Admin

Admin

Anyone who has ever struggled with poverty knows how extremely expensive it is to be poor; and if one is a member of a captive population, economically speaking, one’s feet have simply been placed on the treadmill forever.” — James’Baldwin.

 
The latest talk at the moment is the story of Hakimi Achraf, a PSG FC player and his ex spouse, Hiba Abouk, a Spanish actress, over a divorce case that brought along a controversy when Hiba – after filing for a divorce and demanding more than half of Hakimi’s fortune – discovered that 80% of Hakimi’s assets were registered in his mother’s name.
 
Almost everyone was surprised about the move by Hakimi. Some condemned him for being unfaithful to his wife while many commended him for his smart move. Even the latter have been showering praises on him for enlightening them on how well to manage their fortunes.
 
Well, I’ll not like to take sides here, but will only ponder on what might likely encourage Hakimi to take such move. Of course the couple have two children, and I think this ought to stand as a strong bond to encourage both to have unbreakable commitment to each other. But the question is: are children really the everlasting seal that prevents husband and wife from coming apart? Or, are they really the major influence that makes a marriage work?
 
Hakimi was accused of attempting to rape a 24 year old woman in his matrimonial home while his wife and the children were on holiday, but he (Hakimi) has since been denying the allegation. Though this was not the reason for filling for divorce. Just let’s think about this. A 24 year old woman, who was never bundled, or shoved into someone”s matrimonial home, accused a man of attempting to rape her? Do you also call this a rape?
 
Hakimi’s wife, Hiba Abouk, believed every word of the accusation against her husband even during the time that her husband, Hakimi, was still denying the allegation. Hiba didn’t want to act like Hillary Clinton, who stood by his husband, Bill Clinton, despite the fact that the allegation of sexual relationship between Clinton and Monica Lewinsky, a White House intern, was confirmed.
 
Even if the case of divorce was already being proposed, I expected Hiba to believe her spouse until the allegation was thoroughly investigated. What could have caused her unfavorable attitude towards a case that could ruin her partner’s career? She didn’t even care to protect her two innocent children who might likely be affected by the allegation against their father.
 
It seems to me there was never a trust between the couple right from the beginning of their relationship, and this, I think, could have prompted Hakimi to depend on his mother’s trust rather than his wife’s. And again, another thing I believe could have encouraged him to take such step could be one or two intances he had seen from the experiences of some of African football players, whose fortunes, through the trusts they reposed in their spouses, had gone down the drain.
 
Emmanuel Ebuoe was an ex international football player. He represented his country, Ivory Coast, in many national and international football tournaments. He also played, and made a great impact in an English football club, Arsenal FC.
 
Ebuoe, an uneducated and a product of an underprivileged background, saw how his parents struggled to make ends meet. He experienced how it was difficult for his parents to take care of him and his siblings. Right from toddler to teen age, Eboue saw poverty in the face. He knew what it meant to be poor.
 
But through divine intervention, Eboue was able to say goodbye to poverty. His talent and skills in football singled him out of poverty. He was catapulted right from poverty-stricken condition to a life of luxury. Life started getting better for him. He didn’t forget his parents and siblings back home. He extended part of the luxury to them. Eboue strived and promised never to return to poverty again.
 
Now that wealth had come, Eboue, remembered the words in the bible: “God loved man, and he did not want him to be alone”. Arsenal’s right back player (Eboue) proposed to a Belgian damsel, and both got married.
 
Yes, Eboue only read a part in the Bible, but failed to read further. I believe if he had read how Eve stood as Adam’s downfall, he would have tarried or lingered a little. Eboue put all his investments in his Belgian wife’s care for he never thought of separation between him and his erstwhile loving wife.
 
But like it occasionally happens in some marriages, they were separated. All what Eboue had worked for became his wife’s. And this left him with nothing. His fortunes vanished in twinkling of an eye. And according to report, Eboue battled with mental illness because it seemed he had lost all hope.
 
Tendai Ndoro is another African footballer whose fortunes gone like that of Eboue. Ndoro is a Zimbabwean, who once played for Orlando Pirate FC in South Africa. He got hooked up with Thando Maseko, and they got married. During the time that the going was good, Ndoro, like Eboue, registered all his assets including his Estates in his wife’s name. But along the line, the once sweet relationship turned sour. Ndoro’s wife, Maseko, filed for divorce, and without a slight hesitation, she kicked Ndoro out of his Estates and seized all his assets leaving him with nothing.
 
Judging on these incidents, how can anyone blame any African football player, who had seen how some fortunes of those before him had gone or disappeared like a meteor/shooting star if he tries to apply caution in his own case? Perhaps the experiences of Eboue and Ndoro were the major influences that propelled Hakimi’s decision to place his trust in his mother rather than in his wife.
 
I’ll not advise anyone to go the way of Hakimi or not to go his way. This, I believe, should depend on the direction one’s relationship points to. This is the reason I do not agree with those who have been saying that Hakimi has taught them a great lesson on how to manage their fortunes. Also I won’t disagree with them provided they have convincing reasons for this school of thought. Trusting one’s wife or one’s husband depends on the kind of relationship between both over the years of being together. This life is vice versa (Oun tó ko’jú s’énìkan, èyìn ló ko s’élòmí).
 
To stay impartial here, we need to ask this question: can you, as a man, also be trusted by your spouse?
 

The great Irish poet and playwright, Oscar Wilde said “success is science, if you have the conditions, you get the results. No doubt, Dr. Mike Adenuga Jr, the business mogul mastered the conditions earlier in life and held steadfastly on to it, getting results all through.
Adenuga’s trajectory right from his twenties has been a success story, starting from when he was an importer, to contractor and later an entrepreneur par excellence. By this time next week, Dr. Michael Ishola Adenuga, GCON will be 70 years old. 70 years of great accomplishments and outstanding successes. 70 hearty cheers to a reticent billionaire.

From the age of 26 when he made his first million running family business, Dr Mike Adenuga aka Guru made his first million at the age of 26 when many of his peers were finding their depth and since then it has been an achievement –filled journey all the way. From twenties to his thirties, he gradually stabilised the family business and transitioned quietly to the league of the nation’s top entrepreneurs

He founded the Equatorial Trust Bank and Devcom Merchant Bank before the age of 40. His weapon is his 100 percent commitment and focus which has seen him nurturing all his businesses cutting across all sectors of the economy to utmost success.
His journey started from Ibadan Grammar School, in Oyo State, Nigeria, from where he moved to Northwestern State University, Oklahoma, in the United States where he obtained first degree, followed by a Master’s degree in Business Administration at Pace University, New York.  It was after his American experience that he came back home and his entrepreneurial journey commenced.

Having successfully developed the family business in his twenties, he conquered the banking sector in his thirties and by early forties he had successfully made a unique incursion into the nation’s oil industry with Conoil.  At 50, the Guru founded Globacom, with people, power, possibilities as its strap line before Glo with pride later replaced it. He thus became the only indigenous investor to secure the GSM licence powerfully in the nation’s telecommunication industry.

The Olusegun Obasanjo’ s Government in 2001 licensed three GSM network operators, including MTN, Airtel which later became Econet /Vmobile/Celtel/Zain/and presently Airtel and also MTel. It was in 2002 that Glo Mobile, was licensed as the fourth operator and the country’s second National Carrier. Etisalat, a Mubadala Development Company became the country’s fifth while in 2007 when the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) introduced the unified licensing regime.
In 2001, Dr Adenuga ‘s Communications Investments Limited (CIL) also bided for a licence but was not successful. The company lost $20m. It later got the bigger national carrier package, Globacom, the only indigenous GSM Company operating in the country, with an outstanding record of achievements over the years.
Globacom rolled out services in August, 2003 with a mission to change the paradigm through innovative services in the country. It has demonstrated its commitment to creating value with its products and services, and empowerment of millions of Nigerians in the last 20 years

Starting with per second which hitherto was said to be impossible, Glo under the leadership and guidance of Dr Adenuga entered the market with delightful products and services, alongside the elusive per second billing package, thus forcing other networks to follow suit to the delight of millions of Nigerians. The other networks which had been operating for two years before Glo were completely outwitted with Glo making what they called impossible a possibility.
Glo will be 20 by August this year and it has been a journey filled with great accomplishments. It has been two decades of outstanding firsts in the Nigerian Telecommunications Industry. It has remained the innovative network, in spite of rolling out its services two years after other networks have started operations. It recorded first in many areas including championing per second billing, first to implement 2.5 G network in Nigeria, first to implement 3g Network in Nigeria, first to offer 4 G LTE, first to offer Blackberry solutions in Nigeria and first to launch of submarine cable (GLO 1) which provides efficient and fast broadband internet services.

Glo remains a leader in the nation’s telecommunications industry. Presently it has over fifty million subscribers cutting across multinational corporations, decision makers in the public and private sector, students, artisans and those in rural communities connected to the network and enjoying access to high quality products and affordable telecom services,
Through Adenuga, a man that cannot stop giving out, Glo has remained a socially responsible entity. It has massively supported the Nigeria movie industry (Nollywood) and in Ghana (Ghollywood) with notable actors and actresses chosen as Glo Ambassadors. This move and many others had empowered African arts and culture.  The sponsorship of several cultural festivals in its areas of operation is another aspect of its Corporate Social Responsibilities which has resonated with the people. In addition to these are countless donations and support by Dr. Adenuga in different parts of the country, thus empowering Nigerians in different areas of human endeavour.

Globacom’s support has been outstanding. In Nigeria and Ghana, the company sponsored the national teams for many years as well as the League. The Supporters’ Clubs in both countries are also not left out. It is also remarkable that Glo sponsored the annual CAF Awards, which celebrates the best footballers and administrators in Africa, (male and female) for a decade. A period in which the profile of the award changed from a mere event to that of a major global sporting gala, attracting top personalities from different parts of the world.
It is also on record that ten years ago, THE GURU rewarded the Super Eagles who won the African Cup of Nations in South Africa with a whopping $1million and many more.

It was generally estimated that Adenuga spent over 25 billion to date to support sports in Nigeria since 2002.
Attesting to Dr. Adenuga’s massive contributions to the development of sports in Nigeria, former Sports Minister, late Bala Ka’oje said, “National Telecommunications Company, Globacom’s Chairman, Dr. Mike Adenuga spent over N3 billion to sponsor the Nigeria Football Federation (NFF) and the then Nigeria Premier League”. It is generally estimated that he has contributed close to N30 billion to support the nation’s sports.

His other notable contributions include Golf tournaments known as Glo Golf Tour West Africa which offered millions of naira to winners. There were also different editions of the Glo Marathon with outstanding prizes for winners. Dr. Adenuga also established the Glo Soccer Academy which trained young footballers to kick-start their career in professional football. The finalists of the academy were trained in Dubai Soccer Academy and Manchester United Academy respectively.

Ten years ago, Globacom started the sponsorship of English Premier League live matches on Supersport, thus giving footballers in Nigeria and other parts of Africa the opportunity to watch live football matches and also follow their football clubs all through the season. The sponsorship of the matches is still running in 2023. A decade of live transmission of EPL.

Also in 2022, the Guru pulled another fast one when he signed a business contract in Paris between Globacom, and Eutelsat, the French Satellite conglomerate. Many communities across the country without access to internet links will benefit immensely from VSAT/Satellite-based internet service and Satellite-based community Wifi internet service, courtesy of Globacom. Another masterstroke from philanthropist par excellence.

On occasion of your 70th Birthday I wish you many more years ahead , in good health and filled with abundant blessings of God and like President Buhari said last year on your 69th Birthday, “I commend Chief Michael Adenuga’s nationalistic and patriotic position of always putting Nigeria first in his investment options, expanding opportunities for employment and business in banking, telecoms, oil and more recently focusing on empowering younger generation in entrepreneurship”., may God continue to enlarge your coast.
Happy Platinum Birthday to the cheerful giver and the nation’s number 1 philanthropist.

In a series of tweets on April 18, Labor Party presidential candidate Peter Obi said, among other things, that he was “committed to lifting people out of poverty and I remain committed to transforming Nigeria starting from the North to every part of the nation.” This predictably rankled many northerners, particularly northern Muslims, who understood the tweet as a backhanded, stereotypical vilification of their region. 

Why did Obi isolate the North for special focus in a tweet about poverty and the transformation of Nigeria? Why wasn’t he region-agnostic, i.e., not single out any specific region of Nigeria for negative attention? 

Why did he come across as articulating a local and economic version of the nineteenth-century racist European doctrine known as the “white man’s burden,” which basically asserted that the unexampled civilizational superiority of the white race imposed on them the moral duty to enlighten the backward and benighted nonwhite populations of the world?

Obi’s spotlight on the North is, of course, balanced on a thick thread of irrefutably solid statistical evidence. According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), of the 133 million Nigerians who writhe in unspeakably stifling multidimensional poverty as of the end of last year, 86 million (which represents 65 percent) live in the North.

The North constitutes 54 percent of Nigeria’s population (and 70 percent of its landmass), so if the region makes up 65 percent of the nation’s poorest population there’s clearly an imbalance. Given that context, it’s reasonable that Obi chose to call attention to the poverty in the North, as he had done many times in the past, and to invoke it as the launching pad of his commitment to transform Nigeria. (Had he spotlighted the South, he might also have been accused of regional self-centeredness!)

But to expect all northerners to process Obi’s message the way I’ve done is to have a limited understanding of human behaviors and motivations. You see, every region in Nigeria, as I’ve pointed out in the past, has its stereotypical vulnerabilities about which it is sensitive.

From religious extremism to endemic child abandonment, from 419 email scams to “baby factories,” from child trafficking and prostitution in foreign lands to disabling alcoholism, from credit card scams to kidnapping, etc. Nigerians can, and often do, easily territorialize crimes and negative traits within their national space.

These stereotypical territorializations of crimes and negative stereotypes are often considered offensive when they are uttered by “outsiders” but tolerated, sometimes praised even, when they are uttered by “insiders.”

Many northerners have called attention to the endemic poverty in the North and got praises for it. Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, for instance, has been brutal and unsparing when he calls attention to poverty in the region and the culture that conduces to it. 

When he spoke at the fourth Kaduna Investment Summit on April 3, 2019, Aliko Dangote, the world's richest Black person who is incidentally a northern Nigerian, also said way worse things about poverty in the North than Obi could ever say. 

“Nigeria is ranked at 157th out of 189 countries on the human development index. While the overall socio-economic condition in the country is a cause for concern, the regional disparities are in fact very alarming,” he said. “In the Northwestern and Northeastern parts of Nigeria, more than 60 per cent of the population lives in extreme poverty.”

No northerner had a problem with Dangote for what he said. In fact, many northerners lauded his forthrightness. Northerners are resentful of Obi’s oblique references to the poverty in the North because he is an “outsider” who is in addition resented for asking the “Church” to “take back” its “country” and for characterizing the 2023 election as a “religious war” between Muslims and Christians. 

But southerners are also hypersensitive to even the mildest references by “outsiders” to negative indices that are exclusive to them. For instance, in March 2015, Mrs. Aisha Buhari stirred up a hornet’s nest when, during a campaign speech in Benin City, she said the biggest problems confronting Nigeria’s deep south were girl child trafficking and the mistreatment of widows.

“In each zone of the country, we have peculiar problems. Our problems differ,” she said. “For me, in this zone, girl child trafficking should be considered one of our problems, though I know there is unemployment…. There must be a design, a cultural design, that can accommodate the widow, and then a design that will make a girl child feel comfortable wherever she is in this country. She doesn't need to leave her country to go and prostitute elsewhere. It is not her potion; her potion is to have a highly standard moral society for her to live, get married, have children, train them, and to support them to become the future of our leaders.”

Many southern Nigerians seethed with raw rage in the aftermath of Aisha’s speech. They reviled, ridiculed, and besmirched the North in retaliation. They told her to first take the plank out of the North’s eye so she would see clearly enough to remove the speck from the South’s eye.

Well, many northerners are returning the favor to Obi. There is nothing in Obi’s eight-year record as governor of Anambra State to suggest that he can help people exit poverty. Data from the National Bureau of Statistics, which Charles Soludo referenced in a 2015 article, showed that Obi took Anambra from the most prosperous state in Nigeria to one of its poorest.

In 2004, according to the NBS, poverty in Anambra was 20 percent, which was the lowest in the country at the time. By the end of Obi’s first term as governor of Anambra in 2010, poverty rose to 68 percent. His post-gubernatorial social media deodorization campaigns conceal this sordid fact.

It is easy to see why he impoverished the people of Anambra. He was by far one of Nigeria’s most virulently anti-worker governors, which makes his being a candidate of the Labor Party one of the biggest paradoxes of the 2023 election. 

He merged the school fees of three terms into one and required that they be paid at once, which forced children from poor homes to drop out of school, refused to pay the minimum wage and fired workers who went on strike, caused patients to die in hospitals because doctors went on strike for 13 months over a demand for a 60 percent raise in their take-home pay, caused ASUU at the then Anambra State University to go on strike for 6 months and fired the Vice Chancellor for supporting them, etc. 

So, if he couldn’t transform Anambra, if he actually took the state from the least poor state in the country to one of its poorest until his successor reversed it, how could he possibly save the North from poverty? I think that’s a legitimate query.

Obi’s other claim to machismo in governance is that he saved and left N75 billion in the coffers of Anambra State. However, his handpicked successor, Willie Obiano, said the claim was a “hoax.” The secretary to the Anambra state government who served in Obiano’s administration also said, “The N75 billion was not there; it was not handed over to anybody.”

Let’s, for the sake of argument, accept that Obi’s claims were genuine, but what’s the sense in depriving workers of their just dues while “saving” money? Money has no value except what you make of it. There is no wisdom in being parsimonious while real living people starve and sink to depths of poverty.

Well, even if Obi has the capacity to lift northerners out of poverty, he could do with more tact and discretion in saying this because people tend to take exceptions to being told home truths about themselves by outsiders. That’s why, for instance, Black American hip-hop youth call themselves “nigga” but will go to war if a white person as much as says “nig.”

I had an interesting conversation about this with my American students some years back. A white student wondered why American Blacks call themselves the derogatory name “nigga” and tolerate being told unpleasant things about their culture by Black celebrities but take offense when a white person does the same. 

A Black student in the class gave a perfect analogy in response. He asked the white student if she ever fights with and insults her siblings, and she answered in the affirmative. He then asked her if she thought it would be OK for another person to fight with and insult her siblings just because she does the same. His point sank in.

 
 

I am always ready to learn something new so when I learned about Facing History’s workshop, “A New Approach to Teaching Mockingbird,” I was intrigued. It turns out I found deeper connections to the novel than I had ever anticipated—some that took me all the way back to my childhood both in the southern and northern part of our beloved country Nigeria.
 
The mockingbird represents innocence because it causes no harm to others and therefore it is “a sin to kill a mockingbird”. The innocence from the bird is parallel to democracy. The bird and democracy both did not cause harm to anyone. However, democracy has become a regular victim and constantly being punished for a crime he did not commit. 
 
Unarguably, the mockingbirds could also symbolize for a deeper meaning. Maybe back in time it was okay to kill a mockingbird even though it never harmed anyone because people did not view the bird of having any value. This could explain the mindset of an average Nigerian, particularly the political class when it comes to killing the Mockingbirds of Democracy. To many of our public office holders such privileges becomes a means to grabbing power for self and cronies by all means possible. Hence the real essence of democracy "The innocent mockingbird" is no  longer democracy by the people for the people. 
 
It is instructive, to note, that, as a nation in distress, our democracy have witness several violations occasioned by flagrant abuse of privileges and process by many of our topmost public office holders - it exemplifies the mindset of an average Nigerian, conducts similar to the Aishatu Binani's avoidable issues so rampant and we sure need to address such. Interestingly, history beckons as the verdict of posterity is inevitable.
 
Tragically, the mindset of over ninety percent of our citizens works and thinks the same way, like Binani. Aishatu Dahiru Ahmed also known as Aishatu Binani, a Nigerian politician serving as the senator for Adamawa Central since 2019. Binani seeks to become the governor of Adamawa state on the platform of the ruling party APC. The APC's candidate allegedly got entangled in an act that exposed the rottenness in our system.
 
Binani's desperation stinks, although she was not alone in the said civilian "Coup d'etat" Binani's avoidable misguided conducts and desperation throw up so many questions: is it a case of desperation interwoven with a mind dangerously in love with power? Or just a case of one of power mongering elements? Either way such incongruence can only sit well in the minds of a set of people in a debased and corrupted society who are unmindful of the consequences for generations to come.
 
What is more, the unwholesome behaviors of many government officials at different occasions, questioned the anti-corruption mantra of President, Major General Muhammadu Buhari (retd.): misappropriation of funds, abuse of privileges and office, malpractices involving the high and mighty mismanagement of resources and squandering of riches including the Adamawa debacle a show of shame that is avoidable.
 
The ultimate question we need to ask ourselves is whether we believe we are worthy enough as a people and as a nation, to have and to manage a democracy, or if we feel too worthless to have one. One-track-minded philistinism leaves us all wretched, one way or another. Paradoxically, Tinubu's Presidency is faced with the hard choice: continuity or change? In my mind complete change is the way to go, so that we can jointly arrive at destination the promised land - a new dawn and expectedly the new Nigeria that most people are looking forward to.
 
Furthermore, change from our old ways to a more acceptable standard and also  despondency to vibrancy in the spirit minds of our citizens particularly the restive youths is the best way to go. Therefore, there is an urgent need for us as a nation destined for greatness, to consider the issue of "Mind Restructuring" an advocacy that requires collaboration with a particular government agency. It is worthy of note that several articles and books have been writing about the subject.
 
It is against this backdrop that, I like to conclude this contribution on leadership regurgitation: COMPASSIONATE leaders are processed & made through SERVICE while the APATHETIC ones are birthed from being SERVED! Finally, notwithstanding the sad realities, the President elect demonstrated the much expected role of a statesman and clearly disowned and completely distanced himself from all the parties involved with a profound statement: 
 
"However, I note the matter of Adamawa Supplementary Governorship Election and I urge police authorities to fully investigate all that transpired in the election given the attendant controversy. In every democratic contest there has to be one winner. I call on those aggrieved to pursue legitimate means of addressing their grievances."- Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu President-elect, Federal Republic of Nigeria April 19, 2023.
 
Finally, this contribution will like to recommend a couple of ways as part of our official code-of-conduct, so that, our compatriots are not punished for a crime it did not commit and as people we do not continue with our attitude and conducts that kills the mockingbirds of democracy:
 
1. Do-or-die Politics with the intention of leveraging on political positions for personal aggrandizement and benefits of a few hangers-on must be completely eradicated.
 
2. The mind-sets of an average Nigerian needs serious reorientation - Mind Restructuring advocacy to the rescue.
 
3. We need to properly interrogate and interrogate the process that recommend, certified and confirmed such sensitive office holders as exemplifies by the conducts of the rogue 'INEC REC' aided by top security officers including the police commissioner of Adamawa state, the state DSS director and others who aided in the gross misconduct of Hudu.
 
4. Public office holders must be seen to be above board not easily influenced by pecuniary benefits and ultimately patriotism should be the driving force.   
 
 

MEXICO has drug cartels which can also be violent. One of the most infamous drug lords, Joaquin Archivaldo ‘El-Chapo’ Guzman, former leader of the Sinaloa Cartel is serving a life sentence in the United States, US. The drug cartels are a problem to Mexico which has other related challenges. First is the seeming insatiable appetite of Americans for drugs which provides a ready market. 

 

The second is the ceaseless flow of arms from the US to Mexico; some half a million annually, which arms the cartels, and make them difficult to bring down. However, the solution of some American leaders is not to tackle these challenges, but to militarily invade neigbouring Mexico allegedly to take out the drug cartels and cut down insecurity.

On March 15, 2023, Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene from Georgia tweeted: “Our US military needs to take action against the Mexican cartels.” She was reacting to a claimed explosive device wrapped in duct tape thrown from Mexico, which turned out to be sand. That she was wrong on the alleged explosive did not deter her from the campaign to invade a sovereign country. Two months earlier, 39-year-old Representative Daniel Reed Crenshaw of Texas Second Congressional District and a former Navy SEAL, had introduced a bill to “authorise the use of United States Armed Forces against those responsible for trafficking fentanyl or a fentanyl-related substance into the United States or carrying out other related activities that cause regional destabilisation in the Western Hemisphere.”

As if on cue, former American Attorney General, William P. Barr in a piece titled: “The U.S. must defeat Mexico’s drug cartels” in the March 2, 2023 issue of the Wall Street Journal thundered: “America can no longer tolerate narco-terrorist cartels. Operating from havens in Mexico, their production of deadly drugs on an industrial scale is flooding our country with this poison. The time is long past to deal with this outrage decisively. Reps. Dan Crenshaw (R., Texas) and Michael Waltz (R., Fla.) have proposed a joint resolution giving the president authority to use the U.S. military against these cartels in Mexico. This is a necessary step and puts the focus where it must be.”

The next day, Senators Lindsey Graham, South Carolina, and John Kennedy, Louisiana, demanded the US invades Mexico. Graham said: “Drug cartels in Mexico have been terrorising Americans for decades. We are going to unleash the fury and might of the U.S. against these cartels. We are going to destroy their business model and their lifestyle because our national security and the security of the United States as a whole depends on us taking this decisive action (we will) give the military the authority to go after these organisations wherever they exist. Not to invade Mexico. Not to shoot Mexican airplanes down. But to destroy drug labs that are poisoning Americans.”

Interesting. American politicians want to teach the world how to militarily attack alleged drug laboratories spread across neigbourhoods in a sovereign country without invading the country. It is the classic case of wanting to make omelette without cracking an egg. So what would the Mexicans be doing, watching civilians killed in their homes and in crossfire without coming to the defence of their innocent citizens? Conversely, will the US allow or watch the Mexican military attack alleged drug cartels in America?

The irony is that the most insecure country in the region, and one of the most insecure in the world is the US. Apart from other violent crimes, in the last 14 weeks, it has witnessed more than 160 mass shootings with each of those taking at least four lives. Just this Saturday, April 15, Alexis Dowdell was holding her Sweet Sixteen Birthday in Alabama. There were rumours that somebody at the party had a gun. The rumours filtered into her home, and her 18-year-old brother Phil, came to get her. LaTonya Allen, her mother also arrived, turned on the lights, went to the DJ booth and announced that whoever had a firearm should leave the party. Since nobody spoke, she turned off the lights to allow the party go on.

Then, gunfire erupted. Alexis whose brother pushed her down when the guns began to boom said: “All of a sudden you hear gunshots and you just see everybody running towards the door and people falling and screaming.” After the shooting died down, four persons, including her brother, lay dead with 32 injured. Another set of sacrificial lambs for the American gun culture in which for profit, lives and limbs are ceaselessly sacrificed to the gods of the gun industry. To clarify, the overwhelming majority of Americans are against the free flow of arms. In fact, 67 per cent of Americans support a ban on military and assault-style weapons. But they face an overfed war industry that makes huge profits from virtually unrestrained arms trade. So, the populace is forced to go into periodic mourning of children and teenagers, young and old, men and women cut down in the insanity called gun violence.

The US gun culture is a suicidal one from the country that needs to be saved from itself; America has a population of 331.9 million but with 393 million guns in private hands or 120.5 firearms for every 100 American residents. This is about 46 per cent of the total firearms in civilian hands worldwide. The US military itself, holds 4.5 million firearms. In contrast, China with a 1.412 billion population or four and half times the American population, has 49.7 million guns in private hands. While there are all sorts of gun markets in US, Mexico has only one gun store from which people can buy firearms legally.

 

The American campaign to take out drug laboratories in Mexico is a mere camouflage to invade a neighbour it cannot control and whose President Andre Manuel Lopez Obrador is quite popular. It is also an attempt by American companies to seize Mexico’s resources and turn that country into their own market. The Americans have not forgotten that large swaths of their country like Texas and California were taken by force from Mexico. Some of their politicians might be seeking new ways to place their hands on more Mexican territories.

The fact is that a new world economic and political order is evolving and the American empire might soon lose its dollar, economic, financial and military dominance. Nobody should expect it to go down peacefully and quietly; its establishment would put up a struggle, including overthrowing non-compliant governments and invading other countries. The current campaign to invade Mexico on the excuse that it has violent drug gangs may just be the first step in its attempts to stem the tide of history.

 

 

IT is no longer news that the Federal Government has activated plans to conduct a national population and housing census next month. The last time we had a census was March 2006. There is nothing bad in having a census; indeed, a lot of benefits will accrue if we really know how many of us are together in this country.  

Historically, the first census was conducted in 1866 and this was followed by Censuses of 1871, 1881, 1891 and 1901. However, all these earlier censuses were restricted to Lagos Colony and its environs. The 1871 census marked the beginning of decennial census in Nigeria in line with British tradition of census-taking every 10 years.

Following the amalgamation of the Lagos Colony and the Southern Protectorate in 1906, the 1911 census extended to some parts of the Southern Protectorate. It was marred by incomplete enumeration because some parts of the South had not recognised the legitimacy of the Colonial Government. 

The amalgamation of the Southern and Northern protectorates in 1914 by Lord Lugard provided the impetus for population census that had wider coverage. Like in other censuses, the results of 1921 census were population estimates based on tax records as the aged, infants and tax evaders were excluded. 

Similarly, in the then Northern region, during the period mentioned above, the census result was based on population estimates from existing records or vital statistics. 

When we started managing our affairs, few censuses in our history have been held that have not turned out to be controversial. The 1962 census held in May of that year, but the results were not acceptable to the regions, which alleged politicisation of the results. Rejection of the outcomes of the census of 1962 prompted the 1963 census which itself equally became controversial as there were claims that the results were arrived at by negotiation rather than enumeration. 

The result was contested at the Supreme Court which ruled that it lacked jurisdiction over the administrative functions of the Federal Government. This was followed by the 1973 census, conducted between November 25 and December 2. The result was not published on the grounds of deliberate falsification of the census figures for political and /or ethnic advantages. 

The 1991 Census was conducted under Decree 23 of 1989 which set up the National Population Commission. It was conducted all over the country from November 27 to December 2, 1991.This was the most scientific and most acceptable until the 2006 Population and Housing Census. 

In March 2006, Nigeria, for the first time, conducted a Population and Housing Census. Several stages were involved in the project. For the first time, the use of GPS and Satellite Imagery to carve out Geo-referenced EAs (Enumeration Areas) was adopted. Also machine readable forms were used to record information from respondents. Even the 2006 census was not without its controversies. 

It is on record that the Lagos State Government rejected the census figure of 9.1 million ascribed to the state, and took its grievances before the census tribunal. As late as January 2010, the matter was yet to be disposed of as the state filed 19 fresh complaints before the census tribunal in Abuja. Also, Plateau State Government rejected the figure of three million as the state’s population, saying that “it raises more questions than answers.” Apart from Plateau, others that generated issues with the 2006 census include former governor of Abia State, Orji Uzor Kalu, Nasarawa State, and the FCT.

On August 30, 2013, the National Census Tribunal sitting in Abuja, nullified the results of the 2006 Census in 14 local governments in Lagos State. It said the reasons for the decision include illegal and inaccurate counting. The tribunal therefore ordered a fresh headcount in the constitutionally created Local Council Development Areas in the state. 

The foregone are just snippets from our last census experience. You may wish to recall the fallouts of the last elections, especially the governorship and state assemblies elections in the states and the tensions arising therefrom, which are barely just abating. You may also wish to add the debilitating effects of the currency re-design project, which has mauled the productive capabilities of the average Nigerian so badly that individual and community economies are gasping for breath, even as the overall national economy is asphyxiating under the onslaught of insecurity and runaway inflation. Must we have this census now? Why not later, some other time?

Apart from these, I have a gut feeling that this administration, on its way out, should hands off matters as weighty as census-taking. I personally have no belief in the ability of this administration to handle a census. Plus, it seems to me that government is biting more than it can chew. It plans to remove subsidy on petrol and fund palliatives with a $800 million World Bank grant. The conditionalities of the $800 million grant include the birthing of a brand new bureaucracy to administer the palliatives, at a time government itself is in transition. 

The Buhari administration should just concentrate on its hand-over notes instead of trying to execute new projects like census-taking, or administering palliatives, or trying to deliver a new national carrier, Nigeria Air, as the Aviation Minister had boasted. In any case, the President had said many times that he’s eager to go; I can say on behalf of at least 150 million Nigerians that we can’t wait; we’d rather he’s gone already!

 

 

The controversy over the constitutional electoral hurdle a candidate with his gaze fixed on the presidential seat at Aso Rock must clear will continue to befog political discourse until the Supreme Court makes a pronouncement. The debate has been fierce among lawyers as well as politicians. The impassioned nature of the debate has put a great many on edge about what the constitutional requirement actually stipulates with the special reference to Abuja. Is scoring 25 percent of the votes cast in Abuja mandatory? Predictably, some lawyers believe it is, while others vehemently disagree. Some lawyers say the Supreme Court has made a pronouncement on the subject before. That Abuja is to be regarded as a state, yes; but that if a candidate does not scale the hurdle of a 25 percent score, he cannot mount the saddle, not to the recollection of many people who should know. We have Sir Robert Clarke S.A.N.; Dr. Ajulo and Senator Saidu to thank for their enlightenment. Robert Clarke and Saidu said making winning a 25 percent score mandatory in the Federal Capital Territory would be tantamount to according Abuja superiority over every other state in the country. That cannot be the intendment of the framers of the constitution. The constitution recognises the Federal Capital Territory as a state quite alright. It is understandable, with the President overseeing it as a state.

The intendment could not have been to arm it with veto power such that if 36 states in the country say yes, but Abuja says no, Abuja would carry the day. It would mean Abuja can overturn the choice of 29 states put together as in the case of Bola Ahmed Tinubu—Abuja with a current population of 3,840,000. In 2022, the metro area population was 3,652,000. The number of registered voters in Delta State is 3,221,697. That of Oyo State is 3,276,675. The voter population in the two states beats that of Abuja. Rivers alone has a 5,537,190 voter population. The Federal Capital Territory is trailed by Katsina with 3,516,719 registered voters. Kaduna: 4,335,208. Kano: 5,921,370 and Lagos with the highest voter population of 7,060,195. If scoring 25 percent in Abuja is an unassailable conditionality, it would mean whatever choice is made in Abuja must be superior to the choice made by any other state or a combination of them, implying that voters everywhere else are second-class citizens. That certainly is absurd, indeed provocatively ridiculous.

 

There are 93.4 million Nigerians on the voter register. INEC reported that only 87,209,007 which are 93 percent collected their Permanent Voters’ Cards (PVCs). Even then, only 25,286,616 voters, that is 28.63 percent of all eligible voters in Nigeria, participated in the Presidential election, with voter turn-out dropping from one election cycle to the other. In 2011, voter participation was 53.7 percent which was described as impressive. This declined to 43.7 percent in 2015. In 2019, it came down to 34.75 percent. This year, the participation went further down to 28.63 percent. Increasing voter apathy is a subject for another day. Why are Nigerians staying away from polling booths? It is a serious matter for reflection.

In spite of voter apathy, we must worry about the process and what the Constitution says. I can see why it may be tempting for the Labour Party to throw the Abuja cut-off mark into the faces of everybody, insisting that a Presidential candidate must have 25 percent of the votes cast in addition to the 25 percent in two-thirds of all the states of the Federation. In Abuja the Labour Party won by a very wide margin — Labour Party: 170,392 beating APC to 29,596 and PDP to 26,407 votes. But we cannot look at Abuja alone. Before the supplementary elections of last Saturday, 15 April 2023, APC already had 57 Senators; PDP, 28 Senators and Labour Party, 6. In the House of Representatives, APC was already ahead, boasting 162 Seats, PDP, 102 and LP, 34.

 

In the words of the Constitution, Section 134, sub-section (2): “A candidate for an election to the office of President shall be deemed to have been duly elected where, there being more than two candidates for the election—
(a) he has the highest number of the votes cast at the election; and
(b) he has not less than one-quarter of the votes cast at the election in each of at least two-thirds of all the States in the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.”

The bone of contention is the sub-section (2). The argument has been left to mainly lawyers to beam light on what the section is saying, yet we know that hardly do we have two lawyers agree on the meaning, the letters, and the spirit of a statute. Statutes everywhere are clothed in obscurity. The more elements of obfuscation a draftsman can infuse into a law, it would appear, the closer to winning a gold medal he stands. It requires a special skill. And only judges can disentangle the knots. With the sword of Damocles hanging on the head of the nation, with boasts and threats flying from some directions, perhaps we should implore linguists, grammar experts, and those who pre-occupy themselves with language, to come to our rescue. Take Sub-section (2) (b), for instance, that is the crux of the disputation, speaking as a layman, inserting a comma between “…one-quarter of votes cast at the election in each of at least two-thirds of all the States of the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja” to read “… one-quarter of votes cast at the election in each of at least two-thirds of all States of the Federation, and the Federal Capital, Abuja.” The use of commas in the latter rendition gives Abuja a special place as a state among her sister states. That is when the argument that to be pronounced a President is conditional on scoring 25 percent in the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, can, in my view hold water. That is when it can be said it is mandatory for a Presidential candidate to score 25 percent before he can be said to have won. Chambers 21st Century Dictionary defines comma as a punctuation indicating a break made for the sake of clarity. It goes on to state that it is derived from “16c Latin, from Greek comma short clause.” Over to you, Professor Segun Awonusi! Over to you Prof. Olatunji Dare; Prof. Jemie; Henry Odukomaiya and George Okoro, my bosses; Dan Agbese; Dr. Chidi Amuta; Ray Ekpu, and Dr. Lasisi Olagunju!! Banji Adisa, my colleague, where are you? Or perhaps we summon Adamu Ciroma or famous linguist Roman Jakobson (1896-1982) from the Beyond. There are many more that worry about the correct use of the English language. Will Wale Edun and Yemi Ogunbiyi step forward, please, and be counted?!

 

In the absence of a comma, or semi-colon in the sub-section, no special attention is being drawn to FCT. Abuja as a state is not any more crucial than any other state in the Federation. If a candidate were to win in 24 states and he needs an additional state to make 25, the Abuja score of 25 percent is as good as the score in any other state. He would have met the mandatory number of states in addition to having the highest number of votes, which the grundnorm stipulates, to become the victor. If he were to win in 30 states but fails to add Abuja to his kitty, he has not lost anything because a loss there is not any threatening than not scoring 25 percent in Ebonyi State or Yobe State.

All said we await the pronouncement of the Justices who will be expected to draw on their learning, wisdom, and keen sense of justice.

Back To The Basics
My thoughts in the foregoing on the essence of clarity of language remind me of a piece I wrote on these pages 30 years ago, directed at the erudite Professor, Ben Nwabueze. The article was captioned Professor Nwabueze, please! “Back to basics.” Prof. was Education Secretary the nomenclature that would go today for Minister of Education. The article making reference to International Express, a weekly at the time, read in part:

 

“SCHOOL English classes are set to return to basic, traditional lessons in grammar, punctuation and spelling. New guidelines will finally banish ‘modern’ methods. Under plans drawn up by government advisers, teachers will be told to encourage pupils as young as six to speak standard English and not local dialect.”

I am recalling the column to see if anything has changed on the subject in many quarters over the years. The publication continues:

“OUT go the remains of trendy teaching methods from the 70s. IN are correct use of capital letters and full stops by the age of seven, commas by the age of 11, apostrophes and speech marks by 13, and colons by 16. The National Curriculum Council also wanted 16-year-olds to be taught the error of split infinitives like ‘to boldly go’ and youngsters to read by the traditional method of sounding letters”. I did state at the time:

“The above culled from International Express, a weekly, should interest our Education Secretary, Professor Ben Nwabueze. And if I may add: he should return us to pre-1966, that is the era before rigour was taken out of the study of English language in secondary schools, the era students familiarized themselves with ‘subject and predicate,’ ‘clause analysis,’ ‘restricted and unrestricted parenthesis.” It was when students were able to identify a ‘nominative absolute,’ and students of Literature could do literary appreciation of a work.” They could tell when to use the phrases ‘Owing to’ and ‘Due to.’

“These days, even in respectable quarters, you hear ‘Mr. President will be the Chief Guest of Honour at Ereko. He will be in town tomorrow.’ If I remember my conjugation well, ‘Mr. President’ is a Vocative Case, not a Nominative. It should be ‘The President will be the Chief Guest of Honour at Ereko.’ Where the word President is preceded by Mr., it becomes vocative: “Mr. President, Sir!’ or ‘Mr. Speaker, Sir!’

“Why the concern over the declining standard of English language, it may be asked. What is wrong with the new words being manufactured to tear down gender barriers? There is a lot wrong with introducing distortions into a language. Language is the mode of expression of a people. Words which they press out from within them and string together form sentences which they cloak in sound—the spoken word. Any distortion to a language obviously diminishes its perfection. The language retrogresses, and in the process narrows the range of vision and dims the clarity of the people who use it. They are dragged down.

 

“The point being made will be appreciated better if we draw from a higher perception of the word with which any language is formed. Words as we are permitted to know today, is a gift to human beings, for it is a faint reflection of the sacred Word which is Life and out of which Creation arose following the great Word of the Most High, the Almighty: “Let there be Light.” The Word being radiation of Divine Will formed Itself into the Living Cross, the radiating, living form of Truth. It was from the Cross, its radiations that Creation issued. Thus, Cross is the Truth, the Law. The Cross was seen by those gifted radiating behind the Lord Christ, being Life and Truth and Dove, signifying the Power of the Holy Spirit above His Head—both testifying His Identity when He lived on earth among us. We owe our existence to the Word, to the Cross. Everything swings in the Word, in the Cross, in the Law.

“Thus our words are formed under the pressure of the Law. These words ought to be invested with nothing other than their natural purity and approached in awe, reverence so that they can formingly also bring beauty, quickening, upliftment, nobility to us and our environment. Forms arise from the meaning of words even if a different meaning from what was uttered was unintended. From the foregoing, we can see that language is much more important than the levity with which various peoples have tended to treat it. The word, the language moulds a people. We now know through recognition afforded by higher knowledge that you can tell the nature of a people from the way they speak. A ponderous language forms a ponderous people. A man of polish cares about his language, and he speaks sparingly!
The early educationists admonished their pupils to use language correctly, to write and speak it well. They encouraged the pupils to watch their diction. Queen’s English was the standard. The picture one gets reflecting on Queen’s English is that of grace, majesty, polish and propriety. It is not the same picture Pidgin English flashes before our gaze or presents to our ears. A slang, broken English must produce a distorted, broken people, considering the power of language. A soothing word brings peace and harmony. An idle, careless talk causes harm and strains relationships. Good writing gladdens the heart of the reader. And most of us enjoy listening to good speakers: Professor Ayo Banjo; Dr. Stanley Macebuh, Prof. Bolaji Akinyemi, Professor Alfred Opubor, Chief Bola Ige, Chief Emeka Odumegwu Ojukwu, Chief Segun Olusola to mention but a few in public glare. We should not shrink from protecting whatever language we choose to speak.

“The discussion here is not exhaustive. The human word will be treated fully at some other time.

“Professor Nwabueze, one more assignment before you go in addition to returning voluntary agency schools to their owners: Back to basics.”

That was 30 years ago. What has changed if I may ask?

What played out last weekend in Adamawa State during the supplementary gubernatorial poll can best be described as attempts by desperate politicians to subvert democracy and undermine the will of the people. The electoral heist must be totally condemned in all its ramifications.

In the show of shame in broad daylight, the whole world was shocked to see the Resident Electoral Commissioner (REC), Hudu Yunusa-Ari, on television illegally announcing Senator Aishat “Binani” Dahiru, the candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), as the winner of the election when results from 10 local councils were still being expected. How low can we get?

The electoral law does not recognise RECs to collate and announce election results in the states; that is the job of the Returning Officer. So, what Yunusa-Ari did was brazen, illegal and it could only have been inspired by an animal boldness of the worst kind.

Instead of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) summoning Yunusa-Ari to Abuja, he should have been arrested in Yola immediately and made to face the full wrath of the law. What happened next is even more shocking: Senator BInani, whom Yunusa-Ari declared illegally as the winner, read an acceptance speech, thanking the people of Adamawa State for electing her.

 

That was a lie from the pit of hell; she was not elected because she did not win the election. Binani is desperate to set a record as the first female governor in Nigeria but she has to be properly elected – not through the backdoor, subterfuge or illegality.

We may have seen bad behaviours displayed by politicians in the past but what Senator Binani and her enablers did at a time we are trying to improve on the electoral process takes the cake. How far will politicians go in the theatre of the absurd?

On top of this travesty and brazen shenanigan, Binani approached a High Court in Abuja, seeking a judicial review in an attempt to stop INEC from voiding her illegal declaration as the “winner” of the governorship poll as announced by Yunusa-Ari.

 

I have never seen anything like this before. If we truly want to be honest with ourselves, politicians are the biggest threats to our democracy.

What the Adamawa REC and Binani have done should come with consequences; otherwise it will become a standard playbook for other politicians who do not have any sense of shame or higher purpose.

Because of Yunusa-Ari’s egregious conduct, another national commissioner deployed to Adamawa for the supplementary poll, was beaten black and blue and then stripped naked. It was clearly a case of the anger of the mob.

Yunusa-Ari appeared defiant on the day he made the illegal announcement in the presence of security personnel. He was confronted by onlookers in the room that he had no powers to announce the winner. He was also reminded that it was the holy month of Ramadan – the ninth month of the Muslim year, during which strict fasting, prayer and deep reflections are observed from dawn to sunset.

 

In his desperation, the Adamawa REC who has now been disowned by INEC set aside all the entreaties and spiritual injunctions. There must have been something in it for him to have taken such risk for a zero-sum game.

Before the supplementary governorship elections in Kebbi and Adamawa States, INEC had been in the eye of the storm. The reputation of the electoral umpire had taken severe beating arising from the previous elections in February and March.

INEC had the opportunity to redeem its image but, apparently, the likes of Yunusa-Ari with his gang of co-conspirators had other plans. There was now palpable tension in Adamawa State which could have led to a breakdown of law and order.

As it turned out, INEC worked very hard to do damage control. Last Sunday, the electoral body announced that the REC illegally announced the winner which was declared null and void.

 

In order to calm frayed nerves, INEC suspended the collation of results and the supplementary election. INEC’s statement did not leave anyone in doubt. “The attention of the Commission has been drawn to a purported declaration of a winner in the Adamawa Governorship election by the Resident Electoral Commissioner even when the process has not been concluded.

“The action of the REC is a usurpation of the power of the Returning Officer. It is null and void and of no effect. Consequently, the collation of the results of the supplementary election is hereby suspended.”

 

Thankfully, INEC concluded the exercise and declared the incumbent governor, Ahmadu Fintiri, as the winner of the governorship poll. Any further delay would have caused unnecessary anxieties for mob action and violence.

However, the facts of the matter must stand. Before the collation exercise was suspended on Saturday night, Binani was nowhere near winning the election as she was trailing Ahmadu Fintiri, the incumbent governor and candidate of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP). By this time, results from 10 local councils had been announced.

 

Nigerians were outraged by Yunusa-Ari’s unacceptable conduct and disregarded the announcement that he made. In the meantime, no one has told us where Mele Lamido, the Returning Officer, has been hiding; he just disappeared into thin air.

Was he part of the plot to sabotage the will of the people of Adamawa State? Could it be that the RO did not agree with the REC to announce Binani as the winner without results from all the 69 polling units?

 

The drama in Adamawa State happens in other states and it is a reflection of our inverted value system: we condone impunity without consequences and it has gone to great lengths to damage the moral fabric of society.

For example, why would a parent buy exam question papers for his/her children to gain undue advantage? The same parent will also join those accusing INEC of improper conduct of our elections. Isn’t that hypocrisy?

After the meeting of its National Commissioners in Abuja which held on April 18 over the supplementary governorship election in Adamawa State, INEC resolved to write the Inspector General of Police for the immediate investigation and possible prosecution of Yunusa-Ari who, by the way, is a lawyer.

How can a lawyer superintend over such travesty and be the lead actor in a poorly scripted drama? To tell you the truth, Yunusa-Ari pretended to be an actor who wanted a Nollywood-like fame but he failed his audition woefully by announcing a fake election result that was not his responsibility in the first place.

Is he still a “learned colleague”? What action is the Nigerian Bar Association (NBA) going to take?

INEC will also write to Boss Mustapha, the secretary to the government of the federation (SGF), to inform President Muhammadu Buhari that his appointee, Yunusa-Ari, has been “unworthy” of the appointment as Adamawa State REC. His “unwholesome behaviour” should be reported by the SGF for further action.

The commissioner of police in Adamawa State has been redeployed by the Inspector General of Police. That was a timely intervention and commendable action but it does not go far enough. He should be sanctioned immediately. Under his watch, Yunusa-Ari orchestrated a dangerous plot that could have sparked an orgy of violence.

We are all witnesses to the disgraceful conduct of politicians even in their parties where there’s complete absence of internal democracy. The Labour Party has also joined APC and PDP in poor housekeeping manners because if you have been following the political developments in Imo State, Labour Party has two factions (Ikechukwu Ukaegbu and Chibutu Isiguzo factions laying claims to the ticket) in the run-up to the party’s primary to elect its gubernatorial candidate.

With parallel primaries, the factions usually end up in court because politicians are generally bad losers – everyone wants to win. How’s that possible?

If party primaries are fraught with rigging and violence, what then should we expect at the state and national elections? Are they not the same people?

When the outcomes of our elections are poor, we are quick to blame INEC instead of desperate politicians and their supporters. What in the world was Yunusa-Ari thinking when he declared Binani as the winner of the Adamawa governorship poll? Was he expecting Nigerians to clap for him?

He should have emulated the Returning Officer in the Abia State gubernatorial election, Prof Nnennaya Oti, vice chancellor of the Federal University of Technology, Owerri (FUTO) which Alex Otti won. This amazing amazon refused to be intimidated even at the risk to her life; she stood her ground and the will of Abia voters prevailed.

But Yunusa-Ari couldn’t because he sold his conscience for a mess of porridge.

Braimah is a public relations strategist and publisher/editor-in-chief of Naija Times (https://ntm.ng)

It is a given that the incoming Federal Government of Nigeria will have to tackle decisively the macroeconomic challenges of a fraudulent and wasteful petrol subsidy regime, our debt, revenue and resource allocation crisis, and a broken foreign exchange regime in order to get our economy back on track. But, if we are to put our country on a firm path to prosperity, we must go beyond these well-known challenges because they are only symptoms of deeper, more foundational obstacles. Three BIG ISSUES have kept us poor – the absence of nationhood, the absence of political will for real reform, and knowledge gaps in economic policymaking. The links between these issues, on the one hand, and high rates of poverty and unemployment and low economic productivity, on the other, have not received adequate attention in the past.

Nigeria cannot become a wealthy, prosperous country without first becoming a nation with a shared sense of national identity and unity of purpose, even in our diversity. Development begins in the mind. When people agree on a common goal of prosperity, based on an inclusive sense of national identity, shared values, justice and equality before the law, they can collectively put their shoulders to the wheel and push in unison. This characteristic, sometimes described as “social cohesion”, can have a transformative impact in terms of productivity. Because our country has been fractured along ethnic and religious lines of primordial identity, our politics reflects this fractionalization. Electoral outcomes create  “Governments of Nigeria” that frequently (mis)manage the economy not for purposes of real wealth creation, but for that of advancing group vested interests of class, ethnicity, religion, or partisan political affiliation. In essence, then, what passes for economic management has become mostly a “rewards” system for chosen cronies of multiple hues. A national economy managed in this manner, rather than on the basis of technocratic competence, cannot create the wealth of nations.

Moreover, the matter of constitutional reform back to real federalism has foundational implications for Nigeria’s chances at economic prosperity. The recent constitutional amendments signed into law by President Muhammadu Buhari, including giving states powers over electricity generation,  transmission and distribution, as well as to establish railway services, are a pointer to the potentially positive impact on our economy of an even more foundational constitutional restructuring of Nigeria. Such restructuring will also address questions of nationhood, equity and justice, creating a more durable foundation for development.
Political will to embark on necessary reforms to reverse state capture by vested interests requires  self-confidence and courage of elected political leaders. While it might be assumed that such political will can only come from a political leadership that emerges from “outside the system”, there is nothing that decrees — especially given the existential crisis of the Nigerian state and its economy — that it cannot exist, even if imperfectly,  in a leadership that has emerged from “within”. Whatever its provenance, such political will depends largely on the decisiveness of an elected political leader, and is essential for our national economic progress because of the challenge of state capture.

Perhaps the most tricky problem of economic policymaking in Nigeria is that of knowledge gaps. I use the word “tricky” advisedly, and based on both insight and experience. Most Nigerian political leaders have university degrees and Nigeria has thousands of brilliant economists, yet we have a suboptimal economy. This reality is due not just to the two big issues of a weak sense of nationhood and absent political will, but just as important, a frequent lack of fundamental understandings about economics and its relationship with the other social sciences, law, and technology to create a productive economy.
The first problem is that, even within the economics profession itself, there often is an emphasis on the technical and the mathematical, with little appreciation and application of a sound knowledge of economic philosophy and political economy as the necessary foundations of economic development and wealth creation. All successful economies are based on some sort of philosophical foundation or the other. The internal dynamics – and sometimes contradictions – of these philosophical leanings matter for economic policy, as do their differences. This, then, requires a certain amount of intellectual interrogation, a level of comfort with ideas and concepts, and their application to everyday economic policy challenges. Alas, this is only too rarely a habit of economic policymaking in Nigeria.

Let me illustrate: Most Nigerians today believe in profit-oriented, market activity. We are dynamic and entrepreneurial. We are therefore mainly capitalist in persuasion, at least to varying degrees. But, you see, capitalism is a philosophy. If we fail to understand this, as we often do, we will copy capitalist societies who understand this, and then fail to create wealth for 200 million Nigerians the way these societies have done for their citizens. The wealth of a few and the poverty of many is the natural outcome, because we are “doing” but without first thinking deeply. According to the Nigerian Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) , 99.4 percent of Nigerians that are banked have less than 500,000 Naira in their bank accounts. From this we can see why, for the average Nigerian, an “alat” hitting his or her “acant” is a truly big deal.

In order for capitalism to create wealth, we must come to a clear, pragmatic understanding of the right balance between the state and the marketplace (this leans too much in favour of the state in Nigeria, thus distorting the economy), the essential bedrocks of successful capitalist economies (strong property rights as opposed to state ownership of land, an important factor of economic production, under the Land Use Act, an innovation-driven economy, and capital), as well as the four kinds of capitalism – entrepreneurial capitalism that is dominant in the United States, welfare capitalism that is practised in Europe, crony capitalism that is dominant in Russia and Nigeria, and “state capitalism”, an unlikely but functioning oxymoron that has been invented and practised in China over the past 40 years.

Another example: We are fixated on economic GDP growth. “The Nigerian Economy Will Grow by X % in 2023” is a frequent headline of economic news. But we have taken our eyes off the ball: Such growth must be inclusive. To be precise, this means it must be broad-based across sectors and anchored on a steadily increasing productivity of labour. This misunderstanding takes us away from a more important focus on overcoming poverty with skilled human capital, jobs, and increasing GDP per capita. Nigeria’s GDP per capita is $2000, and its average between 1960 and 2021 was $1,867.70. Comparisons with Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Brazil and South Korea will make you weep, and I don’t want you to cry. Our economic policymaking going forward must understand the distinctions and the three stage-linkages between human development (literacy, water, health, skilled human capital), economic growth, and structural economic transformation. Economic growth without real human development is not just unsustainable.  It will not be able to yield structural economic transformation. The latter means a shift from subsistence agriculture, commodities and mineral resources as a share of the GDP to value-added manufacture and export as an increasing part of GDP. This cannot happen without “productive knowledge” (PK), or skills. This means that educational system reform must become the number one priority for our medium/long term economic progress.

We were once tipsy with the “Africa Rising” myth, when the continent had not yet become an industrially productive economic powerhouse, with a significant share of world trade (only 3 percent today) and foreign direct investment (5 percent). Ten years ago, I argued in my book Emerging Africa: How the Global Economy’s ‘Last Frontier’ Can Prosper and Matter against the conventional wisdom that Africa was rising. The continent, I asserted, was simply emerging from the shadows, and set out an agenda for its possible rise. “Rising” was more accurately applicable to Rising Asia – China, India, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, etc. Looking back now, I take no pleasure in having been proved right.

I would recommend two (in my view) critical executive education programs for political leaders and economic managers in Nigeria (federal and state levels). The first is “Leading Economic Growth”, taught at Harvard Kennedy School by Professor Ricardo Haussmann and his colleagues. This course provides important knowledge and perspective on how to actually diversify an economy and achieve “economic complexity”. The second is “Macroeconomic and Financial Sector Management” , taught at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Institute.

And then we have the matter of institutions. Without strong, independent institutions to uphold accountability and the Rule of Law, and to regulate the economy to create a level playing field for market players, a national economy cannot prosper. Institutions need to be independent precisely so that they can work for the citizens and the economy broadly, and not for cabals or for partisan political interests. Where the latter is the case, the economy suffers because it weakens investor confidence, reduces both foreign and local investment, and promotes capital flight. But the truth is that institutions also cannot be strong, especially in an economy such as ours, without strong, competent individuals leading them.

These are the big issues as I see them, along with the immediate crisis of the petrol subsidy, irresponsible and untransparent borrowing, and a dysfunctional forex regime all of which need to end  as soon as possible in order to stop the economic bleeding of our country. Alongside these reforms, however, we must also engage the heavy lifts – the even bigger work that must also proceed apace – of national consensus building and constitutional reform for greater national stability and prosperity. Nigeria can be the next China – on its own terms. The foundation can be laid over the next four years.

•Prof. Moghalu, a former deputy governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, is the CEO of Sogato Strategies LLC, an emerging markets investment and risk advisory firm, and the President of the Institute for Governance and Economic Transformation (IGET), a public policy think tank.

 
The financial losses incurred by some Nigerian banks due to Ghana’s default in meeting its debt obligations underscores the significance of country risks faced by international lenders and, more importantly, the contributions of our financial institutions to the development of Africa. Many Nigerian banks have subsidiaries across Africa and with that, they have played significant roles in supporting economic growth of these African countries in the last two decades. Some have suffered losses in the course of business and continue to face myriads of challenges as they expand across the continent, but, as it is often said, Africa will have to be developed by Africans. So, Nigerian banks will continue to expand their footprints on African soil and help to create wealth for Africans. Gone are the days when African governments were looking up to the likes of HSBC for help, or when long-legged ladies from Swiss banks were talking down on our wealthy tycoons who needed advice on how best to improve the value of their treasures. Nigerian banks now dot the landscape of Africa, offering wide-range of services, from Cape Town to Cairo. In the absence of a national carrier, our banks have become the most visible brand promoter for the country.
 
I salute the resilience, tenacity and fortitude of Nigerian-owned banks as they continue to weather the storms supporting businesses across the continent. Last week, GTCO, the holding company of GT Bank, reported a N35.94 billion net impairment charge on its financial assets for FY 2022, up from N760.79 million recorded in the previous year. The steep rise in the loan loss provision is attributed mostly to the Group’s exposure to securities issued by the Ghanaian government which suffered substantial losses due to its payment default. The provision led to a 3.33% dip in GTCO’s PBT to N214.15 billion. Another Tier One lender, Access HoldCO, the parent company of Access Bank, is reporting a marginal 5% fall in PBT from N176.6 billion in FY 2021 to N167.7 billion for FY 2022 following a write down from Ghana Sovereign debt crisis. Overall, Access Holdings Plc full year results for 2022 show strong growth across revenue lines despite the strong macroeconomic headwinds, locally and internationally. The banking group registered a record revenue of N1.4 trillion, a 43% year on year growth (FY 2021: N971.9 billion). Other Nigerian banks have also taken a hit from the Ghana crisis.
 
International lenders will always come up against country risks – economic, social and political conditions and events in a foreign country that may adversely affect a financial institution’s operations. They must therefore put in place suitable mechanisms to manage these innate risks. In December, Ghana suspended payments on most of its external debts, effectively defaulting as the country struggles to plug its huge balance of payment deficit. The government said that it would not service its Eurobonds, commercial loans and most bilateral loans. As at last September, Ghana’s public debt stood at $55 billion (compared to Nigeria’s $103.3 billion). But Nigeria has never defaulted on its debt payments despite our own dire financial situation. Ghana is experiencing its worst economic crisis in a decade, with inflation going above 50%, the highest in 21 years, despite being a major cocoa and gold exporter, and in spite of its significant oil revenues. But its huge social welfarist programs like free education, free meals to primary and secondary schools’ students, scrapping of VAT on some goods and services, reduction of import duties led to huge financial burden on the government and massive reduction in government revenue. Besides, in the last 13 years that the country discovered and exported crude oil, it neglected to invest in agriculture. It was therefore not a surprise that the global rating agency, Standard & Poors, in December lowered the sovereign rating on Ghana from Cc to SD (Selective Default), implying that the country has defaulted on some of its matured obligations.
 
Despite the unexpected challenges that the Nigerian lenders have run into in the West African country, I am confident that the fundamentals of our banks are strong enough to withstand the various country risks within the sovereign borders they operate in. Access Holdings, for example, ended the year with over 58 million customers across the extensive networks of subsidiaries and business verticals, the largest in the country. The company’s asset base grew to N15 trillion and customer deposits to N9.25 trillion, with CASA (Current and savings account) mix up by 5% to 63%, as a result of leveraging innovation, digital technology and financial inclusion to mobilize low-cost deposits.
 
By abandoning agriculture due to the arrival of crude oil, Ghana seems to have sleep-walked into the same problem Nigeria brought upon itself decades ago. But with some determination, we have re invested heavily in agriculture and diversified our economy away from crude petroleum. Yet, there is still so much to do. I wish Ghana a full recovery and I hope that she learns fast from her big brother, Nigeria!