position on the war than was commonly assumed. It has been suggested that Zelensky could offer two ‘deals’ to Trump: The first will be for Ukrainian troops to replace some American units in Europe after the war in order to reduce the cost of America’s commitment to NATO. The second could be opening up some of Ukraine’s resources to the US and other Western allies. Offers such as these would, however, be contingent upon Ukraine winning the war and being admitted into NATO – which at present is far from certain.

The second consideration for Trump  is geopolitical and geo strategic. South Korea, an American ally, has reportedly supplied hundreds of thousands of artillery shells to Ukraine via the United States and had also pledged a $2.3bn low-interest loan to Kyiv. South Korea is the world’s 10th-largest arms exporter and its clients already include four nations that border Russia – Poland, Estonia, Finland and Norway. The South Korean systems are meant to supplement Patriots, the advanced American air defence systems.  It is said that the South Korean laser needs nothing but electricity – and could be deployed to the Ukrainian cities that have no Patriots or similar Western or Taiwanese air defence systems. A crucial question is whether Trump would be insensitive to deals entered with Kiev by its ally South Korea in his decision on how he wants the Ukrainian war to end or even in any decision to stop funding Ukraine’s war efforts. 

Related to the above  is the report that around 10,000 North Koreans, USA’s historical enemy, has joined the war on the Russian side, with the possibility of Belarus also joining. Following the axiom that the friend to my enemy is my enemy or at least not to be trusted, the increasing collaboration between North Korea and Russia is also a factor to be taken into consideration by Trump in his decision on the Russo-Ukraine war. Similarly, claims by Ukraine’s Western allies in September 2024 that Iran, another enemy of the West, has sent short-range ballistic missiles to Russia in a major escalation – a claim Tehran has rejected as “completely baseless and false” –  will be another consideration.  

A third major consideration that could influence Trump’s decision is the Truman Doctrine that makes it an article of faith during the Cold War for the US to seek to contain Soviet expansionism. There have been signs of America’s revival of the Truman Doctrine since the Putin presidency, especially after Russia’s annexation of the Crimea in 2014. Russia has not hidden its desire to create a multipolar world in a bid to overthrow or whittle down the influence of the current Western dominated security and governance systems around the world.  Irrespective of the nature of the personal relationship between Putin and Trump, it is unlikely that Trump would not respond to a resurgent Russia’s attempt to whittle down its global influence.

As a dealmaker, Trump is likely to be looking for a deal which would reduce the US military presence in Europe, drastically cut the military assistance to Ukraine, and give Kiev a long term hope of joining NATO in exchange for territorial concessions to  Russia. In this way, Trump would be able to publicly claim that he won the peace without undermining NATO  and without  making Russia appear the outright winner in any diplomatic negotiations to end the war.

However the war ends, it will be a mixed bag for the world and Africa globally. For instance, African countries that benefit from the current Western sanctions against Russia would have to re-adjust if Western sanctions are eased while those that have been hurt by the sanctions, especially importers of wheat and fertilizers from Russia and Ukraine, may heave a sigh of relief. 

*Jideofor Adibe is Professor of Political Science at Nasarawa State University, Keffi.

President-Elect Donald Trump, set to assume office as the 47th President of the United States on January 20, 2025, is preparing to usher in transformative changes that are already evident in the composition of his team. These changes, so striking, might have been considered heretical during historical periods of rigid orthodoxy, such as the Age of Inquisitions.

In those times, heresy—defined as expressing opinions that sharply contradicted established beliefs—was often met with severe punishments, well-documented and notorious enough to need no recounting. Today, Trump’s detractors, particularly the “Never Trumpers” who champion adherence to conventional political norms, might view him as guilty of defying what they see as the “correct” political dogma.

This perception may partly explain why Trump, who frequently labels his opponents the “radical left,” faced extreme resistance throughout his political journey. Evidently, his adversaries sought to thwart his resurgence through three significant attempts: impeachment, imprisonment, and even assassination—all of which, ultimately failed due to Trump’s unwavering faith in himself and indefatigable spirit.

To understand the depth of resistance Trump faces, one can draw parallels with historical instances where revolutionary ideas were met with fierce opposition. In the past, when groundbreaking discoveries challenged widely held beliefs—such as the realization that the Earth was not flat but spherical—those who introduced such ideas were often vilified, persecuted, or even killed for defying established norms. These innovators were seen as threats to the existing order, just as Trump’s unconventional approach has unsettled the entrenched political establishment in Washington.

The intertwining of religion and governance in historical eras often justified persecution under the guise of upholding divine order. In the modern context, Trump’s legal battles, impeachment proceedings, and public scrutiny evoke similar resistance to change—albeit in a political rather than theological sense.

Democracy, as a system of governance, emerged in Athens, Greece, during the 5th century BCE and was later refined by philosophers such as Socrates and Aristotle. Over time, it evolved through influences from thinkers like John Locke, Charles Montesquieu, and Jean-Jacques Rousseau, in France leading to its various manifestations around the world. Examples include the parliamentary system in the United Kingdom and the presidential system in the United States and India.

Despite its enduring prominence, democracy has coexisted with alternative governance systems, including monarchies, oligarchies, and diarchies, which remain prevalent in parts of the Middle East, Asia, and Japan. Some nations, like Sweden, Denmark, and Finland, have embraced “democratic socialism,” blending socialist economic policies with democratic governance—a stark contrast to the capitalist inclinations of the United States and much of the global West.

Trump’s leadership style signals a potential departure from the entrenched democratic norms that have shaped governance since the Byzantine era. His proposed reforms—and the unconventional choices for his cabinet—suggest a willingness to disrupt traditional politics in favor of a more transformative approach.

It is conceivable that by the end of his term, President Trump could draw comparisons to Constantine the Great, the Roman leader whose political and administrative reforms in the 4th century CE significantly influenced governance and shaped elements of democracy as we know it today.

Unsurprisingly, the prospect of such sweeping changes has unsettled Washington’s political class. These traditionalists, deeply rooted in the bureaucratic structures that have defined their careers, now face the disruptive reality of Trump’s second term—a term that promises to challenge the status quo and redefine the fabric of American governance.

The impending shift in U.S. leadership under President-Elect Donald Trump is generating significant anxiety, not just in Washington but globally. U.S. allies in NATO, trading partners like China, and adversaries such as Iran are all bracing for potential changes. In Africa, concern is also evident, compounded by unfounded allegations from Trump’s critics—referred to as “Never Trumpers”—who falsely claim that he harbors disdain for Black people in the U.S and on the African continent.

For years, a baseless narrative has circulated, alleging that Trump referred to African nations as “shithole countries.” This claim is unfounded, as Africa is a continent, not a single country, making it implausible that Trump made such a statement in the form attributed to him. These rumors appear to be part of a deliberate attempt by detractors to sow discord between Trump and Black communities worldwide.

In reality, the relationship between Africa and a second Trump administration is likely to be complex and multidimensional. However, as an analysts l would argue that Trump’s “America First” approach may introduce protectionist policies that could disrupt global trade, with potential repercussions for African economies. For instance, a reevaluation of trade initiatives such as the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) or a preference for bilateral agreements over multilateral ones could challenge Africa’s economic landscape, particularly if these moves undermine the African Continental Free Trade Area.

However, these challenges also present opportunities since Africa is a new frontier. So, if African nations act decisively, they could position themselves as viable alternatives in global supply chains, particularly in light of Trump’s campaign promise to impose a 16% tariff on imports from China. By stepping into roles vacated by China, African countries have the potential to strengthen economic ties with the U.S. under a Trump-led administration. This could be achieved through upgraded bilateral trade agreements or a reimagined “AGOA 2.0” that aligns with Trump’s vision. Who knows, there could even be Trump Tower in Abuja in the forseable future.

Security collaboration is another potential area of alignment. Strengthening the U.S. Africa Command to provide enhanced counterterrorism support could bolster peace and stability across the continent. Such efforts are critical for creating a secure environment conducive to trade and investment. Programs like Prosper Africa, launched in 2019 to promote U.S.-Africa trade and investment, could see renewed momentum if insecurity on the continent is addressed.

Ultimately, the trajectory of U.S.-Africa relations under Trump’s leadership will depend on several factors, including his administration’s policies, the responsiveness of African governments, and broader global economic trends. As such, African leaders must seize this moment to leverage emerging opportunities, particularly by adopting a strategic and business-oriented approach to engagement with the U.S.
Already, the biggest American embassy in the world is under construction in Eko Atlantic City, Lagos. That to me is a demonstration of US.to Nigeria as a development partner. It goes without saying that embassys are veritable international facilitators.

For Africans—and Nigerians in particular—this could be a chance to benefit from Trump’s presidency if leaders align with the evolving U.S. policy framework. With the U.S., the world’s largest economy, potentially transitioning from its “global policeman” role to a leading creator of global wealth, Africa could capitalize on this shift for mutual gain.

Turning to Trump’s unique and controversial persona, parallels can be drawn between his experiences and those of historical visionaries who challenged prevailing orthodoxy. Just as the discovery that the Earth was spherical contradicted the long-held belief in its flatness, Trump’s unorthodox positions—such as his initial skepticism about the catastrophic framing of COVID-19—have made him a target of political and media backlash.

These challenges are reminiscent of times in history when those who defied conventional wisdom faced severe criticism.

Throughout history, those who delivered groundbreaking insights or defied orthodoxy often faced resistance or persecution from entrenched authorities. This historical pattern mirrors the opposition that President-Elect Donald Trump is encountering from traditional politicians in Washington, as his unconventional policies aim to challenge the status quo and serve the interests of the more than 76.5 million Americans who decisively supported him.

Ancient Greek philosophers set the precedent for challenging established norms with transformative discoveries. Pythagoras (c. 570–495 BCE) observed the Earth’s shadow during lunar eclipses and hypothesized a spherical Earth, a theory further supported by Aristotle (384–322 BCE) through observations of disappearing ships on the horizon and shifting constellations. Eratosthenes (276–194 BCE) even calculated the Earth’s circumference with remarkable precision. Despite their significant contributions, these thinkers often faced skepticism and resistance from the leaders of their time.

Similarly, heliocentrism, first proposed by Aristarchus of Samos (c. 310–230 BCE) and later revived by Copernicus (1473–1543 CE), met staunch opposition. The Catholic Church opposed Copernicus’ model, and advocates like Giordano Bruno and Galileo Galilei faced severe consequences—Bruno was executed, and Galileo was confined to house arrest for defending the idea of a Sun-centered universe.

Trump’s political journey bears striking parallels to the struggles of these historical figures. Like them, he has faced significant resistance—allegations of election fraud in 2020, impeachment efforts, legal challenges, and even threats to his life during the 2024 campaign. Yet, his return to the presidency, set for January 20, 2025, underscores his resilience and broad support. The Republican Party’s simultaneous control of the Senate and the House of Representatives—a first in a century—further highlights the movement he has built.

Trump’s determination recalls figures like Ferdinand Magellan, whose historic circumnavigation proved the Earth’s spherical shape. Just as Magellan’s expedition was driven by perseverance, Trump’s commitment to “draining the Washington swamp” and instituting bold reforms is poised to reshape the U.S. political landscape.

This anticipated transformation is comparable to other seismic shifts in human understanding, such as the visual confirmation of the Earth’s shape via 20th-century satellite imagery or the revolutionary effects of artificial intelligence and social media. These innovations redefined how humanity interacts with the world, much like Trump’s policies are expected to redefine U.S. governance and global influence.

In preparation for his second term, Trump has begun assembling a team reflective of his unorthodox approach. He has appointed long-time ally Susie Wiles as Chief of Staff, crediting her for his electoral success. Key nominations include Tom Homan as Border Czar, Marco Rubio as Secretary of State, and former Congressman Matt Gaetz as Attorney General.

Other notable appointees include Tulsi Gabbard, a former Democratic congresswoman, as Director of National Intelligence; Chris Wright, an oil industry executive, as Energy Secretary; and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a controversial figure due to his stance on vaccines, as Public Health Secretary. These choices signal Trump’s intention to challenge conventional governance and implement transformative changes during his upcoming term.

Former serviceman Doug Collins, known for defending Donald Trump during his first impeachment trial, has been appointed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs, while North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum, with extensive business and governance experience, has been named Secretary of the Interior. John Ratcliffe will serve as CIA Director, and Kristi Noem has been chosen as Secretary of Homeland Security. Matt Gartz, defense secretary nominee has generated a lot of furore as it has been aledged that he had been accused of some improprieties. Even the current defense secretary ,Lloyed Austin suffered a similar push back based ruled that could have precluded him from eligible but in the end he received confirmation from the senate.

Among Trump’s appointments, the most innovative is the creation of a new federal agency, the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). This agency will be led by tech billionaire Elon Musk and former Republican rival Vivek Ramaswamy. DOGE’s mission is to streamline government by reducing excessive regulations, cutting wasteful spending, and restructuring federal agencies. Announcing the initiative, Trump stated:

“I am pleased to announce that the great Elon Musk, working in conjunction with American patriot Vivek Ramaswamy, will lead the Department of Government Efficiency (‘DOGE’). Together, these two wonderful Americans will pave the way for my administration to dismantle government bureaucracy, slash excessive regulations, cut wasteful expenditures, and restructure federal agencies—essential to the ‘Save America’ movement. This will send shockwaves through the system, and anyone involved in government waste, which is a lot of people!”

These reforms are expected to challenge Washington’s entrenched systems, ushering in an era of efficiency and innovation that could influence global governance trends for years to come.

Interestingly, Trump’s DOGE initiative draws parallels to Nigeria’s 2012 Oronsaye Report, which outlined measures to reduce governance costs by consolidating Ministries, Departments, and Agencies (MDAs). Despite its potential, the report has been largely ignored for over a decade, contributing to Nigeria’s current debt crisis, which the Debt Management Office estimates currently N134.3 trillion. President Bola Tinubu’s recent reforms, such as removing fuel subsidies and devaluing the naira, align with Trump’s bold approach and could serve as inspiration for addressing Nigeria’s governance challenges.

Trump is also targeting “wokeism,” a term that originally referred to awareness of social injustices but has evolved into a critique of perceived political overreach and divisiveness. Trump’s opposition to wokeism resonates with financial giants like Elon Musk, who joined his campaign partly due to personal experiences—Musk’s son underwent a gender transition, a decision Musk attributed to ideological influences propagated in US.schools to minors which he opposes. Musk reportedly contributed $118 million to support Trump’s campaign and challenge cultural trends they see as harmful.

Trump’s return to the presidency in 2025 will make him only the second U.S. president, after Grover Cleveland, to serve two non-consecutive terms. In his victory speech, Trump described this achievement as the “greatest political movement of all time” and vowed to restore the country’s values, saying:

“There’s never been anything like this in this country, and maybe now it’s going to reach a new level of importance because we’re going to help our country heal. We have a country that needs help, and it needs help very badly.”

Trump’s reforms aim to reset America’s moral compass, reflecting the values of its Founding Fathers and challenging what he perceives as a decline in societal ethics. His focus on combating wokeism and restoring traditional principles underpins his broader vision to Make America Great Again (MAGA).

While implementing these changes will be complex, Trump’s presidency could redefine governance and democracy for the modern era. Much like Athens pioneered democracy in the 5th century BCE, Trump’s efforts may reshape democratic systems globally. His forthcoming term, marked by ambitious reforms, will likely serve as a critical test for the resilience and adaptability of American democracy.
Trump’s confidence is underpinned by the over 75million American electorate who gave him their mandate to become the 47th president and drain the swamp in Washington.


Magnus Onyibe, an entrepreneur, public policy analyst, author, democracy advocate, development strategist, alumnus of the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University, Massachusetts, USA, and a former commissioner in the Delta State government, sent this piece from Lagos, Nigeria.

You will not die now! A child of God is not supposed to die anyhow. Yes, when you walk in the knowledge of a functional covenant with God nothing is permitted to take away your life prematurely. Nothing! Be it disease, demonic powers, hardship, or whatever. Nothing and I mean nothing is permitted to terminate your life before fulfilling your destiny. Everybody has an assignment that brought them into the world. God did not waste his time and resources crafting a wonderful creature like you. Or haven’t you heard that you are wonderfully and fearfully made? Also look at all the things – the time, the resources, the emotions, the prayer, the love and sometimes planning and expectations put into the process of bringing a baby into this world. Like your parents coming together, the relationship, the expectations, your miraculous conception and formation in the womb, the preparations, your birth and your growth, etc. So much!

             Millions do not survive these stages. But you did! This clearly shows that there is a definite divine plan for your life. True. I recently overheard a respected gynaecologist / surgeon, a professor, a dean of a collage of medicine saying that nobody, not even experts have totally understood what God did in the process of conception and child-bearing. And immediately those words registered in my spirit. You can do all you know scientifically and medically, but it is only God that permits, perfects and natures life. I think it is also a standing belief in medicine and that is why the doctors will tell you that they care and treat but that it is only God that heals. Ask them. Every life must come from and end in him. Even when you are treating or praying for fruit of the womb, you must have it at the back of your mind that it is only God that can bring forth life. Yes, science can be helpful. Yes, medicine is great and always necessary, but it is still God that perfects the outcome. You can apply everything that you know and it will still not work. And you also may not do anything at all and still things will work out perfectly. It is God - that unseen hand. True.

    Now, also look at all you’ve been through in life. Almost everybody has some painful stories to tell.  Some have theirs characterized with protracted pains, ‘bumps’ of life, calamities, disappointments and regrets that though they are now successful, they still get emotional each time they remember what they have been through. Even presidents, business moguls, kings, celebrities, men of God go through this. Once you are born, the world begins to unleash its unkindness on you. Yes, even great men like Jesus had their own fair share of pains and tears. Yet, in all these, an unseen hand kept you alive and going! I remember preaching like this many years ago and my boss, a very wealthy man in Lagos, with tears, sat me down and began to tell me all he went through in life and how God’s grace miraculously kept him. I couldn’t believe it. So with all this vast wealth and estate this man still had scares of pain and tears in his life. Yes, in the midst of all these, God has a purpose for your life. You are not dying now. No! I see life coming into in Jesus' name!. We will continue. Please, share this message with others.
 
Rev Gabriel Agbo is the author of the books / audiobooks: Power of Midnight Prayer, Receive Your Healing, Breaking Generational Curses: Claiming Your Freedom, Never Again!, I Shall Not Die, Move Forward, Power of Sacrifice and many others. Tel: 08037113283 Facebook: Gab Agbo E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. Website www.authorsden.com/pastorgabrielnagbo Twitter: pastorgabagbo    Whatsapp: 08164819333

It is not an exaggeration to opine that it is no more news that the All Progressives Congress (APC) on Saturday, November 16, 2024, clinched a clean sweep in the 2024 local government elections in Ogun State, winning all 20 local government areas and secured all 236 councillorship wards in the state.

Babatunde Osibodu, the Chairman of the Ogun State Independent Electoral Commission, made this announcement early Sunday during a live broadcast at the commission’s headquarters in Oke-Ilewo, Abeokuta.

According to Osibodu, the APC won in all 20 local government areas and secured all 236 councillorship wards in the state. He further revealed that a total of 613,156 votes were cast in the chairmanship elections.

 

In fact, the election saw participation from 19 political parties, including the Accord Party, African Action Congress, African Democratic Congress, Labour Party, and the Peoples Democratic Party, among others.

While this triumph is undoubtedly a moment of celebration for the party faithful, it raises pressing concerns about the deep-rooted ‘winner takes all’ syndrome in Nigeria’s local government elections. It is a practice that, unfortunately, undermines the very essence of democracy, which should be rooted in inclusion and representation.

Recently, several local government elections in Nigeria have concluded with the ruling parties in various states sweeping all the available seats. For instance, in Kaduna State, the All Progressives Congress (APC) secured an absolute victory, winning all 23 chairmanship positions and 255 councillorship seats. The elections were conducted by the Kaduna State Independent Electoral Commission, and despite some controversies, the state government described the process as peaceful.

 

Similarly, in Kano, the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP), which only recently gained power, won all 44 local government seats. In other states, such as Kogi, Sokoto, and Bauchi, the APC and the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) also achieved complete dominance in their local council elections.

Critics, however, argue that the results were predictable, as ruling parties tend to dominate local elections due to their control over state electoral commissions. There are ongoing calls for reform to shift local government elections to be managed by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) to ensure transparency and curb the influence of state governors on the process.

In fact, the APC’s 20/20 victory in Ogun may appear like a show of political dominance, but it is more indicative of a systemic issue that has plagued local elections across Nigeria. It is hard to believe that in a state of diverse political leanings, every seat can be won by just one party, especially given the current economic and social challenges the people are facing. Such results are not unique to Ogun but have become a pattern in most states governed by dominant parties. Whether it is the PDP, APC, or any other party in control, the outcome remains the same: a clean sweep that raises more questions than answers about the credibility and inclusiveness of the electoral process.

 

Unfortunately, there are consequences of ‘Winner Takes All’, given the fact that Nigeria is a democratic nation. The ‘winner takes all’ syndrome fosters an unhealthy political environment where power is monopolized by one party, leaving no room for alternative voices. This exclusionary approach stifles grassroots democracy, leaving the electorate with little to no genuine representation. It also alienates minority parties and dissuades them from participating in future elections, knowing the odds are heavily skewed against them. The long-term implication is that citizens lose faith in the democratic process, reducing voter turnout and engagement in subsequent elections.

Local government, often referred to as the closest arm of government to the people, should be a melting pot of diverse perspectives and solutions tailored to the needs of local communities. But when one party dominates the entire structure, it creates a monopoly that can lead to ineffective governance, lack of innovation, and a disconnect between elected officials and the people they serve.

The Ogun elections should serve as a wake-up call to review and reform local government electoral processes in Nigeria. For democracy to thrive, it must go beyond just holding elections; the process must be seen as free, fair, and representative of the people’s will. This involves allowing opposition parties a fair playing field and creating an electoral environment where every vote counts, regardless of party affiliations.

 

One way to address this issue is to explore the adoption of proportional representation at the local government level. By allowing seats to be distributed based on the percentage of votes each party receives, minority parties would have a voice in the decision-making process. This system is already in practice in several advanced democracies and ensures that local councils are more reflective of the electorate’s diverse interests.

Additionally, the establishment of independent electoral bodies free from state government influence is critical. The current practice, where state governors wield significant control over State Independent Electoral Commissions (SIECs), has made local government elections mere formalities where the ruling party is almost guaranteed victory.

The goal of local governance should not be to entrench one party’s dominance but to foster development and provide essential services to the people. The exclusion of diverse political voices hampers accountability and hinders progress. In contrast, a competitive political landscape encourages elected officials to perform better, knowing that they can be unseated if they fail to deliver.

 

By moving away from the ‘winner takes all’ approach, local governments can become true engines of development where innovative ideas and diverse perspectives are harnessed for the common good. More so, it will empower citizens, knowing their votes truly matter and can shape the future of their communities.

As the dust settles on APC’s clean sweep in Ogun, it is time for stakeholders, policymakers, civil society organizations, and the electorate, to reflect on the state of local democracy in Nigeria. The dominance of one party in local government elections is not a sign of political strength but a symptom of a flawed system that needs urgent reform.

Ending the ‘winner takes all’ syndrome and fostering an inclusive, competitive, and transparent electoral process will not only strengthen democracy at the grassroots but also restore faith in the governance process. It’s high time Nigeria moves beyond the politics of domination and embraces a system that truly reflects the will of its diverse populace.

In a country where women continue to break barriers and shatter glass ceilings, one name stands tall as a symbol of courage, determination, and sacrifice, Flying Officer Tolulope Arotile, Nigeria’s first female combatant helicopter pilot. Her journey was not only inspirational but also a testament to the untapped potential that lies within the youth, especially young women, in Nigeria. Even though her life was tragically cut short, her legacy continues to inspire generations.

Born on December 13, 1995, in Kaduna State, Tolulope Arotile grew up with a fierce passion for aviation. Her dream of taking to the skies was not just a childhood fantasy but a goal she relentlessly pursued. She attended the prestigious Air Force Secondary School in Kaduna before enrolling at the Nigerian Defence Academy, where she excelled among her peers. Arotile’s hard work and perseverance led to her historic commissioning as Nigeria’s first-ever female combatant helicopter pilot in the Nigerian Air Force (NAF) on October 15, 2019.

In a field traditionally dominated by men, Arotile not only held her ground but soared above the expectations. Her appointment as a combat helicopter pilot was a beacon of hope, signifying the strides women in Nigeria are making in the military and other male-dominated professions.

 

Within a short but impactful career, Flying Officer Arotile distinguished herself through several successful combat missions against insurgents and bandits, particularly in the northern regions of Nigeria. She piloted the Agusta 109 Power Attack Helicopter, playing a significant role in the fight against terrorism. Her dedication and skill were instrumental in “Operation GAMA AIKI”, a mission designed to rid the nation of extremist threats.

However, her promising career came to an abrupt and heart-wrenching end on July 14, 2020, in a tragic car accident at the Nigerian Air Force Base in Kaduna. According to reports, she was accidentally hit by a car driven by an acquaintance who was reversing. The news of her death sent shockwaves across the nation, as Nigerians mourned the loss of a bright and courageous soul who had barely begun her journey.

Though her time was short, Tolulope Arotile’s achievements have left an indelible mark on Nigeria’s history. Her story is one of breaking boundaries and overcoming societal stereotypes, especially in a country where young women are often told their dreams have limits. Arotile’s legacy serves as a reminder that no dream is too big and no goal is unattainable, regardless of gender.

 

In her honor, the Nigerian Air Force has renamed several infrastructures and initiatives to immortalize her legacy. Among them is the “Flying Officer Tolulope Arotile Pilot’s Quarters” at the Air Force Base in Abuja, and the Kaduna Air Force’s Secondary School auditorium, which was renamed after her. These gestures are a testament to the impact she made within her short but remarkable career.

Tolulope Arotile’s story is one that resonates not just with young women but with every Nigerian striving to achieve greatness. Her legacy goes beyond her military achievements; it is a powerful statement about the capability of women when given the opportunity. She remains an emblem of bravery, strength, and dedication, encouraging young girls across Nigeria to reach for the stars and to believe in their dreams, no matter how audacious they may seem.

As a nation, the best way to honor her memory is by ensuring that her story continues to inspire a new generation of female leaders, pilots, engineers, and trailblazers. The Nigerian government, the military, and private organizations can play a role in achieving this by creating more platforms and opportunities for women in fields traditionally dominated by men.

 

The pain of losing such a promising young officer is still felt by many, but her story remains an inspiring tale of resilience. Tolulope Arotile not only made history as Nigeria’s first female combat helicopter pilot but also left behind a legacy that will continue to light the path for many young Nigerians.

In the words of the late Flying Officer Arotile herself, during one of her interviews, she said, “I want to do my best to leave a lasting legacy wherever I find myself.” Indeed, she achieved this and more.

As her legacy lives on, we remember Tolulope Arotile not with sadness but with admiration for her courage, her spirit, and her enduring legacy. She may no longer be with us, but the trail she blazed will forever remain a guiding light.

 

Rest in peace, Flying Officer Tolulope Arotile. Your wings may be folded, but your legacy soars higher than ever.

“Bitterness is like holding a piece of burning coal in your hand and hoping that it hurts someone else” – Nelson Mandela, 1913-2013

SABOTAGE, deliberate and planned, is increasingly becoming the most important factor in the frequent grid collapses Nigerians are experiencing now.

Don’t get me wrong, the crimes committed against the people of Nigeria by governments since 1999 created the background against which the arsonists, embittered by the loss of presidential election are acting. Concentration of our public power supply in one grid has exposed us to all the calamities which every monopoly induce. We are in this situation because politics has always trumped sound economics.

 
 

LAGOS, AKWA IBOM, RIVERS AND OTHERS

“Ideas are capital; the rest is money” – Anonymous I attended the first eight Annual National Economic Summit Group, NESG, Conferences until it occurred to me that they had become hollow rituals whose recommendations, often repeated, were routinely ignored by military and civilian governments.

The first eight made the same recommendations regarding power and fuel supply; particularly about decentralisation of power supply and petroleum resources in two organisations – NEPA and NNPC. It was not until Jonathan became President in 2010 that a significant step was taken to break the power sector into three units – which now serve the nation worse than the NEPA they replaced.

Similarly, the call for the privatisation of the petroleum sector was not addressed until the Buhari administration got the Petroleum Industry Bill, PIB, passed during its second term. Procrastination is not only a thief of time. For Nigerian governments, delay in reforming the power and petroleum sectors served the vital kleptomaniac interests of those in power. Thus, when a seemingly appropriate bill, e.g. PIB, is passed, I have learnt to wait to see who is placed in charge of the implementation. That, invariably, betrays the intention.

“To live outside the law, you have to be honest” – Bob Dylan, US folk singer When Dylan first made that remark during the struggle for Civil Rights in 1968, I thought the Jewish-American popular singer was stretching the truth too far. Many instances in Nigeria are driving one to the conclusion that outlaws write and execute our laws.

The National Assembly is often full of people who, if properly investigated, should have been facing Justice Egwuatu – and not the kids. Even then, they probably would have secured bail terms likely to promote corruption instead of deterring it. A former governor found guilty of stealing hundreds of millions was once fined N500, 000 or go to jail for six months.

Obviously, foretold, he reached into his pocket and paid the fine. By my own estimate, the Federal Ministries of Power and Petroleum have accounted for almost half of all known and unknown cases of embezzlement of all public funds at Federal, States and Local Governments since 1970. One million Yahoo Yahoo boys and girls would have to work 1, 000 years to grab what is lost in a single year in the Petroleum Ministry alone.

In my book, PDP: CORRUPTION INCORPORATED, available online, it was established beyond dispute how the Obasanjo government sabotaged the effort to give Nigeria a real giant leap forward by leveraging on two divinely provided opportunities. By 1999, it was already wellestablished that Nigeria is a gas producing country associated with oil.

That means that our gas far exceeded our crude oil potentials. A more proactive General Ibrahim Babangida’s government had launched the Liquefied Natural Gas Nigeria, NLNG, with Decree 39, 1990. It was a massive game-changer which carried the potentials of helping to diversify the Nigerian economy in many ways – especially in decentralisation of power production and distribution. Every other Federal Government, particularly Obasanjo’s (1999-2007) and Jonathan’s (2010-2015) had ignored the opportunities.

That is why we have national grid breakdown. All our oil producing states are sitting on trillions of cubic metres of gas which could have been used to establish gas-fed power stations in each state. They were all discouraged from venturing into the projects which would have decentralised our national supply. Two states’ – Akwa Ibom and Lagos — experiences with the FG, under Obasanjo’s presidency, will help to illustrate how we missed the boat on vastly increased decentralised power supply – allied with escape from sole reliance on a single national grid; which has never served our national interest.

Governor Victor Attah of Akwa Ibom, 1999-2007, embarked on an Independent Power Project, IPP, which would have made the state selfsufficient in power supply – with 24/7 power supply guaranteed. All the IPP needed was the FG’s permission to source the gas from its own deposits. But, by then, Attah had already embarked on his struggle for Resource Control – which Obasanjo vehemently opposed. Thus, on account of toxic politics, Akwa Ibom – which could have exited the national grid – is still drawing power from it. Rivers State also had its IPP; but, once again, FG opposition aborted a great idea. Governor Bola Tinubu’s experience was just as illustrative of destructive politics sabotaging national interest.

Few people remember the attempt by the Tinubu administration to establish an IPP with ENRON. Despite the fact that ENRON turned out to be a great scam perpetrated by some Americans, Obasanjo’s hostility to the project probably made it impossible for due diligence to be carried out on ENRON. The idea of an IPP for Lagos State remains the best possible solution to our seemingly intractable power supply problems. However, before touching on how decentralisation would work, there is a need to understand where we are at the moment; and why we cannot get very far if we continue with business as usual – which is a sure route to self-destruction.

WHERE WE STAND NOW

“Serial grid collapses: FG orders overhaul as TCN fears more breakdowns” – Report, November 8, 2024 Nigeria has suffered more grid collapses this year than at any one point in history; with devastating effects on all aspects of our lives – especially production. The World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, IMF, have consequently reduced our Gross Domestic Product, GDP, forecast to less than three per cent.

Thus, when the Transmission Company of Nigeria, TCN, “fears more breakdowns”, it is akin to a mother telling the children that “the kitchen might be shut down again; go fend for yourselves”. Apart from the fact that this is a selfindictment of the national leadership, it has led to the obvious conclusion that the Ministry of Power is totally powerless and bereft of ideas concerning how to get the nation out of this dark hole in which we find ourselves.

Nothing proves the point better than the statement credited to the National Orientation Agency, NOA, quoted below: “Despite the 13,610MW generation capacity and over 8,000MW transmission capacity, the total active distribution capacity of the 11 DisCos in Nigeria is still hovering around 4,000MW, Just last month, on September 2nd, a peak generation in three years was achieved, but out the 5,313MW generated and wheeled out that day, the Discos rejected almost 1,400MW due to their systems fragility. These load rejections by DisCos contribute to the collapse of the national grid.”

The primary reason for establishing mental hospitals in every society has been to separate those whose abnormal behaviour constitutes a danger to the welfare of others. The first step is diagnosis; because some activities, examined closely, simply don’t make sense. The NOA has just described a situation which must be peculiar to Nigeria among all the nations of the world – including Banana Republics. Fortunately, the agency has indicated the way forward to us. First, analysis of the data provided by NOA reveals that the TCN can only accommodate 62 per cent of the 13,000MW the nation can possibly generate.

That maximum places Nigeria fifth among African countries and far behind South Africa and Egypt. It is scandalous that all former presidents have left the present administration with so little power generating capacity. Second, while the TCN drops 38 per cent of power generated, the DISCOS, selected by the Jonathan government, take up only 4,000MW or 50 per cent of what TCN offers and 31 per cent of power generated. The impression is given that the demand for power supply is less than 8,000MW.

That is totally false. Indeed, the entire transmission system needs to be overhauled. I work near a transformer and know the frequency of breakdown of that unit. The experience is not different from that near my Club and my home town. Sometimes, it takes up to ten days for fault to be corrected despite the fact that office and Club are within shouting distance of the EKEDC office. The demand is definitely there; supply is the problem. In fact, it is absolutely ridiculous to imply that consumers don’t want public power supply. Give us 24/7 supply and we will pay.

A MODEST PROPOSAL The FG and the National Assembly, NASS, should pass the bills necessary to enable oil and gas producing states to establish their own IPPs. In fact, a timeline should be given to ALL the states to set up their own power stations; after which they will be disconnected from the national grid. Fortunately, Lagos State is revisiting the idea of an IPP capable of satisfying its needs. Remove Lagos and the Niger Delta States from the national grid and there will be more power for the rest to share. Even uninterrupted supply might be achievable.