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Australia's online safety regulator on Monday fined messaging platform Telegram about A$1 million ($640,000) for its delay in answering questions about measures the app took to prevent the spread of child abuse and violent extremist material.
 
The e-Safety Commission in March 2024 sought responses from social media platforms YouTube (GOOGL.O), opens new tab, X and Facebook (META.O), opens new tab to Telegram and Reddit, and blamed them for not doing enough to stop extremists from using live-streaming features, algorithms and recommendation systems to recruit users.
 
Telegram and Reddit were asked about the steps they were taking to combat child sexual abuse material on their services. They had to respond by May but Telegram submitted its response in October.
"Timely transparency is not a voluntary requirement in Australia and this action reinforces the importance of all companies complying with Australian law," eSafety Commissioner Julie Inman Grant said in a statement.
 
Telegram's delay in providing information obstructed e Safety from implementing its online safety measures, Grant said.
 
Australia's spy agency in December said one in five priority counter-terrorism cases investigated involved youths.
The messaging platform has been under growing scrutiny around the world since its founder Pavel Durov was placed under formal investigation in France in August in connection with alleged use of the app for illegal activities.
 
Durov, who is out on bail, has denied the allegations.
 
Grant said Big Tech must be transparent and put in place measures to prevent their services from being misused as the threat posed by online extremist materials poses a growing risk.
"If we want accountability from the tech industry we need much greater transparency. These powers give us a look under the hood at just how these platforms are dealing, or not dealing, with a range of serious and egregious online harms which affect Australians," Grant said.
 
If Telegram choose to ignore the penalty notice, eSafety would seek a civil penalty in the court, Grant said.
($1 = 1.5625 Australian dollars)
 
[Reuters]
 

Ethereum price held steady as the market came to terms with the $1.4 billion hack by the Lazarus Group. 

Ethereum EthereumETH2.07%Ethereum traded at $2,795 on Sunday, a few points above last Friday’s low of $2,665. It remains about 32% below the highest level in December last year. 

Coinglass data shows that Ethereum balances on Bybit have started rising after crashing on Friday following the hack. Balances rose to over 200,000 or $558 million, up from last Friday’s low of 61,000.

Ethereum balances
Bybit ETH balances | Source: CoinGlass

There are two potential reasons for the ongoing Ethereum balances on Bybit. First, there is a likelihood that Bybit is actively buying ETH from the market as it seeks to boost confidence with its users. 

Second, the ongoing rise is a sign that customers are transferring ETH to the exchange as confidence rises. That’s because Bybit has maintained that it will cover 100% of the stolen Ethereum coins. Bybit has also launched a $140 million to track down the funds, a move that may see part of them returned. 

These events are happening after North Korea’s Lazarus Group allegedly accessed Bybit’s cold wallets and stole ETH tokens worth $1.4 billion. In addition to its scale, this hack raised concerns about the safety of crypto assets stored in cold wallets, by exchanges.

 

Ethereum price may be at risk of a bigger dive

Ethereum price
ETH price chart | Source: crypto.news

The daily chart shows that Ethereum may be at risk of a bigger dive in the near term. It has already formed a death cross pattern as the 200-day and 50-day weighted moving averages crossed each other. It is one of the most bearish chart patterns in technical analysis.

Ethereum price has also formed a bearish flag chart pattern, a popular continuation sign. This pattern is made up of a vertical line and a consolidation. This consolidation also resembles a rising wedge pattern.

Therefore, the ETH token will likely have a bearish breakdown, with the next reference level being at $2,155, the lowest point this year, which is about 23% below the current level.

The bullish outlook will become invalid if the coin jumps above the 200-day WMA point at $3,085. 

[crypto.news]

Bitcoin is still in its early days, and its price is poised for “massively high returns” over the next two to three decades, according to Wall Street veteran and mathematician Fred Krueger.

“We're super early. We're very, very early,” Krueger said in an interview on Jamie Tree podcast. “We're at the beginning of probably a 20-year journey of massively high returns. It’s going to be… 20 or maybe even 30 years.”

Krueger dismissed the idea that Bitcoin has already peaked, emphasizing that despite its rapid growth, it remains in the “first inning” of its long-term trajectory. He compared it to major tech stocks like Apple and Amazon, where even after early surges, valuations continued to skyrocket.

"I owned Apple in 2008, and I bought it when they first came out with the iPhone. The stock doubled… and then it doubled again. And then I thought, ‘Oh, I’m done. Great trade.’ And then it went up 50 times after that,” he said.

Krueger sees Bitcoin following the same pattern, urging investors to extend their time horizon. “This thing will just work, and it will work,” he stated. “You gotta just extend your time frame to about a decade.”

Bitcoin’s path to the ultra-wealthy

While retail investors have been the primary drivers of past bull markets, Krueger believes the next major wave will be led by institutional capital and high-net-worth individuals.

"If millionaires and billionaires decide to increase their Bitcoin exposure from a negligible 0.01% to just 2%, that small adjustment could unleash an avalanche of capital into Bitcoin," he said. “There’s so much money in real estate, bonds, and overpriced stocks… they just don’t have enough allocation.”

Krueger pointed to the recent launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs as a key catalyst for mainstream adoption among the ultra-wealthy. Previously, accessing Bitcoin required opening accounts on crypto exchanges or dealing with complex self-custody solutions. Now, traditional investors can allocate to Bitcoin through financial products like BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC.

“All they need to do is just allocate a very small amount into IBIT or FBTC, and those guys are going to clean up,” he said.

For those who still feel they may have missed out, Krueger had one message: "You're very, very early. Less than 1% of rich people even have any Bitcoin. There’s going to be a lot of great gains."

[TheStreet]

Cathie Wood is known for her exciting and optimistic long-term growth projections. Her investment fund has jumped into some of the trendiest companies and securities of the last decade.

Not all her investments have turned out profitable, but there's no doubt that she understands the world differently than most investors. And this unique mindset has allowed her to pinpoint some major growth investments before the general market gets turned on. Right now, she's a huge fan of an iconic cryptocurrency that she believes could soar in value in the years and decades to come, generating massive wealth for patient investors.

Cathie Wood loves this cryptocurrency

When it comes to cryptocurrencies, Cathie Wood loves Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC). She's been talking about Bitcoin for years, and her long-term projections are truly mouthwatering.

Wood uses the year 2030 for her price predictions, and she has four scenarios that she believes could play out in the five or so years ahead:

  • Bear case: $258,500

  • Base case: $682,000

  • Bull case: $1,480,000

  • Bullish case: $3,800,000

So even in her bear case, Wood believes Bitcoin's price will more than double by 2030. That's a solid return over a five-year period. In her base case, however, Bitcoin's price will rise by more than 500%. And in her most bullish scenario, a $100 investment in Bitcoin today would be worth nearly $4,000 by 2030.

To be clear, Wood has put her money and her clients' money where her mouth is. "We were the first public asset manager to gain exposure to Bitcoin in 2015 at $250," she revealed in an interview last year. And she believes that her bullish scenarios have actually gotten more likely with a more friendly regulatory climate, plus gradually more willingness for institutional investors to allocate capital to the largest cryptocurrency in the world.

"With this institutional green light that the SEC has provided, kicking and screaming though it did, the analysis we've done is that if institutional investors were to allocate a little more than 5% of their portfolios to Bitcoin, as we think they will over time, that alone would add $2.3 million to the projection I just gave you," Wood concludes.

One reason to add Bitcoin to your portfolio

Many investors have already added Bitcoin to their investment portfolios, either through direct purchases or by buying a Bitcoin ETF. If you haven't done so, now is the time.

It's very rare for new asset classes to be created, but Bitcoin is the exception. It has the longest running track record of any cryptocurrency, which gives it a name recognition and reputation edge that only grows over time. And while its price has been very volatile, it's clear that awareness and adoption continues to gradually grow. Because Bitcoin's supply is finite over the long term, this has caused its price to soar over the long term.

Zooming out, Bitcoin is likely just getting started. Gold, another store of value asset, currently has a market cap of around $20 trillion. Bitcoin, meanwhile, still has a market cap of around $2 trillion. Long term, I expect these values to converge completely, adding credence to Wood's lofty price targets.

If you're new to Bitcoin, don't go in head over heels immediately. Try allocating just 1% of your assets to the cryptocurrency. Once a position is initiated, it will be much easier to add more over time if you choose to. But with institutional buy-in gradually increasing, retail investors have an opportunity to have a first-mover advantage in this emerging asset class.

[The Motley Fool ]

Robert Kiyosaki, the author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, backed Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin prediction on Nov. 20, 2024, claiming that Bitcoin could reach $13 million per coin.

In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Kiyosaki wrote, "$13 million Bitcoin:….according to Michael Saylor. I believe he is right. He is one smart boy."

He compared Bitcoin’s potential to traditional education costs, adding, "Bitcoin today is $90,000. If Saylor is on target….which I think he is…. that means for $9,000 today….you buy .01 Bitcoin today…you are a millionaire tomorrow."

His statement followed a discussion between Saylor and Patrick Bet-David, where Bet-David questioned the long-term valuation of MicroStrategy, now rebranded as Strategy. Bet-David’s calculations suggested that if Bitcoin reaches $13 million, MicroStrategy could grow into a $10 trillion company within two decades.

Can Bitcoin realistically reach $13 million?

Saylor defended the projection, explaining the math behind it.

"Multiply 13 [million] divided by 90,000, and it gets you to a big number," he said on Nov. 19, 2024. He argued that if Bitcoin’s adoption rate increased from 0.1% today to 7% globally, demand would rise significantly, leading to a massive price surge. Given that Bitcoin has a fixed supply of 21 million coins, such adoption levels could drive prices into the millions per coin.

If Bitcoin reaches $13 million, owning 0.01 BTC today for $9,000 would be worth $130,000 in the future.

Bitcoin vs. an MBA: Which holds more value?

Kiyosaki also criticized student debt, arguing that investing in Bitcoin could be a smarter financial decision than taking out loans for an MBA.

"Sure beats going $50,000 in debt for a student loan…studying for years…just to earn a flimsy MBA. Get smarter…. buy Bitcoin today. I am."

Kiyosaki contrasted Bitcoin’s potential with the cost of a Master of Business Administration (MBA), arguing that investing in Bitcoin could yield far greater returns without the debt. The average cost of an MBA at a top U.S. university ranges from $50,000 to $200,000. At Harvard Business School, tuition is $84,000 per year, totaling about $168,000 for two years. Stanford’s MBA program costs $82,000 per year, with similar overall expenses. Many graduates leave school with $66,000 to $120,000 in student debt, with no guaranteed return on investment.

Kiyosaki suggested that instead of taking on massive student loans for a degree that may not lead to financial success, investing in 0.01 BTC for $9,000 today could be a smarter financial decision in the long run.

Bitcoin has already risen 87% in the past year, but reaching $13 million would require a shift in global finance. Saylor’s prediction assumes that Bitcoin will experience widespread institutional adoption, hyperinflation in fiat currencies, and increasing demand due to its scarcity.

 [TheStreet]
 

In Nigeria, artisans from neighboring countries like Togo, Benin Republic, and Cameroon have long been the backbone of skilled labor.

Known for their expertise in specialized trades such as tiling, plastering, carpentry,and Plaster of Paris (POP) installation, these foreign workers have been the preferred choice for individuals and builders.

However, a significant shift is taking place.

 

As the economy struggles, many of these artisans are leaving, creating a growing skill gap in the sector. With fewer skilled hands on-site and project delays, concerns about workmanship have become pressing issues.

A building contractor in Lagos, Johnson Odunayo, explained the preference:

“Most foreign artisans come trained from their home countries. Their work is neater, and they take their time to get the details right. They also respect timelines better than many local artisans.” 

Despite their dwindling numbers due to economic challenges, industry professionals continue to seek them out, emphasizing their precision and attention to detail.

“It’s not that there are more foreign artisans than Nigerians in the industry. The difference is that the ones who are here truly know their craft. Many Nigerian artisans lack thorough training and patience, which is why they often don’t meet expectations.” said architect Olu Adegbite.

Simon Nkemakonam, an architect, disclosed to Nairametrics that many foreign artisans in Nigeria come from other countries due to the higher value of the naira compared to their local currencies.

“A lot of foreign workers came for greener pastures. They come here, make money, and return home because the Nigerian economy was better than theirs”, he said.

However, he noted that the current economic hardship in Nigeria has made it difficult to find these skilled foreign artisans as easily as before.

“We learnt these skills in Nigeria” – Congo-born artisan 

Contrary to popular belief, many foreign artisans honed their craft within Nigeria’s borders. John Mensah, a Congo tiler who has worked in Enugu for over a decade, explained that his journey began by learning from his fellow countrymen who had already established themselves in the trade.

“I learnt this work in Nigeria from my brothers who were already tilers before me. We are not better because we come from Togo. The difference is that we take our time to learn properly, while most Nigerian artisans rush the process,” he said.

  • John’s perspective highlights a major issue in Nigeria’s vocational sector – the lack of structured training and patience among local artisans. While foreign workers dedicate years to perfecting their skills, many Nigerian artisans opt for quick apprenticeships, often cutting corners.

Okoro Williams, a Nigerian screeding expert, believes that the issue goes beyond skill gaps, it is also a mindset problem.

“It’s a mentality issue. Nigerians generally do not value locally made products or services, no matter how much you try to convince them,” he said.

  • Williams noted that Nigeria has a good number of highly skilled artisans, but due to this perception, even when Nigerian professionals are recommended for jobs, clients still opt for foreign workers.
  • Sharing his personal experience, he acknowledged the skills of some Togolese screeding artisans he has worked with and learned from. However, he pointed out that while some of them are highly skilled, others lack proper expertise yet still secure jobs simply because they are perceived as better than their Nigerian counterparts.

Speaking on payments, Nkemakonam advised that it is preferable to pay foreign artisans in instalments rather than in full upfront.

“If you pay them in full, they often take the money home to their country and leave your job unfinished, only to return weeks later. To prevent this, they are paid in bits until they complete the work.” 

Immigration challenges forcing artisans into hiding 

Despite their contributions to Nigeria’s construction sector, foreign artisans face significant hurdles, particularly with immigration policies. Many enter the country through ECOWAS free-movement agreements, but residency renewal fees have become a persistent challenge.

“Before, we paid N5,000 yearly for our permits, but now it has increased to N20,000. This is difficult for many of us, so some workers go into hiding to avoid the payment. I pay mine, but I know others who struggle to afford it,” John disclosed.

This increase in immigration costs has forced many skilled workers to constantly have issues with immigration picking them up even while on a sit hence affecting their work.

Personal accounts of subpar workmanship 

Olalekan Ogundare, a fashion designer based in Lagos, recounted his ordeal with a local plumber after moving into a new apartment.

I got a new toilet seat, and the plumber who installed it did a poor job. Water was dripping from the connection between the WC and the pipe. He came to fix it three consecutive times, but the problem persisted,” Ogundare lamented.

Similarly, Mrs. Oyindamola shared her experience with a technician she hired to repair her front-loading washing machine.

“They always claim to be experts in their field, yet they can’t fix something properly the first time. He worked on the machine and tested it with a quick 15-minute cycle. After he left, I noticed the machine was taking in water but couldn’t drain it after a wash. I called him back; he said he would return but never did. Someone recommended another technician who discovered it was a wrong plumbing connection. He resolved it and fixed the filters,” she recounted.

Anna Njoku recalled her experience with a DStv agent who installed a satellite dish.

“I wanted a two-way connection so my son could watch from his room too. It worked for just that day. The installer said it was a wrong wire. I spent money to get the right wire, yet the same issue persisted. He came repeatedly, trying to fix it but couldn’t. I got tired and moved on. Now, my son watches only YouTube in his room,” she explained.

Discrimination in artisan skills 

Nkemakonam also highlighted the discrimination in the industry stating that while more developed countries prioritize skill acquisition over certificates, the reverse is the case in Nigeria.

“In Nigeria, lucrative jobs are given to degree holders with little or no hands-on experience, while skilled artisans are sidelined,” he said.

  • He further lamented the inadequate number of technical schools in the country, despite the growing need for skilled workers.
  • The architect also pointed to the increasing number of poorly built structures across the country, blaming it on the lack of practical skills among those in charge.
  • Recalling an incident at a construction site, he explained that an iron bender was absent, leaving the degree-holding supervisors unable to manage the work properly.

“When the main bosses arrived, they questioned the supervisors, but they couldn’t even tell the difference between a 5mm and a 16mm rod. Yet, these supervisors are paid more than the iron benders and are assigned to oversee their work,” he said.

He noted that many artisans gain expertise through years of hands-on experience, even without formal education, emphasizing the need for a balance between technical education and practical skills in the industry.

Technical education reform 

Amid these concerns, the Nigerian government has taken steps to strengthen technical education.

Minister of Education, Dr. Moruf Olatunji Alausa, recently announced the conversion of Yaba College of Technology (YABATECH) into a university as part of a broader push to prioritize Technical and Vocational Education (TVE) and Science, Technology, Engineering, Mathematics, and Medical Sciences (STEMM).

“Nigeria’s economic future depends on building a skilled workforce in these critical fields,” Alausa stated, emphasizing the need to move away from the traditional focus on white-collar jobs.

  • He also proposed expanding technical courses, launching online training programs with international certifications, and promoting skills in emerging fields like AI and machine learning.
  • However, the move to convert polytechnics into universities has sparked opposition from the National Association of Polytechnic Students (NAPS). The association’s president, Eshiofune Oghayan, warned that such changes could undermine the hands-on, industry-focused training that polytechnics provide.

“We reject the proposed conversion of YABATECH into a university. Polytechnic institutions play a crucial role in bridging the gap between theoretical knowledge and industrial application,” Oghayan stated.

Instead, NAPS is advocating for a structured system that strengthens polytechnic education rather than phasing it out.

Need for regulation in Nigeria’s artisan sector 

In an interview with Nairametrics, Dr. Paul Alaje, an Economist, explained that one of the key issues affecting the artisan industry is the absence of a structured regulatory framework.

The artisan industry operates without any structured oversight. If there were a regulatory system in place or even a middleman to ensure accountability, it would function more efficiently,” he said.

Dr. Paul suggested that while the government may not take direct control, state governments could collaborate with the private sector to establish a framework that ensures better organization and oversight.

He further emphasized the economic significance of the artisan sector, stating, “The artisan industry is actually larger than the entire banking sector, yet its contributions are not properly accounted for in economic indicators like GDP.” 

Rise in labour cost 

Dr. Paul further explained that the lack of a properly developed skillset in the artisan sector has contributed to rising labor costs.

“This gap in skilled labor makes services more expensive,” he said, citing examples of Lebanese workers who come to Nigeria and charge exorbitant fees for their expertise.

According to him, if Nigeria had a well-structured system for training and certifying artisans, it would reduce reliance on foreign labor and make skilled services more affordable.

He concluded that recognizing and integrating the sector into economic planning could bring significant benefits, including improved working conditions, better pay structures, and increased contributions to the national economy.

Prioritizing technical education, and regulating the artisan industry, could help address these challenges, ultimately driving economic growth and reducing unemployment.

[Nairametrics]

The opposition People’s Democratic Party (PDP) has said no serious Northerner will line behind the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) in 2027.

The major opposition party was reacting to allegations of ‘non-performance’ against Kaduna Central Senator Lawal Adamu and the alleged stoppage of the distribution of learning and teaching materials worth millions of naira procured by the lawmaker, which was reportedly halted by the state government.

In an interview with newsmen, Yusuf Dingyadi, Senior Special Assistant to the National Chairman of the PDP on Media and Communication, said the governor ought to collaborate with other representatives of the people in the interest of the state.

“It is expected that the state government, irrespective of political party, will work together with other elected representatives of the people to improve the living standards of the Kaduna populace.

“The PDP is a political party, and as long as you keep attacking it, you won’t make progress. You cannot be sponsoring political thugs and propagandists to destroy our values just to impress President Bola Tinubu because of your 2027 agenda.

“No serious northerner will campaign for the APC in the North. The fact that some politicians are performing ‘Papalolo’ for him does not mean they genuinely support him—it is merely to advance their stomach infrastructure,” he said.

He urged governor Uba Sani not to allow himself to be misled by some political ‘straying horses who are more of a liability than an asset to him’.

He added, “Our PDP-elected members are not dormant. They are performing well in their constituencies, better than the APC’s.

“You cannot manipulate our political success by sponsoring propagandists to attack our performing elected legislators or by staging defections in a sponsored arena.”

[DailyTrust]

Feyenoord Rotterdam has confirmed the appointment of Robin van Persie as the club’s new head coach, marking the beginning of a new era for the Eredivisie side.

“The next chapter starts here. Robin van Persie, welcome home again,” the club said in an official statement released on Sunday.

Transfer expert Fabrizio Romano reported that the former Netherlands international and Feyenoord legend has signed a contract keeping him at the club until June 2027.

Van Persie, who enjoyed a glittering playing career at clubs such as Feyenoord, Arsenal, and Manchester United, now takes on the managerial role at De Kuip, embarking on a new phase in his football journey.

 

Romano also confirmed the appointment last Friday via a post on X (formerly Twitter), revealing that Van Persie will be joined by René Hake as part of his coaching team.

“Robin van Persie signs today as Feyenoord’s new head coach until June 2027. Former Erik ten Hag assistant René Hake will join his staff too,” Romano wrote.

Hake previously worked as an assistant to Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag and brings valuable experience to Van Persie’s backroom staff.

[Punch]

Socio-Economic Rights and Accountability Project (SERAP) has filed a lawsuit against the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) “over the failure to reverse the patently unlawful, unfair, unreasonable and unjust increase in Automated Teller Machine (ATM) transaction fees.”

The CBN recently announced that ATM withdrawals made at a machine owned by a bank but outside its branch premises will now attract a charge of N100 per N20,000 withdrawn. ATM withdrawals at shopping centres, airports or standalone cash points, will incur a N100 fee plus a surcharge of up to N500 per N20,000 withdrawal.

In the suit number FHC/L/CS/344/2025 filed last Friday at the Federal High Court, Lagos, SERAP is asking the court to determine “whether the decision by the CBN to increase ATM transaction fees is not arbitrary, unfair, unreasonable, and contrary to the provisions of the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act 2018.”

 
 

SERAP is asking the court for “a declaration that the decision by the CBN to increase ATM transaction fees is arbitrary, unfair, unreasonable and contrary to the provisions of sections 1(c) and (d), 104, 105 and 127(1) of the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act 2018, which is binding on the CBN.”

SERAP is seeking “an order of interim injunction restraining the CBN, its officers, agents, associates or any other persons acting on its directive or instructions from enforcing and giving effect to the decision, pending the hearing and determination of the motion on notice for an order of interlocutory injunction filed in this suit.”

In the suit, SERAP is arguing that: “The increase cannot be justified under the Nigerian Constitution 1999 [as amended], the CBN Act, Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act, and the country’s international human rights obligations.”

SERAP is also arguing that, “The increase creates a two-tiered financial system that discriminates against poor Nigerians who may not be able to afford or pay the increased ATM fees.”

According to SERAP, “The patently unlawful, unfair, unreasonable and unjust increase in ATM transaction fees also inherently contributes to violations of the human rights of socially and economically Nigerians.”

The suit filed on behalf of SERAP by its lawyers Kolawole Oluwadare and Andrew Nwankwo, read in part: “The CBN is compromising its stated mission to advance the management of the country’s economy, and ultimately, sustainable development.”

“The CBN is also failing to comply with the Nigerian Constitution, the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act and the country’s international human rights obligations in the exercise of its statutory powers and functions.”

“The increase in ATM transaction fees ought to have been shouldered by wealthy banks and their shareholders, not the general public.”

“CBN policies should not be skewed against poor Nigerians and heavily in favour of banks that continue to declare trillions of naira in profits mostly at the expense of their customers. The increase in ATM transaction fees would inflict misery on poor Nigerians and contribute to human rights abuses.”

“Imposing exorbitant ATM transaction fees on socially and economically vulnerable Nigerians at a time several Nigerian banks are declaring trillions of naira in profits yearly is manifestly unfair, unreasonable and unjust.”

“The CBN through a Circular to all banks and other financial institutions dated February 10 2025 stated that it has reviewed and increased the ATM transaction fees prescribed in section 10(7) of the CBN Guide to Charges by Bank, Other Financial and Non-Bank Financial Institutions 2020.”

“Section 1(c)(d) of the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act, 2018 provides that the objectives of the Act are to ‘protect and promote the interests and welfare of consumers’ and ‘prohibit restrictive or unfair business practices’ such as the exorbitant and unreasonable increase in ATM transaction fees by the CBN.”

“The provisions of the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act are directly binding on the CBN, as the provisions constrain the exercise of the statutory powers and functions of the institution.”

“Section 2(1) of the Act provides that its provisions ‘apply to all undertakings [such as the CBN] and scope of application to all commercial activities within Nigeria.”

“Section 2(2) provides that: ‘This Act is binding upon- (a) a body corporate or agency of the Government; (b) a body corporate; (c) all commercial activities aimed at making profit and geared towards the satisfaction of demand from the public.’”

“According to section 70(1) of the Act, ‘For the purpose of this Act, an undertaking [such as the CBN] is considered to be in a dominant position if it is able to act without taking account of the reaction of its customers or consumers.’”

“The Act prohibits abuse of dominant position by the CBN including charging excessive ATM transaction fees to the detriment of consumers.”

“Section 104 of the of the Act asserts the supremacy of the Act over ‘the provisions of any other law’, such as the CBN Act. The only exception to the provision is the Nigerian Constitution 1999 [as amended].”

“Section 127(1) of the Act also prohibits the CBN from making any policy or providing “any services at a price that is manifestly unfair, unreasonable or unjust.”

SERAP is therefore asking the court for the following reliefs:

A DECLARATION that the decision by the Defendant in upwardly reviewing and increasing ATM Transaction Fees, as contained in the Defendant’s circular dated 10th February 2025 is arbitrary, unfair, unreasonable, unjust and a dis-service to the consumers of the services rendered by Banks, Other Financial and Non-Bank Financial Institutions in Nigeria, and ultimately in breach of sections 1(c) and (d), 104, 105 and 127(1) of the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act 2018.

A DECLARATION that by the combined provisions of section 1 (c) and (d), 104, 105 and 127 (1) of the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act 2018, section 42(1) (a) of the Central Bank of Nigeria Act 2007 and section 10.7 of the Central Bank of Nigeria Guide to Charges by Banks, Other Financial and Non-Bank Financial Institution 2020, the Defendant cannot unilaterally increase ATM Transaction Fees without the consent of the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC).

AN ORDER setting aside the Defendant’s circular dated 10th February 2025 and published on 11th February 2025, with reference number FPR/DIR/GEN/CIR/001/002, directed to all Banks and Other Financial Institutions for being arbitrary, unfair, unreasonable, unjust and a breach of the provisions of sections 1 (c) and (d), 104 and 127 (1) of the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act 2018.

AN ORDER restraining the Defendant, including its agents, assigns, privies and or representatives or such other persons acting on its behalf, and all Banks, Other Financial and Non-Bank Financial Institutions in Nigeria from implementing and/or enforcing the decision of the Defendant.

AND FOR SUCH FURTHER ORDER(S) that the Honourable Court may deem fit to make in the circumstance of this suit.

No date has been fixed for the hearing of the interim application and the substantive suit.

 [Vanguard]

 

Nowa Omoigui, the respected Nigerian military historian and cardiologist who died in 2021, documented the subtle power game between Ibrahim Babangida and Sani Abacha arising from the foiled Gideon Orkar coup of 1990.

Babangida was military president form 1985 to 1993 before stepping aside in the heat of the June 12 crisis, while Abacha took power in 1993 and ruled till June 1998 when he suddenly died.

In his newly released autobiography, ‘A Journey in Service’, Babangida blamed “forces by by Abacha” for the annulment of the June 12 presidential election in 1993.

 

Omoigui, in a series of articles he wrote in 1998 which were never disputed, said there were already signs as far back as 1985, when Babangida overthrew Muhammadu Buhari, that Abacha had a long-time plan.

 

Abacha announced the overthrow of civilian president Shehu Shagari on the last day of 1983 and also announced the appointment of Babangida as the president on August 27, 1985 when Buhari was deposed.

The coup speech itself was read by Joshua Dogonyaro, then a brigadier.

However, the Orkar coup of April 1990 rattled Babangida, leading to the death of UK Bello, a lt-colonel who was his ADC.

 

Abacha rallied the troops to foil the coup and began to gain loyalty from top military officers.

Reproduced below are the relevant aspects of one of the articles, ‘The Palace Coup of November 17, 1993’.


ABACHA (CENTRE) TOOK POWER IN NOVEMBER IN 1993 AFTER HE WAS LEFT BEHIND BY BABANGIDA AS “ENFORCER” OF THE INTERIM NATIONAL GOVERNMENT

When Major General Ibrahim Babangida came to power after the Palace Coup of August 1985, he rewarded then Major General Sani Abacha, GOC of the Army’s 2nd Division with the position of Chief of Army Staff – the position from which Babangida had launched himself into power. Abacha reportedly negotiated for this position as a condition for supporting the coup.

However, Abacha was not well regarded professionally.  He was thought of as a very dull officer, who was prone to late coming, disliked staff meetings, kept odd hours, enjoyed exclusive private parties and loved entertaining himself with curious personal interests.  There were rumors that he had not made it out of the Staff College at Jaji with honor, that some of his old confidential reports were much below par and that he had been saved on several occasions from retirement during his military career. One such occasion was a controversial bloody clash with the Police when he was the Brigade Commander in Port Harcourt in the late seventies.  Nevertheless, he was a key coup conspirator in December 1983 and August 1985 – which is what counted in the Nigerian Army of that era.

 

According to sources, soon after he became Army Chief in 1985 one of the first things he did was intimidate many local and foreign Army contractors into arrangements from which he would benefit personally. Some of those who met him then say he seemed to be driven by a fanatical desire to compete financially with his rival and protégé, General Babangida, who had been the immediate past holder of that office. A source told me that Abacha – without providing any evidence – had a mental fixation that Babangida was very wealthy and that he (Abacha) could also be wealthy if contractors “do for me as you did for him”.   The dysfunctional manifestations of this rivalry dogged Abacha throughout his career as a Service Chief and later Head of State. Allegedly he always felt that he needed to stash away huge sums of money as a way to guarantee his personal security. It remains unclear to this day why he felt that way.

He was also very state-security conscious and regularly took a hard line against soldiers suspected of disloyalty.  He was party to the decision to execute General Vatsa and others in March 1986 – in spite of numerous domestic and foreign pleas – and was not happy when the charge against Major Akinyemi was changed from ‘Treason’ to ‘treasonable felony’.  His displeasure was that the lesser charge guaranteed that even if guilty he would not be executed.  (Never a man to forget old grudges, he stubbornly refused to release the Major from Prison ten years later, even after he completed his sentence!)

In time, Abacha’s poor management skills and lack of professional respect undermined him with the caucus of junior and middle ranking officers that brought Babangida to power.  As the Chief of Army Staff, he was even allegedly personally insulted by then Major Sambo Dasuki, a one-time ADC to the President – an incident that eventually led to the Major’s first “protective exile” to the United States on course. Clamour began that Abacha be removed as Army Chief to make way for a more professionally sound officer.  I vividly recall an officer (now late) tell me back then that “Abacha is spoiling the Army.”  Naturally, once his blood was sensed in the water, other ambitious senior Army Officers began eyeing his job, notably Brigadier (later Major General) Joshua Dogonyaro who had also been a key insider in the coup that propelled Babangida to power.  Not far behind were other Officers of the Regular One – (1) course at the Nigerian Defence Academy who felt that their time had come to take over the leadership of the Army from foreign-trained Officers.  Such Regular One Officers included Saliu Ibrahim, Aliyu Gusau, Oladipo Diya, etc.

Abacha’s reaction to all this was to accuse Babangida of deliberately underfunding the Army so as to make him (Abacha) unpopular with the troops. Things were bad enough at one stage that a secret meeting of insiders outside the context of the Armed Forces Ruling Council had to be held at Ikeja Cantonment to smooth things over. Sources claim special financial arrangements were made to placate Abacha and allay his suspicions, while alternative mechanisms – like adhoc Task Forces – were later created to ensure that funds actually reached operational units, bypassing the Ministry of Defence.

 

Nevertheless, clamour continued for Abacha’s removal. Eventually, General Babangida concocted a dicey two step scheme to do so. The scheme involved the initial removal of Lt. General Domkat Bali as concurrent Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff and Minister of Defence. In this scenario, Babangida became the Defence Minister while Abacha was to simultaneously hold the positions of Chief of Army Staff and Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff.   Step Two (2) would involve Babangida giving up the Defence Minister position, and then later enticing Abacha to take the Defence Minister position in combination with the position of Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff.   In exchange, Abacha would vacate the position of Chief of Army Staff.

This delicate two step process, initiated on December 29, 1989, was complicated by negative reactions to the step one removal of Lt. General Domkat Bali and the perception that the changes affected the religious balance of power in the military.  Bali himself refused to accept his demeaning redeployment as Minister of Internal Affairs, where he would take over from Brigadier John Shagaya, a junior officer from the same Langtang area of Plateau State.  Instead he chose to retire ten days later.

 

In April 1990, citing a laundry list of complaints, junior officers led by Lt. Col. G Nyiam, Major Saliba Mukoro and Major Gideon Orkar staged an attempted coup, which eventually failed. One of their complaints was “The shabby and dishonourable treatment meted on the longest serving Nigerian General in the person of General Domkat Bali, who in actual fact had given credibility to the Babangida administration.”

By all accounts, most of the credit for rallying the resistance and crushing this coup attempt goes to Lt. Gen. Sani Abacha, who was at that time the Chief of Army Staff and concurrent Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff.   After the rebellion was crushed, Abacha went on radio to reassure the country. Among other things, he said:

 

“I, Lieutenant-General Sani Abacha, Chief of Army Staff, Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff, have found it necessary to address you once again in the course of our nation’s history. In view of the unfortunate, development early this morning, I’m in touch with the CGS, Service Chiefs, GOCs, FOCs, AOCs, of the armed forces and they have all pledged their unflinching support and loyalty to the federal military government of General Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida who is perfectly safe and with whom I am in contact… No amount of threat or blackmail will detract the federal military government’s attention in this regard. We are set to hand over power to a democratically elected government in 1992. I wish to assure all law-abiding citizens that the situation is now under control and people should go about pursuing their lawful interest. 

Long live the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

 

Thank you.”

General Abacha’s role in saving the Babangida regime in 1990 bought him huge stock, not only with Babangida himself but also with a significant number of other “IBB Boys”.  It marked the beginning of the rise of Sani Abacha and the beginnings of his own independent client network, separate from the umbilical cord that tied him into the maternal Babangida bandwagon.  His own independent network would later become known as “Abacha Boys”, based mainly, but not exclusively, around officers from the Kano area.

After a lull during which Babangida was very nervous and lacked confidence, he later resumed the old plan to replace Abacha as Chief of Army Staff.  In September 1990, after two batches of executions of “Orkar coup convicts” had been carried out, Babangida ceded his position as Minister of Defence to General Abacha who was to combine it with his position as Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff.  Some observers feel that an unwritten part of this new arrangement was that Abacha would be left alone to do as he pleased with defence funds while Babangida ran the rest of the government.  To crystallize the new “space” created for General Abacha as the “Defence Czar”, he stayed behind in Lagos when Babangida moved to the new capital of Abuja in 1991.  It was as if the country had two governments.

However, rather than make fellow coup merchant then Maj. Gen. Joshua Dogonyaro the Chief of Army Staff, Babangida prudently chose Major General (later Lt. Gen.) Salihu Ibrahim, then the GOC, 82 Division. Ibrahim was a respected apolitical Armoured Corps officer with no history of involvement in coups – except as a victim in August 1985 when he was arrested in Jos during Babangida’s take over.  Dogonyaro was placated with command of ECOMOG in Liberia after the fiasco during which President Samuel Doe was abducted right under the nose of Ghanaian General Arnold Quianoo.

Abacha retained the combined positions of Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff and Defence Minister until August 26, 1993.  After the events of April 1990, Babangida was often quoted as referring to him as “Khalifa”, meaning “successor”. Meanwhile, it should be noted that although Vice-Admiral Aikhomu was transitioned from the office of Chief of General Staff and made the Vice-President in 1990 to President Babangida, that slot was actually initially proposed to Chief Ernest Shonekan, a civilian United African Company (UAC) Executive.

THE POLITICAL COUNTDOWN

Others have written extensively about the political countdown and endless transition of the Babangida regime. As is well known, the date of the final handing over of power was shifted from 1990 to 1992 and then 1993. I shall present a brief overview and highlight those aspects that show the hand of General Abacha as a behind the scenes manipulator.

Based in part on the report of the Political Bureau, which was originally set up in 1986, a two-party system (one “a little to the right” and the other “a little to the left.”) was created in October 1989.   They were the National Republican Convention (NRC) and the Social Democratic Party (SDP). Both parties were run and financed by the Government, which also arrogated to itself the right to write their party constitutions.  The constitutional context was the 1989 Constitution (Decree #12 of 1989), based on work done by a Constitution Review Committee, ratified by the Constituent Assembly and amended by the Armed Forces Ruling Council. Among the eleven amendments imposed by the AFRC, three were defence and security related.  One removed the National Assembly’s control over national security because, (according to the AFRC), it “exposes the chief executives and the nation to clear impotence in the face of threats to security”.  The second deleted certain provisions establishing an Armed Forces Service Commission to supervise implementation of the federal-character principle.  The third amendment removed Section 1 (4) of the draft constitution, which had outlawed coups and classified them as criminal.

Initially, based on Decree  #25 of 1987 amended by Decree # 9 of 1989, there was a ban on all former politicians and top officeholders since 1960, particularly those previously found guilty of abuse of office.   However, both decrees were repealed in December 1991, initially under pressure from ‘northern elders’ but ultimately to ‘create a level playing field for all ethnic groups’.  Similarly, based on Decree #19 of 1987 and amended by Decree #26 of 1989, the plan was for presidential elections in November 1992.  However, as a result of alleged malpractices during party primaries in Sept 1992, primaries were canceled altogether in October 1992, major contenders frozen out, and the timetable shifted to 1993. Local, State and National committees of both parties were dissolved and replaced by caretaker committees. The Babangida government later announced that they would be audited.

The driving principle behind all of this was Babangida’s fear of powerful, financially independent politicians and his secret desire to plant handpicked, “controllable” newbreed politicians in state government houses and legislative positions all over the country as a civilian base for a diarchy which he would head at the center.  Those who lost out in the cancellation of the 1992 Presidential primaries and were banned included late Major General Yar’Adua (rtd) who won the SDP nomination hands down, and Chief Olu Falae; Alhaji Adamu Ciroma and Alhaji Umaru Shinkafi were about to go in for a run-off for the NRC nomination.  They too were banned.

A few weeks later, on November 17, 1992, General Babangida dissolved the AFRC and, after a pregnant pause, created the National Defence and Security Council (NDSC) on January 2, 1993.  A civilian Transitional Council was also set up to replace the Council of Ministers and win back waning public confidence in the “transition program” following the failed Presidential Primaries.  Its Chairman was Chief Ernest Shonekan, also known as “Head of Government”.  Empowered by Decree #54 of 1992 (Constitution (Suspension and Modification) [Amendment], the Transitional Council shared joint responsibility with the National Defence and Security Council to ensure a smooth and successful handover to civilians.  It was after all of this that Alhaji Bashir Othman Tofa and Chief Moshood Kashimawo Olawale Abiola later emerged as the Presidential contenders from the NRC and SDP respectively.  Strangely, though, neither man internalized the bitter experience of men before them like Shehu Yar’Adua, Olu Falae, Umaru Shinkafi, Adamu Ciroma and Bamanga Tukur, all of whom had been led on by Babangida but ultimately betrayed at the end.

All of this was being monitored by the security services – as well as General Sani Abacha, who later told confidants that Babangida had been toying with the idea of ruling Nigeria for 30 years. When Chief Abiola first showed interest in running for the Presidency, certain “IBB Boys” (including Abacha) expressed concern and approached Babangida to find some way to ban Abiola from taking part. However, based on a security report which falsely projected Alhaji Babagana Kingibe as the likely winner of the SDP Presidential primary convention in Jos, Babangida assured his concerned “military boys” that Abiola would not prevail and thus there was no need for fear.  On the other hand he simultaneously assured Abiola that he could run for office if he so wished and would have no problems if he won fair and square.  He did not, as far as is publicly known, tell Abiola at that early stage that there were restive northern officers opposed to his political ambitions, nor did he tell his “caucus” officers that he had given his word to Abiola that he could run for office.  Interestingly, Abiola himself was independently familiar with most members of the Babangida military caucus, either as business associates or as a financial sponsor of previous coups (in 1983 and 1985) in which they had played key roles.

As things turned out, to the consternation of military officers – like Abacha – who were opposed to Chief Abiola, Abiola narrowly won the SDP nomination at the Jos convention, overcoming determined opposition from a motley group of SDP Governors and disgruntled former aspirants. However, security sources reported allegations of massive vote buying.  Concerned officers approached Babangida to use the report as an excuse to ban Abiola and stop the process at that stage before it evolved to formal national elections.  Meanwhile, as the June elections came nearer, against a backdrop of anti-military agitation by students and workers groups, General Olusegun Obasanjo and Chief Anthony Enahoro publicly expressed doubts over the sincerity of military’s intention to leave power.  Caught between an undercurrent of public suspicions that he had a “hidden agenda” and behind the scene pressure from some powerful elements of his military caucus to scuttle the transition again, Babangida initially resisted the military pressure.  Alhaji Baba Gana Kingibe emerged after difficult negotiations as Abiola’s running mate while Dr. Sylvester Ugoh was chosen as Tofa’s Vice Presidential candidate.

It must be mentioned, however, that the voice of the military was by no means uniform. There were officers, like Lt. Gen Salihu Ibrahim, General Ishola Williams, Brigadier MC Alli, Colonel Abubakar Umar and a few others who genuinely wanted a disengagement of the military from politics. Some people claim Lt. General Oladipo Diya was also not in favor of the military perpetuating itself at this stage. Other officers preferred one candidate versus the other, while a small clique did not want to leave power for either candidate.  This clique included Lt. Gen. Dogonyaro, Brigadier David Mark, Brigadier Stephen Anthony Ukpo, Brigadier John Shagaya, Brigadier Halilu Akilu and a few others, all of whom were “IBB boys”.  What is really fascinating is how General Abacha concealed his real motives and intentions from most military officers.  At the few senior officer conferences he attended, Abacha would typically remain quiet. He preferred to express his strong views to Babangida directly and privately, while quietly mobilizing opinion behind the scenes and maintaining discrete contact with civilian leaders of thought who were opposed to the elections in general and to Chief Abiola specifically.  Meanwhile, to those unfamiliar with their inner tensions, he positioned himself as the guarantor of the Babangida regime.  Further on in this essay, the strategic brilliance of Abacha’s concealment will be apparent.  Major General MC Alli, for example, says that Abacha “had the patience of a hook-line fisherman or a bush hunter, and the memory of an elephant and a native cunning to match.”

In addition to this cacophony of discordant but troubling military voices there were powerful civilian pressures, notably from then Sultan of Sokoto, Ibrahim Dasuki as well as other Emirs who allegedly did not like or trust either Tofa or Abiola.  In the background, personalities who had been banned or schemed out from contesting as a result of government fiat were also opposed to the elections.  These included late Major General Shehu Yar’Adua and Alhaji Abubakar Rimi.  Funny enough Alhaji Bashir Tofa who was a candidate, supported by some elements within the NRC, also joined the bandwagon to boycott and/or cancel the elections.  Then there were mischievous campaigners, like the Association for Better Nigeria (ABN) which wanted the military to hold on to power.  All these internal groups and persons working hard to scuttle the elections altogether were opposed by foreign countries like Britain and the US which wanted the military to leave power.

Nevertheless, on June 10, 1993, ignoring ouster clauses in Decree #13 of 1993 and Decree #19 of 1987, Justice Bassey Ikpeme of the Abuja High Court granted a motion brought by the ABN to restrain the Electoral Commission (NEC) from conducting the election.  However, citing lack of jurisdictional authority, General Babangida initially chose to ignore the court, which is why the NEC went ahead to conduct the election on June 12, which was later said to be ‘free and fair’.

BABANGIDA STEPPED ASIDE AS MILITARY PRESIDENT AND RETIRED FROM THE ARMY AS A GENERAL IN AUGUST 1993

FROM JUNE 12 UNTIL AUGUST 26

On June 16, Professor Humphrey Nwosu announced – after results for 14 of the 30 states were already known  – that the NEC would suspend announcing election results.  The results increasingly pointed toward an apparent win by Chief Moshood Abiola, pending appeals to higher courts against lower court injunctions.  The entire result was later released by a pressure group called the Campaign for Democracy (CD) suggesting that Abiola won the majority of votes in 19 states while Tofa won 11 states. However, pressure from key Army factions continued behind the scene.

General Babangida left Abuja and retreated to Minna for urgent consultations with elements of his original 1985 military coup ‘caucus’.  The majority of these elements (including Abacha) had become thoroughly fed up with his previous assurances that Abiola was not going to make it past the Jos convention. They were now faced with the reality of an impending Abiola Presidency.

Practically holding him hostage, they reportedly gave him the option to choose between annulling the elections or leaving office voluntarily short of which, it is alleged, he and Abiola might be killed.   While all of this was going on, strange items of correspondence were circulating alleging that if Moshood Abiola were to be allowed to take office, he would purge the military, move the capital back to Lagos, and take other actions deemed threatening to vested interests.  Arguments were reportedly made in certain circles that Babangida was, by act of benign neglect, about to destroy the legacy of the Sardauna of Sokoto and yield political and ultimately military power to an ethnic region that already dominated the country economically.  This was amplified by interesting explanations that Abiola could not be ‘controlled’, that he was owed large sums of money by the federal government which he would now “unethically” control, that he had many wives and concubines etc.  Thrown into the mix were arguments about the controversial Jos convention of the PDP at which he allegedly bought votes, and the basic unfairness of preventing those who won the party primaries in September 1992, from contesting.  One school of thought felt that in fairness, since Abiola had gone through the electoral process and spent large sums of money, he ought to be paid off for his expenses and then advised as a friend to avoid politics and stick to business.

According to Professor Omo Omoruyi (The Tale of June 12, Press Alliance Network London 1999, page 165) General Babangida said:

“Sani (meaning General Sani Abacha) is opposed to a return to civilian rule.  Sani cannot stand the idea of Chief Abiola, a Yoruba, becoming his Commander-in-Chief at all; Sani seems to have the ears of the Northern Leaders that no southerner especially from the Southwest should become the President of this country. Sani seems to rally the Northern Elders to confront me on the matter.  Where do I go from here?  They do not trust me. Without Sani, I will not be alive today; without the North, I would not have become an officer in the Nigerian Army and now the President of Nigeria……..”

“I don’t want to appear ungrateful to Sani; he may not be bright upstairs but he knows how to overthrow governments and overpower coup plotters.  He saw to my coming to office in 1985 and to my protection in the many coups I faced in the past, especially the Orkar coup of 1990 where he saved me and my family including my infant daughter.”

“Sani, you know, risked his life to get me into office in 1983 and 1985; if he says that he does not want Chief Abiola, I will not force Chief Abiola on him…”

On June 21st, Justice Dahiru Saleh of the Abuja High Court voided the election even though the appeal by the NEC was pending at the Court of Appeal. Formal announcement to the nation of the cancellation followed on June 23rd, after a nocturnal military meeting the day before of “IBB Boys” at the Presidential Villa.  During the meeting most military officers rejected a negotiated compromise to resolve the impasse, preferring all out annulment.

Shortly thereafter, a state of Military Alert was announced, and the Chief Army Staff, Lt. General Salihu  Ibrahim went around military formations in the country to explain the annulment.  According to Major General MC Alli (rtd), who was at that time Director of Military Intelligence (DMI), most soldiers were unhappy about the annulment for three reasons.  Firstly, they were fed up with the domination of a small clique of officers who had been in power since 1983. Secondly, “in spite of General Babangida’s ‘settlement’ or material bribes, soldiers wanted to return to their professional roles”.  Thirdly, many were upset about their deployment to Liberia to be killed like animals without national consensus or proper logistic support.  But they had little choice, as a result of command influence, but to go along with it, at least on the surface. Meanwhile, according to the former DMI, security operatives were “busy constructing overt and covert threats to the life of Chief MKO Abiola”.

Protests and riots erupted, especially in Lagos and other parts of Chief Abiola’s home region of the country.  In response, General Sani Abacha gave marching orders to the Governor of Lagos State, Sir Michael Otedola, to restore order or risk exposing his citizens to the fury of the Nigerian Army.  Less than twenty-four hours later troops poured into the streets of Lagos and shot hundreds of unarmed demonstrators indiscriminately – on Abacha’s orders. Meanwhile the military became very unpopular and officers even feared wearing their uniforms publicly.

Following the annulment, General Obasanjo (rtd) suggested that Babangida set up an interim Presidential Council comprising former Heads of State (excluding Babangida) to negotiate the transition to a future permanent form of government.  This plan would retain democratic structures at State and local levels, as well as the National Assembly at national level, but the National Executive would be an interim government responsible to the Presidential Council.  Babangida did not like the idea of a Presidential Council without him but liked the notion of an Interim National Government as an exit strategy.

A committee under Lt. Gen. Dogonyaro, meanwhile, urged new elections under new rules as Babangida had indicated in a speech to the nation on June 26.  This proposed new Presidential election was allegedly to be conducted before August 27, 1993, even though the government statement dissolved the NEC which would have been charged to conduct such an election.  Babangida viewed this as a trap aimed at him and quietly maneuvered to slip out of it.

Initially, the SDP predictably rejected any plans for a new election and Abiola meanwhile refused to give up his “mandate”.  However, after the usual Nigerian cajoling and bribing, political leaders of the SDP independently distanced themselves from Moshood Abiola as well as Governors and Legislators originally elected on SDP ticket.  The SDP, under Chief Tony Anenih and Alhaji Sule Lamido, then agreed on July 7, 1993 to an unelected interim National Government in which they would collaborate with the NRC under Hammed Kusamotu and Tom Ikimi as well as President Babangida, to the exclusion of Abiola, the apparent winner of the June 12 elections.   Anenih’s actions caused a rift in the SDP that was later said to be resolved on October 11, well into the life of the ING.

This development, which was the result of Babangida’s personal initiative, left Babangida with the challenge of determining how he would tiptoe around his military sharks to guarantee his personal safety and exit from power as well provide military backing to the legitimacy of the ING.  The only way he could have done this successfully was to assume full operational and policy control of the reigns of the defence and security establishments which meant he had to find a way to continue as Commander-in-Chief and Minister of Defence after August 27, 1993.  Unfortunately, he had dribbled his own military backers once too many and was unable to get support for such a “Pinochet type” arrangement from them.  He did not trust them; they did not trust him; and neither did they trust themselves.  It increasingly became clear that Babangida’s personal political agenda and that of the Nigerian military officers who brought him to power in 1985 were divergent.

To freeze Abiola out, the government released spates of decrees. These included, but were not limited to Decree #39 of 1993, also known as Presidential Elections repeal Decree; Decree #40, also known as Transition to Civil Rule (Amendment); Decree  #41, also known as Presidential Election (Invalidation of Court Order) Decree. Media organizations like The Punch, Concord Press, Sketch, Abuja Newsday, Ogun State Broadcasting Corporation and The Observer were proscribed.

Then a Tripartite Committee comprising Military, Government, and political Party representatives was set up on July 31, 1993, to decide how to manage what was left of the transition. The military was represented by Lt. Gen. Dogonyaro and Lt. Gen. Aliyu Gusau Mohammed, along with Brigadiers Mark, Shagaya and Ukpo.    This configuration pointedly excluded most members of Abacha’s “Lagos group” and provides some insight into Babangida’s thinking and Abacha’s cunning. Dogonyaro and David Mark groups were neck deep in ING organizational intrigues, which Babangida half-heartedly hoped to manipulate in order to guarantee a military role for himself after August 27.  Meanwhile Abacha was quietly consolidating and networking within the military, probing for weaknesses and lining up his ducks in a row.  But Abacha was crafty enough to allow some overlap.  Brigadier David Mark, for example, was initially simultaneously in Abacha’s  “Lagos Group” as well as being in the “IBB Group.”  In this manner a casual observer would superficially view the network of groups as one continuum of  “IBB-Abacha Boys” while Abacha quietly worked underground to crystallize his own clique.  Abacha firmly believed in the concept of keeping one’s enemies even closer to one than one’s friends, until he was ready to strike.

The government was represented by Admiral Aikhomu (Vice President), Chief Ernest Shonekan of the TC (as “Head of Government”), Mr. Akpamgbo of the Justice Ministry and Alhaji Abdulraman Okene of the Ministry of Internal affairs, among others.   The NRC was represented by Alhaji Adamu Ciroma, Alhaji Bashir Dalhatu, Mr. John Nwodo, Chief Tom Ikimi, and Mr. Eyo Eyo Ita. The SDP was represented by Mr. Patrick Dele Cole, Chief Jim Nwobodo, Alhaji Olusola Saraki, Chief Dapo Sorumi, Mr. Joseph Toba, Alhaji Abubakar Rimi, and Major General Shehu Yar ‘Adua among others.

In this confused situation, General MC Alli, then DMI says he raised the possibility of overthrowing General Babangida with Army Chief Lt. Gen Salihu Ibrahim, who was reluctant to support such a move for a variety of professional, political and practical reasons, including his deep distrust of General Abacha.  Next, Brigadier MC Alli approached the Defence Minister General Sani Abacha with the same idea.  Abacha’s main concern was whether the Army Chief, Salihu Ibrahim, would back such a move.  Alli lied to Abacha by saying he had not yet approached Salihu Ibrahim.    Caught between two key officers who did not trust one another, Alli initially backed off.  But as the situation further deteriorated and Army prestige was at an all time low, Alli again approached Abacha, this time at home, in the presence of Lt. Gen. JT Useni. Again Abacha chose to be obdurate, taciturn and reflective.  But Alli saw through him and concluded – rightly – that Abacha had some kind of personal design that he was not yet ready to spring, preferring for General Babangida to leave the scene first, peacefully.   In my view Abacha was probably gauging MC Alli’s intentions and deciding whether or not to trust him because – as we shall see later – he had already secretly tapped some officers to begin the delicate process of recruiting allies for his final drive to power.   Simultaneously other dynamics may have been at play between Generals Babangida and Abacha.  One unconfirmed account says that although they had a “pact”, their wives did not get along, and that Mrs, Babangida did not relish the thought of him handing over to General Abacha.  Meanwhile other pro-IBB and anti-IBB military interest groups were scheming, including some core “IBB Boys” who basically wanted to implement a self succession plan, after which professional officers in the military would be purged through a process of being set up and eliminated.   There was also a last ditch effort to get the National Assembly to “draft” Babangida in some sort of role to plug the apparent vacuum following annulment but this effort failed after, it is rumored, money had already changed hands.

On August 2, 1993, the Army Chief, Lt. Gen. Salihu Ibrahim told senior officers of the Army in Lagos that difficulties in arranging a new Presidential election before August 27, 1993 had persuaded the government, with the backing of the two parties and foreign countries, to form an Interim National Government (ING). The ING would organize elections and carry out government responsibilities.  Officers discussed options for full civilian government composed of the two parties, a mixed civilian-military interim regime or a full temporary military regime.   Those present recommended that Babangida stay no longer than August 27, 1993, and that officers from all three services should work out the details for transition. Such officers should not have held political positions in the government.  They also recommended that the National Assembly be on recess while the ING was active and that the two political parties be self financing.  The interesting thing about this process of military consultation on the Transitional Program was that it was parallel to the Tripartite Committee mentioned earlier.

On August 3, faced with real and imagined threats to his life and with no hope of getting Babangida to rescind his decision on the June 12 matter, Chief Moshood Abiola left Nigeria for Europe.

On August 17, General Babangida informed the National Assembly that he was stepping aside.  His Service Chiefs did not accompany him to the National Assembly, which was a breach of protocol and an indicator that he was fast losing control of the military.   On that same day, which happened to be his birthday, senior officers from all three services met in Lagos and reaffirmed that Babangida could not continue in office. They did not, however, appoint a successor to replace him, nor did they make room for him to play the role of a Commander-in-Chief during an interim government.   This “oversight”, which Babangida was not pleased about, was very convenient for Abacha’s game plan.  On the strength of recommendations of the Tripartite Committee, the government then established the Nwabueze Panel. It was tasked to draft a constitution for the proposed ING.  The panel included Professor Ben Nwabueze, Mr. C. Akpamgbo (Attorney General), Justice P. Nwokedi, Professor Uvieghara, and Dr. Azinge.  In those dangerous days, officers who used to be freely admitted into Babangida’s courtyard with their security details were now required to be disarmed and to leave their details as far away as possible.  There was at least one such incident involving General Abacha himself.

On August 25th, with options for a safe exit closing fast, General Babangida settled on Chief Ernest Shonekan as his candidate for the Chairmanship of the proposed ING.  Shonekan, incidentally, was not only Yoruba like Abiola but also from Abeokuta in Ogun State, like Abiola.  Lt. General Aliyu Gusau Mohammed, then the National Security Adviser, reportedly influenced his appointment and the British government supported it.   The Nigerian military as an institution had nothing to do with his appointment.

Professor Omoruyi opines that Shonekan agreed, as a condition of his appointment, not to reopen the June 12 matter. He also allegedly made a commitment to assist in preventing Yorubas from forming a united front on the issue.   Another curious ‘agreement’ was that Shonekan would not move into the official Presidential Villa in Abuja but would instead stay at the Presidential Guest House.  The main Villa was to be left vacant.

Another interesting decision General Babangida made in his confused state of mind was to leave General Abacha behind as the Secretary of Defence and Vice Chairman of the ING, reportedly as “an insurance against coups” and to ensure unity of the military in backing the ING.  In other words, genuinely concerned about the safety of the Hen House, Babangida asked the Fox to guard it.    To counter-balance Abacha, however, Babangida planned to appoint Lt. Gen. Joshua Dogonyaro as the Chief of Defence Staff.  Abacha would guide “policy” while Dogonyaro would take charge of “operations”.  This curious arrangement was actually a default for which Babangida had no serious options, except perhaps Brigadier David Mark.  Once he lost the backing of the Armed Forces to continue in either a military or political role after August 27, he had to rely on an unstable alliance of those he had relied on all along to keep power.

On August 26th, 1993, a retirement parade was held at the Eagle Square in Abuja for General Babangida.  Following the parade, Babangida – miffed at their lack of backing for his continuation in office as the C-in-C – announced the retirements, along with his, with effect from August 27, of all his Service Chiefs and announced the appointment of Lt. Gen. Dogonyaro as Chief of Defence Staff.   The service chiefs retired were Lt. Gen. Salihu Ibrahim (COAS), Air Vice Marshall Dada (CAS), Vice Admiral Preston Omatsola (CNS), Vice Admiral Murtala Nyako (Deputy Chief of Defence Staff) and Alhaji Aliyu Attah (IGP).  Following this announcement by Babangida, the DMI (Brig. MC Alli) met with the Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff and Defence Minister, General Abacha in his bedroom and advised that the retirements made by Babangida be rescinded to help stabilize the tense situation between the Armed Forces and Babangida on one hand and the Nigerian public on the other.  Abacha listened patiently, counseled patience, and advised that “there was need to consolidate military authority before further action.”

What Abacha did next was a classic move. He met with the “retired Service Chiefs”, empathized with the way they were treated and offered to extend the effective dates of their retirements until September 17th.   Then, the next day, with their support, he backdated the date of Babangida’s retirement from the Army to August 26th, a step which rendered Babangida’s pronouncements from the 27th invalid.  Then he later rescinded Dogonyaro’s appointment as Chief of Defence Staff, arguing that three northerners, (Abacha as Defence Secretary, Dogonyaro as CDS and Aliyu Mohammed Gusau as COAS) should not ‘unfairly’ monopolize top jobs in Defence.   He offered Lt General Oladipo Diya, Commandant of the National War College and a Yoruba from Abiola’s home Ogun State, the position of Chief of Defence Staff.  This was a cynical move by Abacha, who, as one of his former close confidants told me, had little regard for Diya personally, and most Yoruba officers in general.  But Abacha needed to isolate Dogonyaro, and had larger designs on the political class, particularly Yoruba leaders of thought who he was going to use Diya to pacify. Therefore, the “Yoruba” strategy was useful  – for now.

THE INTERIM NATIONAL GOVERNMENT

The transition from Babangida to Shonekan was codified by a number of decrees. Decree No. 59 of 1993 ended the Babangida administration whilst Decree No. 61 created the ING.

Thus, at about 3.30p.m, on August 26, 1993, Ernest Shonekan was sworn in as the new “Head of State and President of the ING” by the Chief Justice of Nigeria, Justice Mohammed Bello, at the Presidential Villa, Abuja.  He was not, however, sworn in as the “Commander-in-Chief” of the Armed Forces!  This “oversight” was also deliberate.   Another interesting detail was that Decree #61 of 1993 that established the ING identified General Abacha by name as the Vice-President, Defence Secretary and “Senior Minister.”  The “Senior Minister” was empowered to succeed the President of the ING in the event of resignation or other untoward event.  Thus Abacha was Shonekan’s designated successor and Shonekan had no operational control of the Armed Forces.

A number of military era decrees were then abrogated.  However, two days later the National Labour Congress (NLC) began a nationwide strike to protest fuel scarcity.

Shonekan addressed Nigerians on August 31st.   He had begun the process of releasing most of those detained for their involvement in pro-June 12 riots like Chief Gani Fawehinmi, Dr. Beko Ransome-Kuti and Mr. Femi Falana. He re-opened some Universities that had been shut down and lobbied the National Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers (NUPENG) and the NLC to suspend industrial actions.  To the military, Shonekan promised to start phased withdrawals from Liberia.

Even as Shonekan was making these lofty pronouncements, Abacha was well on his way.  It was on September 3rd that he publicly announced what had already transpired behind the scenes.  Lt-General Oladipo Diya was his replacement for Lt. Gen. Joshua Dogonyaro as CDS, Air Commodore John Femi was to replace Air Commodore Nsikak Eduak as Chief of Air Staff while retaining Lt-General Aliyu Mohammed as Chief of Army Staff, and Rear Admiral Suleiman Seidu, as Chief of Naval Staff.  Simultaneously he ordered the Military Task Force on Petroleum to restore normal supply of fuel to marketers within 24 hours. Two days later, the killing of seven Nigerian soldiers serving the UN Peace-keeping Force in Mogadishu, Somalia, was announced.  It resulted in a fact-finding tour led by Brigadier-General Cyril Iweze. On September 13th, Defence Headquarters issued a curious clarification over the recent Army postings, saying it had no political undertone.  Spokesman Colonel Fred Chijuka said a similar exercise was underway in the Navy and the Air Force. A week later, Chijuka was again making another statement, this time to announce the appointment of new Divisional Commanders and the retirement of Lt-Gen. Joshua Nimyel Dogonyaro. With his position made untenable by Abacha, Dogonyaro “voluntarily” retired from the Army, alerting the country in the process that Abacha was in the opening phase of an all out assault on democracy.  As a coup merchant himself he should not have had any difficulty reading the signs.

On the political front, meanwhile, the calculation that Shonekan’s appointment as Head of the ING would split the Yoruba people and make it easier to consign the June 12 election to the rubbish heap of history failed. Political threats against Shonekan began as soon as he took office and his house even had to be protected from arsonists.   The Governors of Oyo, Ogun, Osun and Ondo States, for example, refused, at least in public, to recognise Shonekan as the Head of State. They and other Yoruba opinion leaders also requested Yoruba speaking elements in the ING to resign their appointments. The legality of the ING was also challenged in court.  Pro-democracy rallies resumed.  To douse this flame, Shonekan, who had earlier agreed as a condition of his appointment not to raise the June 12 issue, and even stated on September 28th that the ING will not do so, was advised by some to establish the Mamman Nasir panel to investigate June 12.  He announced this on October 1st, even as security men were arresting waves of pro-democracy supporters.  Two days later, in a storm of controversy in the Press, members of the SDP in the ING threatened to pull out, claiming that they had only accepted to serve initially because they thought they were supporting a Palace coup to oust the former President Ibrahim Babangida. Meanwhile the National Assembly was locked into an internal battle over efforts to repeal the decree that annulled the June 12 election in the first place.  Both Shonekan and Abiola were touring the country to raise support for their respective agendas.  Abiola filed a court motion to declare the ING illegal.

Shonekan was also later accused (without evidence) of trying to bribe opposing members of the National Assembly in an attempt to gain legitimacy and expand his national support base.

As far as the Army was concerned, Shonekan relied on his personal friendship with Lt. Gen Aliyu Gusau, former National Security Adviser and new Chief of Army Staff. One unconfirmed account suggests that both Gusau and Rear Admiral Suleiman Seidu of the Navy may have discussed the possibility of retiring Abacha with Shonekan.  If true, it would have been interesting indeed to see how this would have transpired in practice.  All the Service Chiefs had clearly treated Shonekan with disdain.  For example, during the Passing out Parade at the Nigerian Defence Academy that year, Shonekan was not accompanied by any of the Service Chiefs.   Such an alleged but presumably unsuccessful effort on the part of Gusau and Seidu against Abacha, therefore, if true, would have had the effect of marking both men for subsequent retirement when Abacha started his final push into Aso Rock.

Long before this time military officers had begun settling down into various groups and cliques for and against Babangida, for and against Abiola, and for and against themselves.  What later became known as the Sani Abacha Lagos group or caucus, comprised various combinations among officers like Brigadier Ahmed Aboki Abdullahi, Brigadier Bashir Magashi, Brigadier M Chris Alli, Brigadier Ishaya Bamaiyi, Brigadier Patrick Aziza, Brigadier Tajudeen Olarenwaju, Brigadier Ibrahim Gumel, Brigadier David Mark, Air Commodore MA Johnson, Rear Admiral FBI Porbeni, Colonel Lawan Gwadabe and Lt. Col. Sambo Dasuki, among others.   This group often met in the guest house of Brigadier Bashir Magashi at Ikoyi.  It is pertinent to mention that Brigadier MC Alli – the former DMI who later became GOC, 1st Division and then COAS – was “invited” into the group by Brigadier Ahmed Aboki Abdullahi, not by General Abacha.  Nevertheless it seems apparent that Abacha must have engineered it, appreciative of Brigadier MC Alli’s confidential visits to his office and home all along.

Between August 27th and September 17th Abacha made more critical decisions as the effective political and operational Chief of all the Armed Services.  He publicly announced new Army postings in Lagos without recourse to Shonekan who was ensconced at Abuja.  Obviously the lame duck Service Chiefs who owed him the decency of being properly retired with adequate three-week notice and traditional pull out ceremonies did not question his moves.  By September 20th, therefore, when the new “Service Chiefs” finally took office, new officers adjudged loyal to General Abacha, were occupying all the strategically sensitive commands in the Army.  Dangerous ‘IBB Boys’ were defanged, first by being posted out to politically safe locations and then subsequently kicked out of the Army entirely – in stages. Indeed nearly all the officers (and prominent northern Traditional rulers) who helped Abacha to power eventually felt his jackboots.

Regarding the September postings, at the Lagos Garrison Command, for example, Brigadier Ishaya Rizi Bamaiyi took command.  At the Brigade of Guards, Brig Gen. Bashir S Magashi replaced Colonel JY Madaki, who was then posted to the Depot in Zaria.  At the 1st Infantry Division, Brig. Gen. MC Alli, erstwhile DMI, replaced Brig. Gen. John N Shagaya, as GOC. Shagaya was then posted to ECOMOG in Liberia as acting Major General.  At the 2nd Division HQ in Ibadan, Brig-Gen. Godwin Osagie Abbe replaced Brig-Gen. John Inienger as the GOC.  At the 3rd Armoured Division, Brig Gen. Tajudeen A Olanrewaju replaced Brig Gen. Ahmed M Daku.  At the 82 Division, Brig (later Maj Gen.) Timothy M Shelpidi replaced Brigadier (later Maj Gen.) Chris Abutu Garuba.  Brig Gen. Ahmed Aboki Abdullahi replaced Brig-Gen M Chris Alli as DMI.  Colonel Lawan Gwadabe had taken over from Col. Abdulmumuni Aminu as Commander, National Guard – a controversial para-military outfit viewed as a duplication of the regular military.  Lt. Col. Sambo Dasuki was in the Military Secretary’s office.  Most amusingly, Brigadier Halilu Akilu, erstwhile powerful Director-General of the National Intelligence Agency, was posted to the Oshodi Resettlement Scheme to rehabilitate disabled and retiring soldiers.

The Lagos group had began preparing actively for the overthrow of the Shonekan government right from the moment he was sworn in.  Nominations were accepted and votes counted at meetings of the entire caucus or an inner caucus within the outer caucus.  In this manner, General Sani Abacha was “elected” by this self appointed military Electoral College to take over as Head of State, C-in-C and Minister for Defence. Lt. Gen. Diya was ‘voted’ to be his Chief of General Staff, beating Lt. General Aliyu Gusau.  Major General Abdulsalami Abubakar beat Major Generals Edward Unimna and Cyril Iweze for the position of Chief of Defence Staff.  Then Brigadier (later Major General MC Alli) was told that “the scenario had been set” for the position of COAS to fall on him. This implied that Lt. Gen Aliyu Gusau Mohammed who had been appointed to that position by out going President Babangida, was to be prospectively frozen out of any top military position in the planned Abacha dispensation.  Similarly, Rear Admiral Suleiman Seidu was later edged out as Chief of Naval Staff in favor of Rear Admiral Allison Madueke in a high stakes game of ethnic balancing championed by Brigadiers MC Alli and Aboki Abdullahi.

In his book “The Federal Republic of Nigerian Army”, Major General MC Alli (rtd) explains how he dealt with his personal doubts about Abacha’s quality as the designated incoming Head of State.  When he raised the issue with General Diya, Diya assured him that Abacha would “change his habits.”  Diya also reportedly said that Abacha “would not succumb to his intense acquisitive instinct that utterly was no respecter of systems and order.”  Alli also says that then Director of Military Intelligence, Brigadier Aboki Abdullahi, on the other hand, “explained that “the ‘North knows’ Sani Abacha, more so, he was the ‘most senior northern officer.’  In fact, he emphasized that Northern Emirs approved of his ascendancy to power.”

Lt. Gen. Diya later summoned the Abacha Military Caucus to his office in Lagos.  It was tasked to produce a very detailed Top Secret report regarding the state of the Nation, issues of National Security, the state of the military and the political stalemate occasioned by the annulment of the June 12 elections.  The Chairman was Brig-Gen MC Alli and the Secretary, Colonel Lawan Gwadabe.  Other members were Brigadiers Aboki A Abdullahi, Ishaya Bamaiyi, Bashir Magashi, and Patrick Aziza, Commodore F. Porbeni and Air Commodore MA Johnson.  They subsequently met in the office of Lagos Garrison Commander, Brigadier Ishaya Bamaiyi, broke up into subcommittees and came out with what was titled “The Report: The Way Forward”.   Major Gen. MC Alli (rtd) reveals that he sampled the opinion of officers like Lt. Gen. Aliyu Gusau, then COAS, and Major General Abdulsalami Abubakar, then Commandant of the War College.  General Gusau expressed the opinion that a full military regime at that stage would be unwise and might destroy the military.  General Abubakar questioned the rush into removing Chief Shonekan who had only just been installed. It is not, however, clear what either officer did with the information Brigadier Alli shared with them.

Meanwhile on September 13, Chief Gani Fawehinmi told The African Guardian: “Whether Shonekan likes it or not, God has ordained his regime as the shortest in history of Nigeria. And it will be suddenly terminated by God, because June 12 has a connotation and denotation which Nigerians have not understood. Until they know the extent of June 12, they will be beating about the bush…”

On September 24th, a few days after Abacha had fully consolidated military control, Chief Moshood Abiola returned to Nigeria from Britain. A large crowd of supporters received him at the presidential wing.

From the airport, his first stop, even before he went home, was Defence House in Lagos where he met secretly with General Abacha behind closed doors.  Knowledgeable insiders say that both Abacha and Diya encouraged Abiola to return home – against Shonekan’s wishes.  Since both Abacha and Abiola are dead it is hard to confirm the report that Abiola and Abacha agreed to a military take over of the government as an interim measure before final hand-over to him down the road.  But several witnesses confirm that Abiola actively suggested names to General Abacha for inclusion in his first cabinet.  It seems clear, however, that Abacha was taking the Abiola along for a ride and that Abiola fell for it.  Maj. Gen. MC Alli testifies that when he later asked General Abacha whether he had a pact with Abiola regarding the June 12 election, Abacha’s reaction was: “MC, you should know better.”

THE COLONEL ABUBAKAR UMAR PLOT AND THE NIGERIA AIRWAYS HIJACK

In early October 1993, the Army became engaged in internal security duties in the dispute between Ogoni and Andoni in Rivers State.  Such operations later became highly controversial and eventually led to the execution of Ken Saro-Wiwa and others by General Abacha.  However, during the last week of September and first week of October, Colonel Abubakar Dangiwa Umar, Commander of the Armoured Corps Center and School, began making contacts regarding a military coup which he said was aimed at removing Chief Shonekan from power and installing Chief Abiola. He made an attempt to recruit the new GOC of the 1st Division in Kaduna, Brigadier MC Alli, into his group by claiming that his plan had the support of the Army hierarchy, including General Abacha himself.  Alli apparently contacted his crony Brigadier Aboki Abdullahi who had taken his place as Director of Military Intelligence in Lagos.  Umar was subsequently arrested on suspicion of treasonable felony or about October 7th 1993.  Because of his very close personal relationship with former President Babangida, there was an unstated suspicion that he may have been involved in some kind of pro-Babangida conspiracy.  Luckily for him he was not charged.   Following appeals on his behalf by Brig MC Alli to Generals Aliyu Gusau and Sani Abacha, he was released, after which he resigned his commission.

It is important to note that in deciding to release Colonel Umar without charge, Abacha was being savvy.  He did not need the diversion at that point from his main focus; did not need to upset General Babangida unnecessarily at that stage by pushing for one of his closest “boys” to face possible execution or prolonged imprisonment; and did not want to deal with the practical implications of granting the Shonekan regime unnecessary legitimacy by trying an officer for conspiracy against what he himself considered an illegal government which would soon be removed anyway.  So he chose to deal with the matter administratively within the military, rather than legally.  Colonel Umar Dangiwa was quietly replaced as the Commander of the Armoured Corps by Colonel M. A. Garba who acted in that capacity until January 1994 when Colonel Peter Sha took over as the substantive Director.

Shonekan meanwhile, on the advice of a local kitchen cabinet of close associates, was beginning to behave like a head of state and attend foreign meetings.   For example, he addressed the UN General Assembly on October 7th, even as he was being sued at home for releasing moneys to the NEC for the purpose of conducting fresh elections and for setting up a panel of inquiry into the annulment of the elections.  Even the late musician, Fela Anikulapo Kuti publicly described the Shonekan government as “neocolonialist” and as a “western stooge”.  During this period Shonekan asked security agencies to investigate corruption in Nigerian parastatals like the NNPC, NEPA, Nigeria Airways, Central Bank, Customs etc.  Abiola was in the meantime asking Nigerians to fast and seek God’s intervention in the affairs of Nigeria.

Shonekan attended the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting  (CHOGM) from October 21 – 25, 1993 at Limassol, southwest of Nicosia, on the south coast of Cyprus.  At the CHOGM, Shonekan was embarrassed by an appeal from Sir Douglas Richard Hurd, the British Foreign Secretary, to “reach an accommodation with Moshood Abiola, the unofficial winner of the poll.”

From Limassol he was reported to be making calls incessantly to Abacha in Nigeria regarding the security situation.   The former UAC Chief Executive may have been unnerved by back-channel reports of Colonel Umar’s arrest and perhaps even alleged whispers from Lt. Gen Gusau about other conspiracies lurking in the shadows.  However, Abacha – in a move reminiscent of how he treated General Buhari in 1985 – apparently refused to take most of the calls, citing Shonekan’s lack of authority over him as the Defence Secretary.  Interestingly, the ING announced on October 21, that it planned to scrap the National Guard, a decision that was popular with the mainstream military and was already recommended by the secret Brigadier MC Alli Military Caucus report.  Then on the last day of the conference, four members of the Movement for the Advancement of Democracy (MAD) led by Jerry Yusuff hijacked a Nigerian Airways Airbus A310 (5N AUH) with 137 passengers and 11 crew bound from Lagos to Abuja. The plane ended up in Niger republic where it was later stormed by Nigerien paramilitary commandos.  It was Nigeria’s second aircraft hijacking incident, the first having taken place back in April 1967 during tensions leading to the Nigerian civil war. At that time a Nigeria Airways Fokker Friendship F-27 bound for Lagos was hijacked from Benin to Enugu by Sam Inyang and Onuorah Nwaya of the “Special Task Force”, the militant wing of what later became the Biafran Directorate of Military Intelligence.

The manner in which the Shonekan régime handled the hijack matter raises serious questions in my mind about the civil-military-external affairs relationship at that time.  For one the government sent a delegation led by the Transport and Aviation Secretary, Alhaji Bashir Dalhatu, to Niamey to negotiate for the release of the hostages. Secondly, the ING allowed Niger republic to carry out a military operation to rescue Nigerian hostages in a Nigerian plane that was hijacked from Nigeria. The almighty Nigerian military was not in the loop either for lack of Special Forces expertise, lack of command consensus, or lack of trust.  This writer viewed the development with consternation back then and interpreted it as a sign that certain elements within the military were unwilling or unable to undertake a potentially messy international rescue operation which might undermine its credibility on the eve of a coup at home.  Fortunately for most of the hostages, the rescue operation was carried out professionally by the Nigeriens and went well.  Ordinarily, no serious country would have allowed another nation unilaterally take such momentous responsibility for its own citizens.

On October 31st word leaked in the Nigerian Press about efforts by some influential Nigerians to get the ING to dissolve both political parties and all existing political structures.  Coincidentally, such a recommendation was indeed part of the MC Alli secret report.  This was followed soon after by dramatic events at the National Assembly following which the Senate President was impeached.  Pro and anti-ING factions in the legislature, guided by a strategic desire to support or oppose Presidential hopeful Major General Shehu Musa Yar’Adua (rtd), sparred on the floor of the Chambers.  This dispute eventually led to the impeachment of Senate President Dr. Iyorchia Ayu on November 2, by pro-ING Senators led by Chuba Okadigbo.  Senator Ameh Ebute replaced Ayu.  All of this came against background plans by the new NEC led by Professor Okon Uya to organize party primaries from January 7 – 9, 1994 followed by Presidential elections on February 19, 1994.

On November 3rd, social critic Gani Fawehinmi was quoted during a Book launching ceremony as saying: “The military must intervene to stop this war of Shonekan’s government against the people”.      On the contrary, three days later on November 6th, Northern Elders led by former President Shehu Shagari met to find ways to ensure that Nigeria remained united.  They expressed support for the ING as the midwife for a stable transition.

Under these circumstances, Chief Shonekan, taunted by some for “lack of power”, symbolically moved into Presidential Villa from the Presidential guest house in early November – against his original understanding with former President Babangida – and to the consternation of Abacha. General Abacha was increasingly worried about Shonekan’s growing confidence and irritated by security reports to Shonekan that he was planning “something”.

Under pressure from declining international oil prices, Shonekan’s government chose at that inauspicious time to withdraw the petroleum subsidy on November 8th, and raise the price of petrol from 70 Kobo to 3.50 Naira, a massive increase with predictably dramatic effects on inflation.   Not surprisingly, it led to street protests and plans for a full-scale resumption of industrial action by pressure groups.

THE FINAL DASH

Two days later, on November 10, 1993, the Shonekan-led ING was declared illegal in a ruling at the Lagos High Court presided over by Justice Dolapo Akinsanya.  Back in October, as previously noted, a case had been brought by Moshood Abiola and Baba Gana Kingibe to declare the ING illegal, null and void.   The lead Attorney for the Federal Ministry of Justice, Mr. Dele Jegede, advised the court that Decree # 61, which was supposedly the legal basis of the ING, did not exist.  Decree #56 had previously fixed August 27, 1993 as the date of commencement of the 1989 constitution.  Justice Akinsanya reasoned that since Babangida had divested himself of power by signing Decree # 59 of August 26th, he had no power to sign Decree # 61.  All of this dovetailed nicely into General Abacha’s original skillful backdating of the effective date of Babangida’s retirement to August 26th.

The day after the Court Judgement, Professor Bolaji Akinyemi publicly pleaded with General Sani Abacha to rescue Nigeria from a ” terrible political and legal quagmire”. But Abacha, ever so patient and disciplined regarding the timing of coups resisted being rushed before crossing his “Ts” and dotting his “Is”. After all the ING was contesting the Akinsanya judgement in a higher court and Abacha still had to watch his flanks within the military carefully.  There was still the matter of how to handle the Chief of Army Staff, Lt. Gen. Aliyu Gusau Mohammed, who was not a man to be underrated.

On November 15, 1993, however, the Nigerian Labor Congress called a General Strike.  On November 16, 1993, the Senate began open hearings on the fuel price increase by the Shonekan Administration while the House of Representatives asked the ING to rescind the price increase.

The next day, on November 17th at about 10 am, Generals Sani Abacha, Oladipo Diya and Aliyu Gusau arrived at the Presidential Villa in Abuja accompanied by truckloads of fearsome looking soldiers.  These troops were under the command of two “Lagos Group” conspirators, namely Colonel Lawan Gwadabe of the National Guard and Brigadier Bashir Magashe of the Brigade of Guards.  Magashe was almost certainly there to make sure Gwadabe followed the Abacha script and no other.  Following a ‘private meeting’ with Chief Ernest Shonekan, Shonekan was graciously allowed to deliver a farewell speech to the ING after 82 days of controversy, following which he was flown to Lagos.

After waiting patiently for so many years, Abacha, “the successor”, had finally struck.