OTHERS' VIEWS

OTHERS' VIEWS

SUNDAY 1-DEC

 

Hearn confirms Joshua’s 2025 return date
https://reubenabati.com.ng/sports/hearn-confirms-joshua-s-2025-return-date

Why Nigeria Needs Tax Reform – Oyedele
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/why-nigeria-needs-tax-reform-oyedele

Okpebholo, APC Jittery Over Exposure Of Systemic Rigging In Edo, Lies To Cover Fraud – Obaseki
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/okpebholo-apc-jittery-over-exposure-of-systemic-rigging-in-edo-lies-to-cover-fraud-obaseki

CBN tells Nigerians to report cash withdrawal issues from December 1, banks to face penalties
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/cbn-tells-nigerians-to-report-cash-withdrawal-issues-from-december-1-banks-to-face-penalties

Local Government Autonomy….Concerns Mount Over Non-execution Of Supreme Court Ruling
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/local-government-autonomy-concerns-mount-over-non-execution-of-supreme-court-ruling

Tinubu Tax: North’s anger grows as youths attack Deputy Senate President
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/tinubu-tax-north-s-anger-grows-as-youths-attack-deputy-senate-president

OAuGF report reveals huge financial infractions in NNPCL, NUPRC, NMDPRA
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/oaugf-report-reveals-huge-financial-infractions-in-nnpcl-nuprc-nmdpra

Rivers: N27bn IGR behind Fubara, Wike rift, INEC now APC member – Adeyanju
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/rivers-n27bn-igr-behind-fubara-wike-rift-inec-now-apc-member-adeyanju

‘I Am Against Tax Reform Bills, It Gives Some States More Advantage’ – Ningi
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/i-am-against-tax-reform-bills-it-gives-some-states-more-advantage-ningi

[STATE HOUSE PRESS RELEASE] President Tinubu Congratulates New NUJ President And Executive Team
https://reubenabati.com.ng/news/state-house-press-release-president-tinubu-congratulates-new-nuj-president-and-executive-team

[PRESS RELEASE] President Tinubu Approves Funds for UNESCO Media and Information Literacy Institute in Nigeria
https://reubenabati.com.ng/news/press-release-president-tinubu-approves-funds-for-unesco-media-and-information-literacy-institute-in-nigeria

Trump threatens 100% tariff on BRICS countries over currency plans
https://reubenabati.com.ng/news/trump-threatens-100-tariff-on-brics-countries-over-currency-plans

‘From Secular To Sacred’ - Filmmaker, Mike Bamiloye Reflects On Transformation To Gospel Drama
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/from-secular-to-sacred-filmmaker-mike-bamiloye-reflects-on-transformation-to-gospel-drama

Darey Art Alade and wife Desola mark 18th wedding anniversary
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/dare-art-alade-s-wife-deola-celebrate-18th-wedding-anniversary

Sokoto NLC Suspends Planned Strike Over ₦70,000 Minimum Wage
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/sokoto-nlc-suspends-planned-strike-over-70-000-minimum-wage

Nigeria needs collaborative leaders for national progress - Peter Obi
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/nigeria-needs-collaborative-leaders-for-national-progress-peter-obi

How Tinubu’s fiery critics became spokespersons, loyalists
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/how-tinubu-s-fiery-critics-became-spokespersons-loyalists

2027: Atiku, Obi deny joint presidential bid after reunion
https://reubenabati.com.ng/feature/2027-atiku-obi-deny-joint-presidential-bid-after-reunion

Tax Reform Bill: Atiku Calls For Transparency, Inclusivity In Debate
https://reubenabati.com.ng/news/tax-reform-bill-atiku-calls-for-transparency-inclusivity-in-debate

 

The other day the government announcement the board appointments of forty-two government agencies and parastatals. Very good news it was for me, hoping that at last, my silent and open prayers must have been answered. I nearly reached for a magnifying glass incase my reading glasses were getting too weak to enable me read the press statement with understanding; alas, the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) wasn’t on the list.

“President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has appointed board chairpersons for 42 federal organisations and a secretary to the board of the Civil Defence, Immigration, and Prisons Services.

“The President has also appointed a new managing director for the Nigerian Railway Corporation and a director general for the National Board for Technology Incubation (NBTI).

“President Tinubu directs the board chairpersons not to interfere with the management of the organisations, emphasising that their positions are not executive,” the statement signed by Bayo Onanuga, Special Adviser to the President (Information & Strategy), said in part. This was January 23, 2025.

 

Ironically, I wasn’t too disappointed. The President of any country is a very busy person. For the Nigerian President, the basket of worries is heavier because there are too many things he has to sort – poverty in the land, the purity of data from the National Bureau of Statistics about the rightness and wrongness of data – whether headline inflation is 34 percent and food inflation is 40 percent; insecurity and daily carnage on our roads, the inability of previous administrations to communicate effectively that Nigeria doesn’t really have enough money to provide all the infrastructure, including roads, and that it must work through Public Private Partnership (PPP) to deliver some services, that the energy sector remains a shame and can really not cater for the development needs of the people, and that life expectations in Nigeria will remain a mirage except all parties are able to come to the reality that the nation must move ahead on a clean slate without bitterness, mistrust and festering acrimonies. There are other sundry issues too numerous and troubling to be listed.

The Nigerian President has too many things to think about and board appointments, though an issue for the loyalists, may not be so compulsive as to serve as distraction or inordinate concern.

However, I want to reiterate my appeal that President Tinubu should appoint a Board for the NCC as a matter of urgency in order to put developmental expectations in the telecommunications sector on a seeming virtual accelerator. As we say in this part of the world, to move the industry forward but moving the industry forward might be too slow to deliver on the promises by this government which has a psychedelic commitment to a digital economy.

 

The Nigerian Communications Act 2003 does not envisage any day NCC will not have a Board, as it states very clearly that “the President shall ensure at all times there are a minimum of 6 serving Commissioners on the Board at any and all times, made up of – the Chief Executive, 2 Executive Commissioners and three non-executive Commissioners.

A fully composed Board, according to the Act, should consist of 9 Commissioners which include: a chairman, a chief executive who shall also be the Executive Vce Chairman, 2 Executive Commissioners, and 5 non-executive Commissioners, who shall be appointed by the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

Those who are advocating for the Board to be constituted, including this writer, harbour the opinion that the diversity of background, experience and knowledge of the members may encourage fresh thinking, hopes, aspirations and fresh drive to the activities and programme implementation at the NCC.

Their expectations are anchored on a provision of the Act which states as follows: Commissioners shall be persons of recognised standing, qualification and experience in one or more of the following fields – finance or accounting; law; consumer affairs; telecommunications engineering; information technology; engineering generally; economics; and Public Administration.

 

The dream of having all these professionals in one board can be too tantalising to be real but it has happened before and can still happen again if the President picks well irrespective of party affiliations. Unfortunately, these professionals can quickly morph into the garb of politicians and begin a ruination of the system. That is what happened under the last administration which inflicted so extensive a damage on the Commission from which it is still struggling to recover.

But the President, in the statement, warned the newly appointed chairpersons and board members not to interfere with the management of the organisations. Same should be said of the NCC when the Board is constituted because of antecedents that are too ugly to always recall.

But some voices at the NCC are not in a hurry to forget yesterday. A particular source told this writer, “We pray not to have a transactional Board. The last Board was horrible. We want a chairman with capacity.”

All the same, a Board is needed to help the policy thrust of the Commission and facilitate good decision making. A Board that can take the Commission to the next level and bring various experiences to bear on its operations, according to another source.

 

At the moment, there are only three Commissioners, one of which is the Executive Vice Chairman ((EVC), and two Executive Commissioners, all from a part of the country, which strains a provision of the Act that states clearly that they must be drawn from the 6 geo-political zones of Nigeria subject to confirmation by the Senate.

I do not have the boldness to ever insinuate that the NCC is running in breach of the Act. My only appeal is that the President should constitute the Board and remove the Commission from a needless cul-de-sac and avoidable hermetic strictures.

I was a witness to that day. When the sun crimsoned, the wind roared, and the earth bled. It was the Nyanya bomb blast of April 2014. By cheer happenstance, I was within the area, though removed from the immediate theatre of the carnage. TheCable broke the unfortunate story. I was a staff member of the newspaper at the time.

The thundering blast ripped through the evening air. It was deafening and jarring. Fear and anxiety seized the busy Nyanya junction, which became gridlocked in a barbecue of human parts. Confusion simmered. Making sense of the situation instantly was a bit difficult. What had just happened? Could it be it? And yes, the fears were confirmed.

This experience survives in the recesses of my mind. The trauma never really leaves.

At the time and in subsequent years, Nigeria grappled with a number of security challenges – Boko Haram, kidnappers, bandits, terrorists, and the like. Swathes of territories were carved out by terrorists, the roads became gateways to hell, violent agitations tore at the very fabric of the nation, and school children became merchandise for criminals.

 

But over time, Nigeria’s security forces have been dutiful in pushing back the frontiers of terror. We must always thank and appreciate our security agencies. They are our last line of defence. They are awake while we are asleep – far removed from the warm embraces of their families to keep us safe.

President Bola Tinubu pledged to ensure the security of life and property, especially as security is a fundamental ingredient for attracting investments and fostering the growth and survival of businesses. The President has been absolutely faithful to his solemn pledge.

As Commander-in-Chief, President Tinubu is silencing the guns on the roads, returning confidence in road travels; he is restoring peace to farmlands, boosting agricultural productivity; removing threats even in forgotten places, and building a cohesive society where recourse over dispute among divergent groups is dialogue and not war-war.

 

It is important to underline the critical role of the Office of the National Security Adviser under Mallam Nuhu Ribadu as regards pre-emptive, kinetic, non-kinetic, and conciliatory approaches to a myriad of security concerns and potential concerns. There has been a clear demonstration of forward-thinking, innovation, adriotness, and professionalism in the coordination of security apparatuses.

It is not all blue skies as security is always in a flux. But we are not where we used to be. We have gone a leap forward. With the President’s bold and transformative leadership, the ambits of peace will continue to expand, and Nigeria shall continue to prosper.

Nwabufo is Senior Special Assistant to the President on Public Engagement

The headlines last week gave a kaleidoscopic picture of the Nigerian tragedy: Lagos State allocates N3.5 billion to improve power supply; Kano votes N2.5 billion for mass wedding. It captures the inherent absurdities in our nation and the different the mindsets of its leaders. While a section of the federation is investing in key infrastructure and human capital development, the other half is wasting away resources on things that induce poverty and hasten underdevelopment. In its 2025 budget, Kano State government is allocating N2.5 billion for sponsorship of mass weddings in the 44 LGAs. Total fiscal proposal is N719. 7 billion. Commissioner for Planning and Budget, Musa Shanono says the government is sponsoring mass wedding in order ‘’to promote social responsibility, human rights and transparency, in addition to fostering sustainable society’’.

 Kebbi, another state in the same North West, would splash N54 million to sponsor mass wedding for 300 couples on February 27. Chairman of the organizing committee, Alhaji Suleiman Argungu, said the event is a fulfillment of the pledge made by Gov. Nasir Idris at a similar ceremony last year. The governor had promised that mass wedding would be a regular program of his administration. In addition to the payment of bride prices on behalf of the groom, the couples will receive household items such as furniture and food items ‘’to help them establish a stable marital life’’, according to Alhaji Argungu.

Many states and well-to-do persons in the North routinely sponsor mass weddings to goad poor individuals into marriage. In October 2020, then Senate President Ahmed Lawan sponsored the wedding of 100 couples whom he identified as orphans and the less privileged in his constituency. Over 5,000 persons are wedded every year in such ceremonies. But why are mass weddings so important in Northern Nigeria? There’s a political dimension to it. Although they are presented as welfare or philanthropic gestures, mass weddings are in reality meant to encourage rapid population growth, which the elites believe, ultimately confers electoral advantage to the region. This is why Northern politicians are always quick to boast that the region will always determine who wins Nigeria’s presidential elections.

But they have failed to realize the problems associated with unbridled population growth such as overcrowded cities; resource depletion; unemployment; strain on infrastructure and social services; increased crime; decreased quality of life; increased disease transmission; increased poverty; inadequate housing and overwhelmed healthcare and educational systems. According to UNICEF, there are 18.3 million out-of-school children in Nigeria, of which 10. 2 million are of primary school age and 8.1 million are of junior secondary school level. Most of them are in the North where terrorism has been a big problem.

Instead of tackling this globally embarrassing problem, Northern political leaders are more interested in boosting population growth by offering the poor all-expense paid weddings. The urge to control power and be in public office is stronger than the need to enhance the welfare of their people. But a poverty-stricken and poorly educated population is less likely to take care of its offspring; thus perpetuating a vicious circle of poverty and dragging the rest of the society back. Without skills, education and future prospects, they are easily recruited into terrorist groups; kidnap and robbery gangs. They do not work; don’t pay taxes, but rely solely on alms and government handouts. Some drift southwards where they take to menial jobs in big cities; constituting themselves into social menace and security risks. This is the problem of Northern Nigeria, which has become the Nigerian crisis. Mass weddings are a clear example of how a government’s welfare programme could be counterproductive.

Nigeria has one of the highest fertility rates (number of births per woman) in the world. As at 2022, it was 5.14 per woman. It is far higher in the North, with some states like Katsina hitting 7.4; and lower in the South, as low as 3.2 in some Southern States, according to the economist. The import of this disparity between the two regions is obvious. While one region is far more economically progressive, the other seems to be travelling back in time. A 7.4 fertility rate is higher than what the global rate was in the 1800! Nigeria’s population is growing quite rapidly, faster than GDP’s three per cent growth rate. Income levels are also very low in the country. A recent report by McKinsey & Company, an international consulting firm, stated that less than one million Nigerians in both government and private sector earn up to one million naira per month. Our huge population therefore does not necessarily translate into a big consumer market with more than 70 per cent of the population living in multidimensional poverty. Northern Nigeria underperforms the South in almost all indices: per capita income; employment; school enrolment; WAEC performance; poverty rates and many others. The convention wisdom in many parts of the world is that no young man seeks to marry and start a family until he has a means of livelihood.

In recent times, a few Northern leaders like Gov. Sule of Nassarawa State have admitted publicly that the region has failed in its basic responsibilities to the citizens. Speaking in Lafia at a conference on population dynamics, security, climate change, out-of-school and vulnerable children last November, Sule said it was time for the North to address the challenges of the almajiri system. ’’The almajiri problem is indeed a huge issue for us. It’s time we stopped complaining and took the bull by the horns to solve it. He attributed the persistence of the almajiri problem to systemic failures and the neglect of parental responsibilities.

Mass weddings have not helped the North. Rather, it has perpetuated poverty and it’s time to modify it. One way of doing this is to train the would-be couples in any trade of their choice; give them grants for take-off and offer to sponsor the weddings of only those who can fend for themselves. In that case, mass weddings would become incentives for economic empowerment rather than a tool for subjugation.

Less than a month after he was sworn in as the 45th President of the United States of America, there have been renewed concerns about whether Donald Trump’s presidency would signal the end of what is often called ‘the American Century.’ The phrase was coined by Time founder and publisher, Henry Luce, the son of a missionary, in a February 17, 1941, editorial in Life Magazine, a sister publication he also founded. Captioned “The American Century,” Luce made a strong plea for America to forsake isolationism and enter World War II to defend democratic values. He argued that under American hegemony, democracy and other American ideals would “do their mysterious work of lifting the life of mankind from the level of the beasts to what the psalmist called a little lower than the angels.” Essentially, Luce urged the USA to assume the role of the world’s Good Samaritan by championing the spread of democratic values across the world.

 

Luce talked about the ‘American Century’ rather than ‘American Empire’ (as we had with the British empire from 1815-1914) because he felt the missionary power conferred on the country by history was global rather than territorially defined. America seemingly heeded his advice and its involvement proved decisive in ending the Second World War. America also played a crucial role in the reconstruction of Europe after the war through the Marshall Plan. The country’s influence further grew during the Cold War (1947-1991) when it led the Western alliance against the Soviet-led Eastern bloc. After the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, the United States remained the world’s only superpower, and became the hegemon, or what some termed a hyper-power.

Given the global pattern of the rise and decline of great empires and societies, predictions of an imminent decline or collapse of the American Century have a long history. In fact, the twentieth century has witnessed the decline or collapse of at least seven great empires – Mandarin China, Germany, Austria-Hungary, Ottoman Turkey, Japan, the British empire, and twice over in the case of Tsarist and Soviet Russia. After the terrorist attacks in the US on September 11, 2001 that led to the death of almost 3000 people, mostly Americans, people thought the event was going to accelerate the decline of the only remaining military superpower. America recovered well from it. But talks about its decline, especially with the rise of other poles of economic power – China, the European Union (which was not really seen as a threat until Trump) and recently, the BRICS countries, the old concerns about the possible decline or even a dramatic collapse of the American Century, became revived.

Even before he was sworn in as America’s 45th President on January 20 2025, Trump’s rhetoric had been a source of global concern. The grandiloquence and flurry of Executive Orders, including the use  (or threat of the use) of tariffs even against countries regarded as America’s closest allies such as Canada and the European Union, have raised concerns of how reciprocal response by the affected countries what would affect the world order and America’s global influence.

There are four possible responses against Trumpism that we should watch out for:

One, in international relations, there is what is called the ‘Balance of power theory’. This basically argues that states threatened by a hegemonic power could secure their survival by bandying together to prevent that hegemon from dis-equilibrating the system or to restore equilibrium if the hegemon temporarily succeeds in upsetting the system’s balance.  This presupposes that states threatened by Trump, (and this is virtually all states of the world – old foes and traditional allies alike), may gang up to prevent him from having his way. For instance, Donald Trump has expressed interest in acquiring Greenland – an Island owned by Denmark, a member of the European Union. In response, the EU leaders said they would defend Greenland. In such a scenario one can surmise that if push comes to shove, they will not reject help from America’s traditional enemies, including those President George W Bush referred to as “axis of evil” in 2002. President Bush at that time was referring to Iran, Ba’athist Iraq, and North Korea.

Regarding Trump’s threats to impose tariffs on both its traditional allies and traditional foes, not only is there the possibility of retaliatory response, that threat alone, even if not implemented, could lead to many countries,  taking measures to ensure they forever drastically reduce their reliance on the US – militarily, economically and even culturally. This scenario could paradoxically present opportunities for Africa as countries loosening their ties with the US will look to new frontiers and new markets.

Two, the response of America’s institutions to some of the actions of Trump would also be of interest. America’s institutions have over the years proven themselves to be resilient but some have argued that the country has not had any President in the mould of Donald Trump who seems determined to have his ways in a monarchical fashion. For instance, one of the first actions of President Trump after his second coming was to fire more than a dozen justice department lawyers who worked on two criminal cases against him. The lawyers were fired after Acting Attorney General James McHenry concluded they could not “be trusted to faithfully implement the president’s agenda because of their significant role in prosecuting the president”. Some have sneered that this sort of vindictiveness is usually associated with the so-called Third World countries. Similarly, the Trump administration’s crackdown on immigration — both legal and illegal — has resulted in at least 10 lawsuits, seven of which challenged his Executive Order revoking universal birthright citizenship. There are also litigations on Trump’s Budget Freezes and Firings. The crucial question here is whether American institutions will triumph or whether Trump’s willpower will weaken those institutions to the extent that democracy and the principle of freedom on which America fought and won the Cold War would lose their attractions as organizing elements of American power. If American institutions prevail, it will diminish President Trump’s presidency and his global respectability; if Trump triumphs, it will diminish America’s institutions.

Three, there have been suggestions that many of Trump’s harsh rhetoric, including on the use of tariffs, could be mere brinkmanship. Brinksmanship as a bargaining strategy is usually associated with John Foster Dulles, the US Secretary of State from 1953 to 1956 during the Eisenhower administration. Dulles defined this policy thus:  “The ability to get to the verge without getting into the war is the necessary art.” During the Cold War, it was used as a policy by the United States to coerce the Soviet Union into backing down militarily. Trump has used the threat of tariffs against Canada and Mexico as bargaining chips to get what he probably considers as better deals when these countries countered with their own tariff threats. There are however two main dangers with using brinksmanship as a bargaining strategy – the target state may call the bluff, and if the threatening state is unable to implement its threat, future threats will fail to serve as deterrence to unwanted behaviour. The second danger is that if threats become merely seen as brinksmanship, states will develop counter-strategies that will mute the potency of future threats as bargaining chips. For brinksmanship to work, the threat must be credible. If Trumpism leads to the forging of a new global coalition to stop him from disequilibrating the system, then brinksmanship will lose its shine as a bargaining strategy.

Four, Trumpism could lead to an acceleration in the prestige of institutions such as BRICS whose avowed objectives include the creation of a multipolar world that will either drastically reduce or overthrow the current American-led Western system of global governance and security.  BRIC, as an acronym, was coined in 2001 by then Goldman Sachs chief economist Jim O’Neill to underline the growth potentials of Brazil, Russia, India, and China. It became BRICS when South Africa joined the group in 2010. In 2023, six countries – Ethiopia, Egypt, Iran, Argentina, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia  – were invited to join the group transforming it into  BRICS+. Together, the BRICS countries account for more than 40% of the world’s population and a quarter of the global economy. The 16th Summit of the group held in the Tatarstan city of Kazan, Russia, from  22–24 October, 2024, and themed “Strengthening Multilateralism for Fair Global Development and Security,”  endorsed the reform of the United Nations Security Council. It also agreed to explore the feasibility of creating an autonomous cross-border settlement and depository system (away from the current Western-driven SWIFT system) and the possible utilisation of national currencies, payment tools, and platforms. There were equally proposals for the invigoration of the group’s New Development Bank (NDB), which was established in 2014, with the aim of providing member countries with greater financial autonomy and resilience against external shocks. At the Kazan Summit, the group announced that Nigeria, along with twelve others, had become partner countries to the BRICS+.  The other twelve are: Algeria, Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Thailand, Turkey, Uganda, Uzbekistan, and Vietnam.

In addition to BRICS, any attempt to acquire or seize Greenland or embark on trade wars with the European Union could potentially turn it into an adversary with shared interest in whittling down America’s power and global influence.  If this happens, the US would be up against a very formidable group of 27 member states with an estimated population of 449 million, an estimated nominal GDP of $19.40 trillion in 2024 or $28.04 trillion (PPP) representing about one-sixth of the global economy.

The EU is often described as a sui generis political entity because it combines the characteristics of both a federation and a confederation. A possible collaboration between BRICS and the European Union would be a frightening scenario for America’s global leadership and influence and could mark the beginning of the end of the American Century.

 

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Jideofor Adibe is a Professor of Political Science and International Relations at Nasarawa State University and founder of Adonis & Abbey Publishers (www.adonis-abbey.com). He can be reached at: 0705 807 8841 (WhatsApp and Text messages only).

On Thursday, during the plenary session at the house of representatives, Benjamin Kalu, deputy speaker and chairman of the constitution review committee, said the lower legislative chamber received proposals for the creation of 31 new states.

The 10th national assembly is currently in the process of amending the 1999 constitution and has received several proposals, including that of state creation.

 

A constitutional amendment is a formal modification to the text of the written constitution of a nation to correct or revise its original content to suit the interests of the people of that nation.

 

The Nigerian constitution makes provisions for amendment when there is a need to do so. The requirements for amendment of the constitution differ depending on the section in question.

 

The requirements for the amendment of most sections of the constitution involve two-thirds of members of the senate, and house of representatives voting in support of such an amendment and 24 houses of assembly supporting such an amendment.

However, some sections of the constitution, which deal with the creation of a new state, local government, or boundary adjustments, require additional conditions.

Here is the process for passing a constitutional amendment bill and the additional conditions for state creation.

 

WHAT IS THE PROCESS OF AMENDING THE CONSTITUTION? 

THE NIGERIAN CONSTITUTION

There are several processes involved in amending the constitution.

First, proposals to amend the constitution are submitted to the national assembly as bills. While these bills can originate from citizens, they must pass through lawmakers.

The bills will be sent to the respective (senate and house of representatives) rules and business committees where they are scheduled on the order paper.

 

The full titles would be read out for the first reading at the bills’ presentation, which signifies the start of the legislative process.

The bills will then be read the second time and the general principles debated during plenary, after which they are referred to the committee on constitutional amendment.

The bills will be reviewed by the committee, and in many cases, public hearings are organised to enable stakeholders to make contributions.

The committee will subsequently decide which proposed amendments to adopt or reject. Afterwards, the reports on the bills are submitted before the house and adopted.

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The lawmakers will vote on each specific item on the bills. Here, the proposals to amend the constitution are presented in the form of clauses.

Each house (senate and house of reresentatives) will then use e-voting (not the voice vote) to vote in favour or against the bill.

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When e-voting is not available, the house can go into division. This way, the speaker calls each lawmaker to say whether he or she agrees with the bill or not. This is to meet the requirements of section 9(2) of the constitution which outlines the procedure for altering the provisions of the constitution.

This is done to ensure that the total number of senators or house of representatives members in attendance did not fall below the minimum number of two-thirds required to pass a constitutional amendment bill.

 

The votes are then collated and counted.

It is important to note that for a bill to scale through, it must be concurred by both the senate and house of representatives. This implies that the constitutionally required number of each chamber must have voted in support of the bill.

 

After that, the bills are transmitted to the state houses of assembly by the clerk of the national assembly for their concurrence.

According to the aforementioned sections 9(2), two-thirds of all the state assemblies need to approve the bills — that is 24 states will be required for each amendment to be approved.

When two-thirds of the state assemblies approve each clause by simple majority, everything returns to the national assembly.

According to section 58 of the constitution, bills require the president’s assent.

WHAT ARE THE REQUIREMENTS FOR STATE CREATION?

For amendments proposing the creation of a new state, the constitution demands stringent conditions that must be fulfilled before the process explained above applies.

Section 8(1) states as follows: An act of the national assembly for the purpose of creating a new state shall only be passed if:

“(a) a request, supported by at least two-thirds majority of members (representing the area demanding the creation of the new State) in each of the following, namely;

“(i) the Senate and the House of Representatives,

“(ii) the House of Assembly in respect of the area, and

“(iii) the local government councils in respect of the area are received by the National Assembly;

“(b) a proposal for the creation of the State is thereafter approved in a referendum by at least two-thirds majority of the people of the area where the demand for creation of the State originated;

“(c) the result of the referendum is then approved by a simple majority of all the States of the Federation supported by a simple majority of members of the Houses of Assembly; and

“(d) the proposal is approved by a resolution passed by a two-thirds majority of members of each House of the National Assembly.”

No state has been created since Nigeria returned to democratic rule in 1999.

During the Thursday plenary, Kalu said the “proposals should be re-submitted in strict adherence” to the requirement of section 8 of the constitution and must reach the committee by March 5.

[TheCable]

Last modified on Monday, 10 February 2025 16:35

The prolonged financial dispute between Nigerian banks and telecom providers over unpaid USSD fees has reached a crisis point. Telecom operators, including MTN, Airtel, Glo, and 9mobile, are owed a staggering N250 billion by banks, a debt that has accumulated over six years. This unresolved issue threatens not only the financial viability of USSD services but also places additional cost burdens on consumers through increased telecom tariffs.

To say that it is a growing debt crisis cannot be pooh-poohed by mere waves of the hands as the USSD debt issue dates back to 2019, when telecom companies initially reported that banks owed them N32 billion. By March 2021, the debt had grown to N42 billion, and by November 2022, it had reached N80 billion. In June 2023, the amount doubled to N120 billion, and by October 2024, the debt had exceeded N200 billion, eventually ballooning to the current N250 billion.

Despite this, banks continue to make massive profits from USSD transactions. In the first half of 2024 alone, the total value of USSD transactions reached N2.19 trillion, accounting for 45.3% of the total transaction value of N4.84 trillion recorded in 2023. While banks benefit from this service, telecom operators remain unpaid, leading to increased operational costs.

 

Without a doubt, the debt crisis is affecting consumers. For instance, telecom providers have been forced to raise service charges to offset their losses. The rising cost of network maintenance, coupled with the increasing prices of diesel, equipment, and other essential materials, has driven telcos to seek ways to remain profitable. This has resulted in higher call, data, and SMS tariffs, ultimately transferring the burden onto Nigerian consumers.

With inflation at 33.95% as of June 2024, and the cost of living already unbearably high, the last thing Nigerians need is a further increase in telecom service charges. Many low-income earners rely on USSD for essential transactions such as money transfers, bill payments, and airtime purchases. If telecom operators keep raising tariffs due to unpaid debts, the most vulnerable Nigerians will be priced out of financial services, undermining the financial inclusion efforts the government has championed over the years.

Against the foregoing backdrop, the role of USSD in financial inclusion cannot be said to have being overstated in this context.  This is as USSD technology plays a critical role in Nigeria’s financial ecosystem, enabling millions of Nigerians, especially those in rural and underserved areas, to access banking services without an internet connection. According to the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBSS), over 44 million Nigerians use USSD-based banking services regularly.

 

For many Nigerians without smartphones or internet access, USSD is the only means of accessing financial services. If telecom operators continue to raise tariffs, the cost of performing simple banking transactions will increase significantly, discouraging many from using formal banking channels. This could push more people into the informal cash-based economy, reversing the progress made in driving financial inclusion.

At this juncture, it is expedient to ask about the way forward. To not a few Nigerians, particularly those who are conversant with the issue, regulatory interventions is the way forward. 

It will be recalled at this juncture that the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) and the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) have made several attempts to mediate between banks and telecom operators. In May 2023, when the NCC granted telecom providers permission to disconnect banks from USSD services due to non-payment of debts. However, this move was reversed after CBN intervention.

 

Despite regulatory efforts, banks have yet to clear their debts. As the imbroglio seemingly remains irresolvable, it is not a misnomer to opine that there is a pervading fear among Nigerians that telecom operators might be forced to suspend USSD services entirely, affecting millions of Nigerians who depend on it for financial transactions.

Without a doubt, it would be a huge relief for consumers if banks pay the debt as soon as possible as the debt is a growing debt that keeps mounting by each passing day. 

If banks fulfill their financial obligations and settle the N250 billion debt, it would provide immediate relief to telecom operators, allowing them to stabilize or even reduce tariffs. This would directly benefit Nigerian consumers in several ways. For instance, there would be reduced cost of transactions. This is as telecom operators would no longer struggle to compensate for unpaid debts through higher service charges. Not only that, USSD transaction costs could stabilize or even decrease, making banking more affordable for all Nigerians.

 

In a similar vein, there would be improved financial access for low-income earners as millions of Nigerians, particularly those in remote areas, rely on USSD for banking. Without a doubt, settling this debt would prevent further price hikes, ensuring financial services remain accessible to the most vulnerable populations.

Also, there would be enhanced banking efficiency. This is as banks also stand to benefit from continued USSD service, as it enables seamless transactions for their customers. In fact, if USSD services become too expensive or get suspended, many Nigerians would be forced to visit physical bank branches, increasing congestion and reducing efficiency.

 

In a similar vein, there would be increased mobile penetration and digital growth. The reason for the foregoing cannot be farfetched as Nigeria’s digital economy relies on affordable telecom services. Therefore, by settling their debts, banks can contribute to the broader goal of expanding digital access and fostering economic growth.

Given the foregoing backdrops, it will not in this context be considered a misnomer to plead to banks to act responsibly over this growing and lingering debt. 

Banks must prioritize the settlement of their USSD debts to ensure the sustainability of digital financial services in Nigeria. By paying what they owe, they will not only ease the financial burden on telecom providers but also prevent unnecessary tariff hikes that hurt consumers.

 

As financial institutions benefiting from the USSD ecosystem, banks have a moral and financial responsibility to support the system that has helped drive financial inclusion across Nigeria. Failure to do so may lead to service disruptions, higher telecom tariffs, and greater financial exclusion for Nigerians.

In fact, the ongoing USSD debt crisis is not just an industry issue, it is a consumer issue. Millions of Nigerians depend on USSD services for financial transactions, and the rising costs of telecom services due to banks’ refusal to pay their debts is a burden they cannot afford. As inflation continues to rise, and Nigerians struggle with the high cost of living, it is only fair that banks step up and clear their outstanding obligations.

The CBN, NCC, and other regulatory bodies must ensure full compliance and hold banks accountable for settling this debt. Only then can telecom operators operate without passing unnecessary costs onto consumers, and only then can Nigerians continue to access affordable financial services.

 

Without resort to exaggerating the issue, it is expedient banks act now before the situation worsens. The longer they delay, the more Nigerian consumers will suffer. It is time for banks to pay up and ease the burden on telecom providers and consumers alike.

Like other liberal democracies, Nigeria’s democratic system thrives on the existence of a vibrant and functional opposition. However, the current state of our political parties, as I discussed in a recent television appearance, is concerning. One of the key parameters to measure the efficacy of a political party is its organisational capacity and policy choices. Unfortunately, these elements are acutely lacking both in the ruling party and the opposition. Today, this column addresses the opposition’s role in deepening democracy. 

An effective opposition serves as a watchdog, providing checks and balances to the ruling party while offering alternative policies that enhance governance. However, in the nearly two years since the 2023 general elections, Nigeria’s opposition has been largely dormant, fragmented, and ineffective. This situation demands immediate attention and action. 

The absence of a strong opposition has left Nigeria’s democracy vulnerable to unchecked executive power, resulting in governance that often lacks accountability. The ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) has faced minimal resistance in executing its policies, which has, in turn, weakened democratic engagement. The lack of credible opposition has led to a decline in democratic norms and a slide to “electoral autocracy.” This is neither inthe best interest of democratic consolidation nor the Nigerian people. 

In contrast, in other African democracies, such as South Africa, the opposition has played a more significant role in holding the ruling party accountable. The Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) and the Democratic Alliance (DA) continuously challenge the African National Congress (ANC), demonstrating the impact of a functional opposition. The Nigerian opposition must regain footing to ensure a balanced and competitive political landscape. A diverse political landscape is not just a luxury; it’s a necessity for a healthy democracy. The potential for change is within reach, and it’s up to the opposition to make it a reality.

Opposition parties have failed to articulate distinct policy alternatives, leaving governance unchallenged and unresponsive to citizens’ needs. Without meaningful policy debates, decisions are made that lack depth, often without proper scrutiny or public engagement. For example, when President Bola Tinubu removed fuel subsidies in 2023, opposition parties failed to present an alternative plan, leaving civil society groups to lead protests against the consequential economic hardship.

The opposition space in Nigeria has remained fractured, allowing the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) to operate with little or no alternative voices and cruising as the political Octopus. APC has effectively established itself as the dominant political force, often unchallenged in policymaking and governance. The failure of opposition parties to unite under a common goal has further entrenched APC’s political control, making governance almost a one-party affair.

One of the most frequently cited reasons for the opposition’s weakness is Nigeria’s patronage-based political culture, often referred to as ‘stomach infrastructure.’ This term encapsulates the tendency of politicians to prioritise personal gain and short-term benefits over long-term policy engagement. In such an environment, voters are more likely to support politicians who provide immediate material rewards rather than those advocating for institutional reforms. This system disproportionately favours the ruling party, which controls state resources and uses them to maintain loyalty. A 2022 survey by Afrobarometer revealed that over 40% of Nigerian voters admitted to receiving financial or material incentives from politicians before elections, underscoring the deep entrenchment of patronage politics. This trend is evident in many states, where political parties rely heavily on financial inducements to secure electoral victories.

The PDP, once Nigeria’s dominant political force, has suffered from internal divisions, sabotage and ineffective leadership. Under Umar Damagum’suninspiring leadership, the party has become factionalised, with many state chapters experiencing disunity. Instead of acting as a formidable opposition, the PDP appears to be an extension of the ruling party, unable to mobilise effectively against APC’s policies. Defections by key PDP figures to the ruling party have further weakened its national standing and influence. 

LP and NNPP, which emerged as alternative forces in the 2023 elections, are embroiled in leadership crises. The Labour Party, which garnered significant support from young and urban voters, struggles with internal disputes, legal battles, and power struggles. Similarly, NNPP faces significant internal crises at the national and Kano state levels. The absence of institutional structures and the prevalence of patronage politics have weakened these parties, making them ineffective in consolidating opposition forces. 

There is widespread suspicion that APC uses state resources to co-opt opposition leaders through inducements or coercion. Some opposition figures are believed to have been compromised, leading to a lack of trust in the opposition’s leadership. When opposition leaders are seen as moles or agents of the party in power, it undermines their ability to present a serious challenge to the ruling party. 

The National Assembly, which should serve as an oversight body, has become a “rubber stamp” for the Executive. Opposition lawmakers have failed to challenge government policies effectively, allowing even the most controversial bills to pass without robust debate. The gale of opposition lawmakers’ defections to the ruling party has further exposed our opportunistic politics. 

Additionally, the APC-controlled National Assembly drowned out any form of alternative voices. This has further entrenched the APC’s dominance, as policies are implemented without meaningful alternative options. In 2024, the National Assembly passed multiple overlapping supplementary budgets with minimal scrutiny, raising concerns about the legislature’s independence. 

Despite the current dormancy, there are emerging signs of opposition figures regrouping. Recent socio-political gatherings have brought together opposition leaders and dissenting voices within the APC who share common criticisms of President Bola Tinubu’s neoliberal policies.  One of such events was the two day national conference on strengthening democracy organised by Centre-LSD and other civil society organizations. These events indicate the potential for new alliances ahead of future elections. If effectively mobilised, this could begin a stronger, more unified opposition movement, which would be good for democratic consolidation. For example, former Vice President Atiku Abubakar and Labour Party’s Peter Obi have recently been seen attending similar political events, sparking speculation about a possible alliance for the 2027 elections. The recent meeting between Kwankwaso and Aregbesola has been argued as being unsettling to the ruling party. 

PDP seems to be bending the corner in its perennial internal conflicts. The parties BOT and the governor’s forum have jointly taken a stance on the crisis of who the National secretary is. They are working hard to resolve the many cases in court and gain the public’s confidence as a serious party, but whether this will succeed is another matter. The Labour Party, the country’s second leg of strong opposition, faces a significant internal crisis. Abure-led Executive and the party’s galvanising forces led by the party’s personality emblem, Peter Obi, are on different lanes. There is no love lost between all key actors in the party. Today, the Labour Party is a shadow of its 2023 form that rattled the ruling party. 

For the opposition to be taken seriously, it must bring together reform-minded elements from the PDP, progressive factions of the Labour Party and NNPP, and disillusioned APC members. This coalition should not be built on personal ambition but on a shared vision and clear ideological principles that differentiate it from APC.

Beyond mere criticism of the ruling party, the opposition must invest in policy research and articulate superior governance strategies. Highlighting the failures of APC is not enough; opposition leaders must provide viable alternatives that resonate with the electorate. This requires intellectual rigour and extensive economic, security, and governance engagement. A 2023 report by SBM Intelligence indicated that 70% of Nigerians believe that opposition parties fail to present clear economic policies, reinforcing the need for a well-articulated alternative governance strategy.

Additionally, smaller parties, which currently lack the national reach to be impactful, must be incorporated into a broader opposition framework. Although these small parties represent distinctive voices and ideologies, they must align under a bigger opposition ideology that will be sold to the people to challenge the ruling party at the centre. That is the only way they can make a meaningful impact on politics at the centre. 

A successful opposition must go beyond elite politics and engage directly with the grassroots. Without a strong grassroots presence, any opposition movement will struggle to gain widespread legitimacy and support.

The opposition’s survival and relevance in Nigeria depend on unity, strategic policymaking, and grassroots engagement. A fragmented and ineffective opposition only strengthens APC’s dominance, undermining democratic accountability. However, the signs of reawakening provide hope that a more vigorous opposition could emerge in the coming years. For this to materialise, opposition leaders must prioritise coalition-building, develop apparent policy alternatives, and engage in extensive grassroots mobilisation. Only through these efforts can Nigeria’s democracy be revitalised, ensuring a governance system that is responsive to the needs of its people.

It happened one sunny day in mid-May 2003. I was preparing to go to the office around noon when Tayo, the editor’s secretary, called me. “Mr Olagunju, don’t come to the office, Baba Adedibu is here looking for you. He came with his boys.” There were no two birds bearing ‘hawk’ in the skies of Ibadan at that time. Alhaji Lamidi Adedibu was the strongman of Ibadan politics. He earned that appellation in practical terms on the field of battle. Adedibu was death that thundered before killing; he was lightning that shrieked before striking. Alhaji Adedibu was the buyer who entered the market, bought all and paid for none. Before him, there was none so hard; after him, there has been none so dreaded.

What did I buy on credit from Alhaji Adedibu’s tray? If you offended him and he wanted you, you would surrender to him or find yourself in his presence. That was the man who came looking for me. He had enough big, street boys who made things happen for him and they were with him on that visit. I quickly checked the gate to my house and the door to my flat. I did a mind check of my recent activities. There was nothing that should make me a candidate for Adedibu’s trouble.

Tayo’s voice on the phone brought me back. “Baba said there is a report against him in the paper today and that you wrote it. He said someone in Tribune hinted to him that any story published without the author’s name was written by you, the news editor.” I laughed at that conclusion. I remembered that report. ‘Adedibu demands 12 out of 14 commissioner slots.’ The headline was something like that. I didn’t write the story. A colleague did. But I passed the story for publication because the source was very credible. The godfather didn’t like the report. He was livid at the audacity of the writer, and possibly wanted to use his visit to get a hint on who spilt the beans.

Chief Adedibu came fully prepared for me, the supposed writer of the story. He was adequately briefed on when I would arrive at the office. But he didn’t meet me. He couldn’t have met me. My masquerade did not put on its costume in the city centre and so would not suffer Adedibu’s rending effect. Eégún t’ó bá tì’gboro se l’aso won máa nya. Before that moment, I had spent all my years in Ibadan avoiding having anything to do with the old man. As a reporter, I always had excuses for not going for official duties at his popular palace at Molete, a place noted for anything and everything. Yet, Alaafin Molete’s palace was just five minutes’ drive from Tribune House and of the same distance to where I lived.

The story we published was correct. Adedibu, Ibadan’s kingmaker, wanted more than enough from the governor he made just three weeks earlier. The godfather wanted to govern the new governor and run the coming government from his home. Adedibu’s godson, Senator Rashidi Ladoja, who had just won the governorship had not even been sworn in when Chief made that demand. Fortunately, both were Ibadan – very heady, crafty and stubborn – and so were a perfect match for each other in the unfolding war. Godfather wanted everything as fruits of his labour; godson thought he could be independent of the kingmaker. The result was that they fought. If Ruth Watson’s ‘Civil Disorder is the Disease of Ibadan’ was acted as a drama, one of the two would be the hero, the other the anti-hero. Ibadan had them and felt them. Limbs were broken; heads got cracked; there were accidents at home and on the road; lives got lost; tenure got truncated. The rest is history.

Four years earlier in Maiduguri, a similar incident had opened the floor for godfathers to drag godsons. Governorship elections were held across Nigeria on Saturday, 9 January, 1999. For Borno State, Mallam Mala Kachalla of the All Peoples Party (APP) won the seat with 388,058 votes. His opponent, Baba Ahmad Jidda of the PDP polled 348,800 votes. The victor and his followers started preparing for the swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 29, 1999. But, amid all the preparations, the state’s outgoing military administrator felt a storm gathering. He got a troubling intelligence report in March that there were plans to impeach the man who had not even taken the oath of office. It was funny; it was not funny. But it was true.

 

Ali Modu Sheriff, born 1956, was Kachalla’s godfather. Kachalla was born in 1941, 15 years before his godfather was born. Before the election, Ali Modu Sheriff called Kachalla ‘Baba’. He was his father’s friend. During the election, there was a reversal of role; Kachalla worshipped the 43-year-old Sheriff. It is never by age, it is a matter of cash and Ali Modu Sheriff had it and gave plenty of it in service of Kachalla’s ambition. Godson won. Godfather wanted returns from his investment; he allegedly drew a list of cabinet members for the governor-elect. Godson reportedly said no; he picked some and dropped some. He flapped his wings and thought he could fly independent of the godfather who bought him the throne. He paid dearly for it. There was turbulence. His plane fatally suffered loss of altitude. Sheriff had his boys; Kachalla countered with his own boys. But if iron hits iron, one will bow to the other. Kachalla’s iron got bent and broken; the earth quaked. The next election, power changed hands, kingmaker made himself king. Godson lost everything. Life continued.

The godfather is the consummate ego tripper. Phillip Athans, author of ‘Devils of the Endless Deep’, describes the godfather as the “invader” who is determined “to be in charge of something, from the entire universe down to some back alley in the thieves quarter of the city.” The characterization is right. Even when they know that no king wants to share his throne, they still make a dash for power and the palace. Take Olusegun Obasanjo as an example. He was made president by some people in 1999; some people picked the bills. He became president and announced that if anyone thought his presidency was an investment, they had lost that investment. And for eight years, he did exactly as he promised. The same Obasanjo picked his successors in 2007 and 2011. Did he let them be? He wrote in his ‘My Watch’ (Volume 3, page 3): “I have learned from the Yoruba adage that ‘the kingmaker who does not hide his head after the installation of the king will be the first victim of the king’s wrath.” Now, did Obasanjo “hide his head after the installation of the king” as preached by him? He didn’t. The result is the long list of complaints we read in most of the pages of his three-piece memoir. It is the nature of power. The godfather is the kingmaker. He is never satisfied with half measures. The reason they are endangered and in perpetual state of war. It is the reason those very deep in Yoruba power-play say that the kingmaker’s blood provides the canvas for the king’s coronation dance (eni bá fi wón j’oyè, èjè rè ni wón máa ntè wo’lé). I heard that from my late father.

Nasir el-Rufai is fighting two wars at the same time. He is fighting the power caucus in Abuja and fighting local with Governor Uba Sani, his protégé in Kaduna. He tried to link the two fronts in a social media post last week. El-Rufai is angry because he lost his investment in Governor Sani to a more wily partner who has chased him out of a profitable partnership in Abuja. He spanked his governor for his undisguised support for President Bola Tinubu: “Every day I see this governor embarrassingly and sycophantically rambling, I used to wonder why? However, confirming that Federal Government ‘reimbursements, interventions, and grants’ in excess of N150 billion have been given selectively to Kaduna by Tinubu in the last 18 months now explains everything. By all means, defend Asiwaju for the conditional cash transfer. Asiwaju has earned it, coming from you. The people of Kaduna State will judge at the right time and place. Have a nice day,” the former governor wrote on X.

El-Rufai is (or was) godfather in Kaduna; he thinks he deserves that title too in Abuja – he, after all, led northern governors’ 2023 rebellion against Buhari’s from-north-to-north succession agenda. He thinks the revolt provided the wings for Tinubu’s eagle to fly into the northern space and into power. Truly, Bola Tinubu’s 2023 victory dress was sewn by a large confederation of provincial godfathers. El-Rufai was just one of them. Now, he, like many of the kingmakers, is down, locked out of the luxurious palace since May 2023. His lockout will be two years in May this year. He is very hurt and very angry. And justifiably so. If you eat gbì, you must be ready to die gbì. Watch him. He won’t stop until he is done. He has just started.

Follow closely the Mudasiru Obasa saga in Lagos. It is a tragedy that closes and unfolds like abracadabra. Some agents are said to have usurped the powers of the principal. They crossed the red line and are digging in. It is the digging in that intrigues me. Does it mean the palace eunuchs have grown balls, and boys have become men? Whatever answer that question attracts, I see this matter having very profound implications for politics at the national level. I see slithering snakes waltzing into the yawning walls of Lagos.

The noise over Lagos’ speakership today is because a pride of cats thought they could barbecue Mr Jones’ bull in the Animal Farm and get away with it. Imperial Lagos is a mafiadom. There are rules governing every mafia’s operations. The bojúbojú removal drama of Obasa as Lagos speaker resembles more an operation by the Mafia of Sicily. Norman Silverstein says in ‘The Godfather- A Year After’ (1974) that “What makes the Mafia frightening is its creeping secrecy, its being a closed society, its weapon (of) secret terror – defending and offending.” That reads like Lagos’ conclave. It is an elaborate structure that diminishes the intelligence of those who contrived democracy as the best form of government. What next for Lagos? Read Orwell’s 1984: “If you want a picture of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face — forever.”

The godfather may also have a godfather to whom he does not say no. The senior godfather may not necessarily be a politician. He may be the king’s son, his brother or, more insidiously, his marabout, babalawo, pastor or Imam. In the south, pastors and Alfas call the shots; in the north, the clerics hold the yam and the knife.

Now, how did we arrive here? A northern Nigerian story gives some insights:

Northern region’s first and only premier, Alhaji Ahmadu Bello, the Sardauna of Sokoto, had this young Islamic scholar called Sheikh Abubakar Gumi. Sheikh Gumi was the father of the Sheikh Ahmad Abubakar Gumi that you are very conversant with today. The older Sheikh Gumi, who died in September 1992, did humanity a lot of good by documenting his everything in an autobiography. ‘Where I stand’ is the title he gave that book of enlightenment, and I wish we all read it to understand how the Nigerian rain started and why it is still pouring.

The Sardauna loved Gumi, his brilliance and his ways and took him as his son. Godfather confided in godson on almost all matters. One day, the two had a deep discussion that changed radically the course of the Sardauna’s political career and the direction of (Northern) Nigeria’s politics.

“I was with the Premier in his house one day when he began to lament to me openly about the money he spent in the course of his political campaigns,” Gumi writes on page 101 of his ‘Where I stand’. He writes that the Sardauna lamented further that “he had spent whatever personal money he had almost to the point of bankruptcy.” The premier was disappointed in some of his lieutenants who were not as committed as he was to their joint political journey. And what was Gumi’s response? I quote Gumi in the book:

“But if it costs you personally and the party so much, why don’t you do something that would make you more popular, not only with the people but also with God?” I suggested to him.

“What could that be?” he asked.

“You see”, I explained, “if you spent, say, ten percent of the money you now lose to politics to promote the religion, it would earn you more supporters. This is beside the fact that it would be more directly in the service of God.” Gumi said the Sardauna “listened carefully and I explained to him further.” Gumi did not state what his further explanation was but he believed that was the point the Sardauna began to “pay more attention to Islamic matters”, courting local Imams for his politics, and giving “them some money, whenever he went out on campaign visits” (page 102). Mighty oaks from little acorns grow. From that point, Gumi became the guide, the godfather showing the leader the way.

Today, religious leaders play godfathers to the godfather. Behind the crisis in Kaduna and Lagos are some prophecies and predictions about 2027. The clerics are the prophets. They are the gods to appease if there will be peace.

Portable is the stage name of Street-Hop rapper, Habeb Okikiola Badmus.   He is crass   in appearance and, ill-mannered    with apparent gaps in thought. Exhibiting outlandish behaviour, he divides his hair into parts each with a loud colour that gives the appearance of a cockerel head.

The tattooed Portable who styles himself as the leader of the Zen Movement, is known for street fights, encounters with the police and    failure to pay debts. Uncouth, full of antics and disrespectful to    people, especially women,    Portable’s philosophy    revolves around money.

When I reflected on the   disposition of    various   politicians in the country to either exhibit uncritical   loyalty to President Bola Tinubu or build an anti-Tinubu coalition   to    defeat him in the 2027 elections, I concluded that they are engaged   in the dog- eat- dog politics of Portable. Giving no regard either for the Nigerian people nor their future, many of our politicians either feel comfortable in the the Tinubu pool where they are being fed, or behave like orphans. For the latter group, their profession is politics and they live off government. Once out of power, they become quite    desperate and would do whatever is necessary to get back to power and continue their parasitic existence.  

 
 

The two wings of the political gladiators have the same programmes. They both agree and, are committed to fuel subsidy removal which has crippled the economy and imposed hyper-inflation on the country to the extent that there are Nigerians fighting to share    food from the dustbin. On the issue of fuel subsidy, the basic difference between the two groups of politicians is in   the style     of implementation not in the policy itself. Similarly, they are adherents of the uncritical economics of Naira devaluation that has witnessed    its    water boarding since the pretentious and unfeeling Buhari administration.  

They are also united in the continued imposition   of   unproductive and unprofessional   electricity generation and distribution companies on the country. When the fraudulent ‘privatisation’ of the electricity sector was carried out in September 2013, there was a clause that this   can be reviewed after five years. This is a dozen years later, no review nor reversal of that programme has been carried out. No major politician has campaigned for such review  not to talk about sanctions. Neither those in power nor their allies who are   temporarily out of power has insisted that government utilizes its 40 per cent shares in the privatised electricity companies to reform the sector. None has carried out    sustained protests against the frequent and  continuous   electricity tariff increases. How can the mainstream politicians, whether in or out of government, claim they care for the people, when they do not even raise a voice for them?

If they claim their silence and complicity is because they believe in so-called  market forces, they should tell us where    such    forces sanction fraud and unproductivity. The United States, US, is the biggest, strongest and most imperial capitalist country in the world. Yet, it occasionally   reverses itself when the existence of the country is at stake. For instance, California privatised its electricity sector. But when it started turning out like the Nigerian experience, it revoked the sale and took back the electricity sector.  Even in the face of the US running an America First policy which places the country’s interests above everything else, including   the imaginary market forces, the Nigerian government and mainstream politicians remain committed to    them. They remain faithful servants of the American and European international institutions like the International    Bank for Reconstruction and    Development, alias World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, IMF, and the contraption called World Trade Organisation, WTO.

  Is it that   the Nigerian   Government and opposition   politicians are   ignorant of the fact that the Uruguay Round of Talks, which was rechristened WTO, is a mere instrument    to subvert open and equal trade amongst all nations as promoted by the United Nations? Do they claim not to know that the world body for free and equitable trade is the United Nations   Conference on Trade and Development, UNCTAD? Perhaps, the main challenge we face is that after decades of being subjected to mass illiteracy, uncritical education, religious, ethnic and regional manipulations, Nigerians see themselves      as helpless. They have come to accept their state and, when pushed to the wall, rather than fight back, they allow themselves to be pushed through    the wall.  We have allowed ourselves to be so   intimidated as to accept that criticism of officials or, even private citizens, amounts to cyber stalking which leads to prison.  

On further reflection, perhaps our nationalists who fought for independence were too focused on the politics of getting the enslaving colonialists out of the country than examining the essence of the political independence they secured.  So, the populace got an independence    flag, a national anthem,   and a neo-colonial    political class without a deep thought for real power. Hence,    the country has degenerated from a productive, and import- substitution economy   to a wholly consumer nation with a parasitic political leadership.  Gone are most of the factories. The old   warehouses have become religious centres and we are no longer our neighbour’s keeper. Criminality festers as does insecurity. Even Generals with armed guards and, politicians led by columns of armed policemen, are no longer safe.  

Corruption has become so endemic that when $52.8 million looted funds were returned by    the United States, the ownership could not be identified, at least publicly.    A vast estate    in Abuja    measuring 150,500 square    metres containing 753 units of duplexes and other apartments    was forfeited to the Federal Government    with the identity of the    owner(s) concealed.    On February 5, 2025 the Chairman of the    Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission, Musa Aliyu,    revealed that government    made full payment five times for an hospital that was never built. Not surprisingly,  the identities    of the criminals remain concealed.

As citizens, we cannot even make constitutional demands  such as getting whosoever or whichever group in power to meet the basic constitutional requirements of guaranteeing the welfare and security of the citizenry.   As a people, we have failed to make the Fundamental Objectives    and Directive Principles    of State Policy as enshrined in the second chapter of      our Constitution  justiciable.

As Nigerians, we should not just fold our hands and wait for whoever is elected in 2027. If we do, it will be illogical to expect a change in our circumstances or a better country for our children.  

The least we should do is agree on broad demands, or a Charter of Demands   which all politicians, irrespective of colouration, must accept and implement.   After all,   the Constitution states clearly that sovereignty belongs to the Nigerian people from whom all power flows. We must not allow the  lumpen  politics of Portable to persist.

The recent abduction and subsequent murder of Hon. Justice Azuka, a member of the Anambra State House of Assembly representing Onitsha North Constituency I, has cast a somber shadow over Anambra State. Azuka was kidnapped at gunpoint on December 24, 2024, along Ugwunaobankpa Road in Onitsha. After several agonizing weeks for his family and friends, his decomposing body was discovered near the Second Niger Bridge on February 6, 2025. It is the second of such gruesome killings involving members of the State’s House of Assembly, as Hon. Okechukwu Okoye from Aguata constituency was murdered under similar circumstances in 2022.

Those heinous acts are not isolated incidents in Anambra State which has in recent time gained a disturbing notoriety as the South East’s bastion of crime and criminality.

Once celebrated for its rich cultural heritage and economic vitality, Anambra State now grapples with a pervasive sense of violence, marked by kidnappings, assassinations, and general lawlessness. Like in the earlier days of Boko Haram in Nigeria’s North East, a large swath of the state, especially around Ihiala local government area, has been under the control of criminals and residents of communities like Okija, Azia, Lilu and and many others in the area were so terrorised that they relocated outside their homelands. Several months thereafter, most of them have still not returned.

It is in this light that the state government’s decision to launch an initiative to arrest the ugly trend, must be appreciated.

Governor Chukwuma Soludo, who has faced widespread blame for his seemingly ineffective handling of the situation since his assumption of office, last month came up with a detailed response. The government enacted the Anambra Homeland Security Law 2025 and introduced “Operation Udo Ga-Achi”, an initiative that aims to enhance community involvement in security and social re-engineering. As a specialized intervention force designed to complement regular policing efforts, its objectives include improving intelligence gathering, incentivizing whistleblowers, facilitating rapid response in order to swiftly eliminate criminal elements across the State. 

Soludo

The government’s elaborate plan includes operating a  command-and-control center that would integrate voice, video, and data for security management, and deployment of AI-powered surveillance cameras to cover communities throughout the state. It is also equipping the security personnel with advanced tools such as a state-of-the-art tracking system and walkie-talkies for real-time communication.

While many people in the state believe “Operation Udo Ga-Achi” signifies a robust commitment by the state government to restore peace and security and to foster a safer environment for residents and businesses, Prof. Obiora Okonkwo, a gubernatorial aspirant under the All Progressives Congress (APC) in Anambra State, has been vocal in his criticism of the initiative. In several statements credited to him, the business mogul and chairman of United Nigeria Airlines dismisses the governor’s efforts off-handedly, and insists that the new outfit was a mere political platform. In a recent interview with the Daily Sun, he describes the development thus: “It is obvious that what he has set up is not a security outfit but a political platform with full security apparatus…Soludo has simply unveiled an army of intimidation and occupation to run everyone out of town for his re-election”.

It is difficult to believe than an aspirant to the state’s highest office could be so insensitive as to reduce the issue of the people’s security to mere partisan politics, or to consider his political interest above the security of the cirizenry. It is in the light of this baseless criticism that the scathing remark must be condemned. Does the billionaire businessman appreciate the enormity of the state of insecurity in his state and has he evaluated its impact on the social, political and cultural life of the people? Every discerning mind, especially those not blinded by selfish political interests, knows that these criminal activities have so disrupted the state’s social fabric, deterred investment, and discouraged visitors. 

In recent times, many Anambra indigenes have been compelled to relocate significant ceremonies, such as marriages and burial ceremonies, to safer locations outside the state or even farther regions, seeking environments where guests can gather without apprehension. Traditional festivals, community gatherings, and other cultural events that once thrived have seen diminished participation or outright cancellations due to safety concerns. Not only do these acts dilute traditional practices, it has had profound cultural implications too numerous to mention. When one factors in the impact on the state’s economy and how businesses are forced to close or relocate due to threats and attacks, leading to job losses and decreased economic activities, the picture will look even more frightful. 

Okonkwo

The good news is that the positive impact of “Operation Udo Ga-Achi” is already being felt. In its first few weeks of operation, reports of criminals and their enablers being apprehended, and kidnappers’ hideouts being demolished, give a positive indication. Granted that it has faced its early challenges, examples being cases where innocent people were picked up but later released, a preponderance of public opinion in the state is optimistic that the free reign of criminals in the state is gradually coming to an end.

The state governments pledge to reward, on monthly basis, any Local Government Area that remains free of violent crimes with N10 million and ₦5 million for individuals or whistleblowers who provide information leading to the arrest of kidnappers and other criminals, has acted as a good incentive.

The fact that the ‘Soludo Solution’ will involve over 2,000 personnel drawn from the Nigerian Army, Police, Navy, and other security agencies, defeats Prof. Okonkwo’s argument that it will be comprised of elements that will be used to hunt down political opponents to the governor’s advantage. Needless to say, Okonkwo’s criticism is politically motivated, given his declared ambition to contest the governorship election against Soludo, but this attack on the state’s security policy is, to say the least, tactless, senseless and wrong-headed. It does his campaign no credit, neither does it bolster his political standing in any way. Rather, it projects him as someone who wants to feed fat, politically, on the miseries of the people.

In the fight against crime in Anambra state, there should be no place for self-serving comments from narrow-minded politicians. He should spare a thought for the scores of innocent people routinely kidnapped for ransom or gruesomely killed these past years. He should consider the dozens of dead bodies randomly dumped by the roadsides or in the rivers by ritualistic who are after ego mbute. He should think of the damage done to society when innocent citizens go missing only for their mutilated bodies to be discovered after their organs have been harvested. Any effort to reduce the carnage as well as the growing army of lawless people who have turned Anambra into a state of anarchy should receive support from well-meaning indigenes of the state. It is uncharitable for Okonkwo, or anyone else, to reduce such an issue that involves lives and the livelihood of the people to unnecessary political brinkmanship.

Sheddy Ozoene is Editor-In-Chief of People&Politics,