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After twenty-six years of uninterrupted democratic governance in Nigeria (1999 to date), the masses had hoped to be enjoying the dividends of democracy by now—primarily through poverty alleviation and improved living standards. However, for a significant number of Nigerians, that dream has remained elusive. Rather than experiencing prosperity, many continue to grapple with poverty, hunger, and rising hardship.

This harsh reality persists despite the leadership efforts of five presidents since Nigeria’s return to democracy: Olusegun Obasanjo (1999–2007), the late Umaru Musa Yar’Adua (2007–2010), Goodluck Jonathan (2010–2015), Muhammadu Buhari (2015–2023), and Bola Ahmed Tinubu (2023–present).

Over these 26 years, Nigeria’s economy has witnessed both periods of remarkable growth and phases of stagnation. The nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP)—a key indicator of economic productivity—has seen notable fluctuations. For example, during Jonathan’s administration, GDP growth peaked at around 8%, largely driven by high global crude oil prices that exceeded $100 per barrel. In contrast, under the current Tinubu administration, GDP growth hovers around 3.4%, with oil prices now ranging between $65 and $80 per barrel.

Yet, despite these varying levels of economic performance, the expected transformation in the lives of average Nigerians has not materialized. The dividends of democracy remain out of reach for the majority, as poverty continues to define daily life for many.

This disconnect is further highlighted by data from a report commissioned by the Buhari administration. According to the 2022 Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI), a staggering 63% of Nigerians—approximately 133 million people—were classified as multidimensionally poor before Tinubu’s presidency. This means a significant portion of the population suffers from deprivation not just in income, but across multiple areas including healthcare, education, living conditions, and access to work or protection from economic shocks.

In essence, despite positive macroeconomic indicators like GDP growth, the lived experience of most Nigerians tells a different story. This gap between economic statistics and street-level reality is a recurring dilemma in development economics—one that policymakers struggle to explain to populations undergoing structural reforms while still mired in daily hardship.

While government officials and economic advisers may celebrate rising GDP as evidence of progress, ordinary Nigerians are more concerned about their ability to afford food, pay rent, access medical care, and meet transportation costs. Today, with the naira severely devalued and denominations like ₦5, ₦10, and ₦20 effectively worthless, it’s difficult for citizens to believe in slogans like “Renewed Hope” when their basic needs remain unmet.

Many are overwhelmed by hunger and homelessness, with inflation making essential goods and services increasingly unaffordable. In such a context, official rhetoric about economic growth sounds abstract—if not completely alien—to the struggling masses.

This stark mismatch between government optimism and popular despair explains why many Nigerians feel disillusioned. After 26 years of democracy, they expected a nation on the path to prosperity. Instead, they are left questioning whether the system has truly worked for them.

The situation described above is the current reality for most Nigerians. This has compelled me to take a closer look at the disconnect between rising GDP figures and the persistent poverty experienced by citizens. Specifically, I aim to explore why economic growth—reflected in higher GDP—does not automatically translate into an improved standard of living or immediate poverty reduction.

This reality contradicts the assumptions held by many Nigerians who mistakenly believe that GDP growth will swiftly lead to poverty eradication. In truth, and largely unknown to the general public, poverty reduction requires the convergence of multiple factors working together in sync. Until these elements align harmoniously, the so-called dividends of democracy will not effectively reach the grassroots.

To put it simply, GDP tends to measure the concentration of wealth, typically in the hands of the elite. Unless that wealth is reinvested in productive ventures that generate employment and include the poor, poverty reduction remains elusive—more a dream than a measurable outcome.

Through this piece, I aim to clarify the often misunderstood relationship between GDP, poverty, and insecurity. Without a clear understanding of these links, ordinary Nigerians will continue to feel disconnected from government proclamations about economic progress, especially when those claims don’t align with their daily struggles.

For the average citizen, rising GDP means little if food remains unaffordable, transportation costs are unbearable, and basic needs like housing and healthcare are out of reach. Until the cost-of-living crisis eases and daily life becomes less punishing, many will continue to mockingly refer to President Tinubu as “T-Pain”—a nickname that emerged in response to the painful, short-term effects of his reform agenda.

Yet, it’s important to note that economic reforms take time. There is always a gestation period before policies yield tangible results. Because these reforms require a complex mix of socio-economic factors to align, public patience understandably wears thin, especially among those struggling to survive.

This article is my attempt to bridge the gap between policy architects and the masses. By using relatable examples, I hope to shed light on how economic development works, and why GDP growth doesn’t always equate to immediate poverty reduction.

Take, for example, the $20 billion Dangote Refinery in Lekki, Lagos. While this mega-project will undoubtedly boost Nigeria’s GDP, it does not directly create a large number of jobs for low-income earners, as it is capital-intensive and employs mainly high-skilled labor. In contrast, the ongoing construction of the 750-kilometer Lagos-Calabar coastal highway by Hitech Construction will have a more immediate impact on poverty reduction. Road construction tends to be labor-intensive and creates a wide array of job opportunities—from engineers and skilled technicians to informal workers, food vendors, and even homeowners renting rooms to laborers along the project corridor.

These examples illustrate a crucial point: economic growth and poverty alleviation are not always simultaneous or automatic. They often unfold in phases, depending on how different sectors interlink and how policies are implemented and sustained over time.

Ultimately, the lengthy implementation period of reforms often leads to public frustration, especially when politicians have raised expectations during campaigns with ambitious promises. Sadly, this pattern has become a recurring problem in Nigeria, and it is the root of the disillusionment currently gripping the nation.

When President Bola Tinubu returned to Lagos for the first time a few months after assuming office, it was expected to be a celebratory homecoming. However, the mood was quickly sobered when he was met by chants of “ebin kpa wa”—Yoruba for “we are hungry”—from frustrated Lagos youths.

This public outcry likely struck a chord with Tinubu, who, as a former governor of Lagos and a native son of the state, could not ignore such a message. In response, his administration swiftly removed import duties on food items to ease the skyrocketing cost of living, worsened by the elimination of subsidies on petrol and the naira. These decisions, although economically necessary, triggered a widespread cost-of-living crisis that continues to burden millions of Nigerians.

Adding to the crisis is the escalating insecurity in rural areas, where farmers are unable to work their land due to fear of attacks—resulting in declining food production and worsening scarcity.

During his most recent 10-day visit to Lagos to celebrate Sallah, President Tinubu, now midway through his term, acknowledged that food prices remain high and that many citizens are suffering economic hardship. To his credit, he did not attempt to downplay the challenges Nigerians face. He reminded the public that he inherited a nation in financial distress, and that the reforms he introduced—though painful—were necessary to stabilize the country.

There are valid arguments suggesting that, without these reforms, Nigeria could have spiraled into a crisis akin to Venezuela’s—a fellow oil-rich nation plagued by economic collapse, a classic case of the “resource curse.” Tinubu’s government has sought to reverse decades of flawed policies—such as fuel, currency, and electricity subsidies—that were originally introduced as temporary solutions but eventually became entrenched, contributing to Nigeria’s long-term underdevelopment over its nearly 65 years of independence.

In his Democracy Day speech on June 12, Tinubu reaffirmed his identity as a progressive by honoring 66 of his fellow democracy activists with national awards—individuals who fought alongside him for the restoration of civilian rule after years of military dictatorship. He also admitted that Nigeria has not yet become the prosperous nation its people hope for, but assured citizens that relief is on the way through new programs and projects aimed at addressing their struggles.

Yet, as the saying goes, “talk is cheap.” For many Nigerians, government rhetoric—amplified since May 29 through widespread media campaigns showcasing the administration’s midterm achievements—rings hollow. A significant gap remains between official claims of progress and the harsh realities felt by ordinary citizens across the country.

This disconnect between rising GDP figures and deepening poverty is not unique to Nigeria; it’s a global challenge. Economists have long debated why economic growth doesn’t automatically reduce poverty. Several theories attempt to explain this:

 1. Kuznets Curve: Proposed by Simon Kuznets, this theory suggests that as economies grow, inequality initially rises but eventually falls once a certain level of development is reached.

 2. Trickle-Down Economics: This theory argues that wealth generated at the top eventually benefits the lower classes. However, critics argue that this process is often slow, incomplete, or entirely ineffective.

 3. Unequal Exchange Theory: This concept highlights how developing countries often engage in trade relationships that favor developed nations, leading to persistent poverty and inequality at home.

 4. Dependency Theory: It suggests that developing nations are structurally dependent on developed countries, which keeps them locked in cycles of poverty and underdevelopment.

The gap between GDP growth and actual improvements in people’s lives is due to complex and often overlooked factors. To make this clearer, I drew an analogy between two major projects: the Dangote Refinery and the Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway by Hitech Construction. While the refinery significantly boosts Nigeria’s GDP through high-value industrial output, it creates relatively few jobs for low-income earners. On the other hand, the highway project—though smaller in GDP impact—generates widespread employment for engineers, laborers, vendors, and local landlords, offering more direct poverty relief.

This comparison helps illustrate the subtle but crucial difference between economic growth and equitable development—something policymakers must keep in mind when designing reforms intended to benefit all Nigerians, not just a privileged few.

 1. Income Inequality

GDP growth doesn’t automatically result in fair wealth distribution. Often, the benefits are concentrated among a privileged few, leaving the wider population with limited access to opportunities and resources. A prime example is the $20 billion Dangote Refinery—while it boosts GDP, it risks deepening income inequality unless the benefits are widely shared.

 2. Poverty and Unemployment

Economic growth does not guarantee lower poverty or unemployment rates, particularly when it is driven by capital-intensive sectors that create few jobs. Projects like the Dangote Refinery and the $5 billion Bonga offshore oil field investment exemplify such growth—they contribute significantly to GDP but generate limited employment for the general population.

 3. Inflation and Rising Cost of Living

While GDP growth can be a positive indicator, it often comes with inflation that erodes purchasing power. When the cost of goods and services rises faster than wages, the majority of citizens feel no tangible improvement in their lives. This is the current Nigerian experience: despite monetary tightening policies from the Central Bank, inflation continues to impoverish the masses.

 4. Inadequate Social Services and Infrastructure

Growth in GDP does not always reflect improvements in public services such as education, healthcare, or infrastructure. Unless economic gains are reinvested into these sectors, the benefits may not reach the broader population. That said, both government and philanthropic efforts—led by figures like Tony Elumelu, Aliko Dangote, and Mike Adenuga—along with investments in railway and road infrastructure, are helping to close this gap.

 5. Corruption and Weak Governance

Poor governance and corruption can significantly undermine the advantages of economic growth. When the gains from GDP expansion are siphoned off by corrupt elites, the population sees little to no improvement in their lives. Unlike his predecessor, Muhammadu Buhari—who declared a war on corruption in 2015—President Tinubu has taken a quieter, action-oriented approach. Though he hasn’t made loud proclamations, Tinubu has shown commitment by removing corrupt officials, such as former Humanitarian Affairs Minister Dr. Betta Edu, when credible allegations emerged. His strategy leans more toward silent enforcement than public grandstanding.

These factors contribute to the persistent gap between GDP growth and improvements in the living standards of everyday Nigerians. Unless these issues are tackled through well-designed, mass-oriented policy implementation, economic growth will continue to feel distant and disconnected from the realities on the ground.

Interestingly, many of the root causes behind the gap between a rising GDP and worsening poverty—issues that also fuel insecurity and public discontent—are already being targeted by the Tinubu administration through various poverty reduction initiatives.

However, the government has struggled to effectively communicate its efforts. The absence of a clearly structured and consistently communicated policy framework has left many Nigerians unaware of what is being done. This communication failure has opened the door for critics to brand Tinubu’s administration as reactive and directionless. In reality, these reforms are gradually improving Nigeria’s economic fundamentals—a fact recognized by institutions like the IMF, World Bank, Fitch, Moody’s, and even The Financial Times of London. Yet, the absence of a compelling domestic narrative leaves many Nigerians unconvinced, even as the government celebrates these international endorsements.

In my assessment, the Tinubu administration has implemented several policies intended to ensure that GDP growth translates into real poverty reduction. These include:

A) Pro-Poor Growth Strategies

These are targeted policies aimed at reducing poverty and inequality, particularly through social welfare programs and human capital investments.

To this end, the administration established a dedicated Ministry of Humanitarian Affairs tasked with supporting vulnerable populations. One key initiative under this ministry is the Conditional Cash Transfer scheme.

Though the program initially faced criticism over the low stipend amount, President Tinubu responded by increasing the cash benefit from ₦25,000 to ₦75,000 for 15 million households, according to the National Social Safety Net Coordination Office.

B) Job Creation and Youth Empowerment

Efforts to reduce unemployment have focused on promoting entrepreneurship, job creation, and skills development.

Beyond the initiatives led by various state governors and their spouses, the Federal Ministry of Education recently launched the Technical and Vocational Education and Training (TVET) program. This program aims to equip Nigerian youth—especially internally displaced persons (IDPs) and other vulnerable groups—with practical skills in areas like digital coding, cloud computing, and data analytics. Participants are provided with seed capital and equipment to enable them to become self-employed and economically active.

Before this, private sector actors like the Tony Elumelu Foundation (TEF) had been pioneering similar youth empowerment initiatives across Africa. The federal government’s current program appears to be a scaled-up, national version of that successful private sector model.

C) Social Protection Programs

These initiatives act as a safety net for society’s most vulnerable, offering support in the form of subsidies, direct aid, and empowerment tools.

First Lady Senator Oluremi Tinubu has played a hands-on role by visiting various states—such as Rivers, Delta, Bayelsa, Enugu, and others—to distribute empowerment tools including medical equipment, grinding machines, and refrigerators. These programs cut across party lines and aim to uplift women and disadvantaged communities.

D) Human Capital Investment

A major part of reducing poverty lies in long-term investment in education, healthcare, and essential social services.

On the education front, high-caliber institutions like Charterhouse UK have established a branch in Lagos, signaling growing confidence in Nigeria’s private education sector. These developments are expected to reduce the outflow of foreign exchange spent on sending children abroad for secondary and tertiary education.

Further supporting this effort is the Nigerian Education Loan Fund (NELFUND), a key initiative under Tinubu’s administration. NELFUND enables access to tertiary education for nearly 300 million Nigerian students (likely referring to applicants or potential beneficiaries over time), encouraging more students to study locally rather than abroad and rejuvenating local universities in the process.

In the healthcare sector, the opening of high-quality medical institutions such as Evercare Hospital in Lagos—funded through venture capital—and the African Medical Centre of Excellence (AMCE) in Abuja—supported by the African Development Bank (AfDB)—marks a significant upgrade in local healthcare infrastructure.

These advancements are projected to significantly reduce the $1 billion annually lost to medical tourism. Much like the elimination of petrol and naira subsidies, which has saved billions and cut petrol imports by approximately 30 million liters annually, improved healthcare services at home are expected to curb the financial drain on foreign healthcare spending.

Although many of these projects are private-sector-led, they are no less vital. They contribute meaningfully to national productivity, improve the quality of life, and help align GDP growth with poverty reduction goals.

Understanding the Disconnect Between GDP Growth and Poverty Alleviation

Although Nigeria’s economy has experienced measurable growth, the benefits have not translated into improved living conditions for the majority. Several systemic factors help explain this gap:

 • Wealth Concentration: When economic progress disproportionately benefits the wealthy few, poverty and inequality remain deeply entrenched.

 • Growth Without Jobs: Economic expansion driven by industries that rely heavily on machinery and technology often fails to create jobs, especially for unskilled labor.

 • Weak Social Safety Nets: In the absence of robust welfare programs, vulnerable populations are left exposed to economic volatility and hardship.

Tackling the Roots of Poverty and Inequality

Closing the gap between economic growth and real improvements in living standards requires targeted, inclusive interventions. Key areas of focus include:

 • Quality Education and Skills Training: Boosting literacy and access to functional education is essential. Initiatives like the Helpers Social Development Foundation’s free schooling and sponsorship for students are vital in empowering young Nigerians.

 • Empowering Women and Educating Girls: Fostering equal opportunities for women through education and economic initiatives not only uplifts families but positively shapes the next generation.

 • Fighting Corruption: Transparent governance and stronger accountability frameworks are critical to ensure public funds serve their intended developmental purposes.

 • Fairer Income Distribution: Adopting strategies that shift resources toward low- and middle-income earners can stimulate consumption, spur local industries, and generate employment.

 • Infrastructure Development: Strategic investments in transportation, power supply, and digital infrastructure can connect markets, improve efficiency, and drive inclusive growth.

 • Diversifying the Economy: Moving away from oil dependency by supporting agriculture, small businesses, and tech innovations will foster long-term stability and job creation.

 • Affordable Healthcare: Strengthening the healthcare system reduces the economic strain of illness on families and enhances national productivity.

 • Expanding Financial Access: Improving access to financial services—especially in rural areas—through digital banking and fintech tools enables broader economic participation.

 • Strengthening Social Programs: Initiatives like conditional cash transfers, food support, and targeted subsidies must be scaled up to cushion the most vulnerable.

Practical Measures for Redistribution

Achieving a more equitable society demands well-structured redistribution mechanisms, including:

 • Progressive Taxation: Tax systems where high earners contribute more can fund essential public services.

 • Social Assistance: Direct support programs like unemployment benefits, food aid, and housing assistance offer immediate relief to low-income groups.

 • Minimum Wage Enforcement: Guaranteeing fair wages helps lift working families out of poverty.

 • Accessible Public Services: Investing in public healthcare and education provides critical upward mobility pathways for disadvantaged communities.

 • Cash Transfers and Subsidies: Financial support through direct payments or subsidies for essentials like housing and energy helps bridge economic gaps.

 • Tax Credits: Reducing tax burdens for low-income earners can improve household financial security.

 • Affordable Housing Projects: Public housing schemes play a key role in combating urban poverty.

 • Skills and Job Training: Government-led programs that teach vocational and digital skills increase employability and self-sufficiency.

Both federal and state governments have already established skill acquisition centers nationwide to support this agenda.

Additionally, the National Assembly is currently reviewing four tax reform bills, aimed at easing the pressure on low-income earners while expanding the government’s revenue base.

Closing the Trust and Communication Gap

While the administration has highlighted President Tinubu’s midterm achievements with pride, everyday Nigerians remain unconvinced. With inflation, unemployment, and insecurity still pressing, citizens see little evidence of improvement in their day-to-day lives.

As former Lagos governor Babatunde Fashola once framed it, the “stomach infrastructure”—the basic needs of food, shelter, and security—still feels out of reach for many.

To win public trust, the government must do more than promise reforms. It must deliver results—and communicate them clearly and honestly. Many of its initiatives remain disjointed and underdeveloped. What’s needed now is strategic execution, tangible progress, and a compelling narrative that assures Nigerians that better days are not just promised—they’re coming.

Of all the challenges that President Tinubu inherited from his predecessor, including rescuing the country from the brinks of bankruptcy as it was weighed down by foreign and local debts to the IMF, foreign banks and airlines, some of which have commendably been repaid, even as the, CBN has also recorded increase in FX balance in the national treasury

Similarly, the good news that state oil behemoth, NNPC has ramped up crude oil production to 1.8 million per day from a low production of about 1.2 million per day some two years ago, with a target of 2 million BPD is partly responsible for higher FX inflow into the CBN. That is cherry news, however, the economy is still not out of the woods, although it is effectively on the trajectory of recovery.

In the same vein, the erstwhile volatility in the naira exchange rates with foreign currencies and its scarcity that had been the bane of the Nigerian economy have been relatively stabilized to about N1,600/$1.

That is on top of the fact that FX has become readily available on demand which is quite unlike in the past when sourcing hard currencies was like a nightmare for manufacturers who need to import raw materials to keep their factories in operation. The failure to successfully source FX is the reason that some of them were forced to shut down operations and relocate from Nigeria to other climes particularly Ghana and other neighboring countries from where they were producing essential items and exporting to Nigeria further causing our country to lose income by exporting capital.

Thankfully the exodus of manufacturing firms is no longer the case. Rather those who fled are likely going to be returning soon as the business environment changes for the better.

By far the worst thorns in the flesh of most Nigerians in terms of impact are not the inflation rate which remains high but coming down to a little over 23% nor the price of petrol which is currently hovering around N800 per litre, down from N1,300, but not yet where it should be. Rather the challenges that have lingered like malignant tumors are (1)insecurity of lives and properties, and (2) the outrageous hike in electricity charges currently designated into band A to E without commensurate supply to consumers who see the ill-conceived development in the electricity supply system as a scam.

Although the human carnage arising from the constant murder of innocent people in the Kaduna and Borno states northern Nigeria has abated since president Tinubu mounted the saddle in Aso Rock villa, the alarming rate of vicious killings in the middle belt states of Benue and Nassarawa which have become the new epicenter of violent displacement of farmers by heavily armed bandits is worrisome and unacceptable, so it needs being addressed frontally by President Tinubu as he has affirmed in his statement following the murder of an estimated 200 people in Benue state over the last weekend.

Apparently, while President Tinubu has recorded significant progress in other segments of society as earlier catalogued, he appears to be confounded and overwhelmed by the alarming scourge of insecurity as evidenced by the escalation of killings in the past couple of years, especially in Benue and Plateau states.

The Benue state governor Hycinth Alia's allegations that the killing of villagers in his state by heavily armed bandits who also burn the houses resulting in the villagers fleeing into the bushes while abandoning their homes and which is often followed by the arrival of herdsmen and their cattle should be investigated.

That would help determine if indeed the attacks have international dimensions/elements and the invasion and seizure of our lands to be occupied by foreigners which is the unfolding scenario, is not a very high security threat to the sovereignty of Nigeria since the Wagner group (Russian private military contractors for hire) and other foreign mercenaries are currently operating in neighboring countries like Niger Republic, Mali and Burkina Faso which have withdrawn their membership of ECOWAS -a regional organization serving the common interests of the nation that are located in the region.

In light of the above, it would appear as if instead of insecurity going down, it has been rising under President Tinubu’s watch.

That is not good optics for the incumbent administration. As such, tackling insecurity needs to be prioritized by President Tinubu. It is a promise that he has made for the umpteenth time but the talk has not been transformed into action.

So, l would like to suggest that in the same manner that President Tinubu has significantly tamed inflation, stabilized the naira and ended petrol pump price subsidy, insecurity that is making the Benue and Nassarawa states look like killing fields, metaphorically, should compel the president, commander- in- chief of the armed forces of Nigeria, Tinubu to dorn his thinking cap and figure out, an out-of- the -box way, how to guarantee the security of the lives and properties of the Nigerians living in Benue and Nassarawa states who have been under siege by vicious outlaws without protection the federal government which our compatriot in those targeted states are entitled.

Some of the options available to President Tinubu include defeating the bandits by dislodging them from our forests from where they launch the attacks and retreat to hide by ensuring that our law enforcement officers occupy the forests permanently and do not leave the forests fallow for the outlaws to re-occupy. 

In this regard, the concept of forest guards earlier proposed should be activated without further delay. There is no doubt that insecurity in Nigeria needs to be de-escalated so that the other goals of the administration such as the reduction of food inflation due to the inability of rural dwellers to attend their farms. To protect them so that their fundamental human rights will not be continuously violated, they need to save themselves from the dastardly activities of bandits terrorizing our fellow countrymen and women in the hinterlands of the states that are reputed to be the breadbasket of Nigeria.

In my assessment, the reason, the villagers in north central Nigeria are being decimated wantonly by the bandits is that the criminal elements are armed with sophisticated weapons while the victims are unarmed.

Justified by the reality that the prevailing dire atmosphere of violence in Benue and Nasarawa states requires extraordinary measures to counteract, President Tinubu may need to take some extraordinary measures which should not be a declaration of emergency rule which would amount to killing democracy softly. 

Unsurprisingly, some unusual actions are being recommended as a panacea.

As if to create an atmosphere of balance of force, a former chief of Defense staff, Gen.T.Y Danjuma (rtd) had advised his people from Taraba state and environ who were at some point targets of the outlaws to arm themselves to protect themselves otherwise they will be killed continuously as the Nigerian government has proven incapable or unwilling to protect them from the marauders. In a similar vein, the Director-General of State Security Services, DS Mr Adeola Oluwatosin Ajayi also recommended the arming of people in vulnerable communities for self-protection.

The above recommendations are patently extreme as they contravene the 1999 constitution of Nigeria which provides that only members of the armed forces should bear sophisticated arms. 

Apart from law enforcement officers, the statutes book permits issuing licenses to civilians only for hunting.

So, proposing that locals who are not members of the military or law enforcement agencies should bear arms must have been made due to the hopelessness and helplessness of the vulnerable communities by the high-ranking and well-respected former army chief of staff and the current chief security intelligence officer. 

But are there no alternative measures that can be taken as a counteroffensive to the armed bandits wreaking havoc in our hinterlands? 

My hunch is that if we engage in critical thinking there would be more viable solutions to the menace.

I recently came across a news report indicating that about 6,000 cadet police officers had just been recruited and commissioned. 

In my view that is very minuscule. 

To rein in insecurity in Nigeria, the authorities need a massive recruitment of law enforcement officers of at least 100,000 not 6,000 every year in the next five (5) years until the ogre of insecurity has been killed. 

To achieve that objective of creating a surge in security personnel to repel the current wave of attacks by the outlaws, the option is to adopt the existing local vigilante groups into the special force, which most states and regional governments are falling back on for security in their respective states and regions.

Their members should constitute the core of the recruits as law enforcement personnel being proposed since they have already undergone through preliminary training.

They can be easily transitioned into the state police which has been on the drawing board for the past 26 years since multi-party democracy returned in Nigeria in 1999. If the state police option is not viable they can be adopted into a community police system.

 It is on record that it is during the reign of President Olusegun Obasanjo (1999-2007) that the concept of state police was first mooted.

For swiftness in action, conditions or prerequisites for the recruitment of the vigilante personnel into the special forces should be lowered. And all the men/ women who exited the military or law enforcement agencies under extraordinary circumstances should be considered for recruitment into the force.

They should not be recruited into the traditional police force rather they should be designated as special police in the manner that SPY police which is essentially dedicated to guard duties in banks was formed and is currently being operated.

When insecurity ebbs in five years or thereabout, the special force can be disbanded with the option of the men/women engaged to be absorbed into the other law enforcement agencies after being retrained.

President Tinubu must declare zero tolerance for insecurity which is giving oxygen to all the socioeconomic and political challenges bedeviling our beloved nation.

 

Magnus Onyibe, an entrepreneur, public policy analyst, author, democracy advocate, and development strategist.

Nigerian banks are likely to face lower profitability, tighter capital buffers, and a potential uptick in non-performing loans (NPLs) as the country’s central bank begins a gradual withdrawal of the regulatory forbearance measures introduced at the height of the COVID-19 crisis.

In a circular released on Friday, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) ordered all banks benefiting from forbearance on credit exposures or breaches of Single Obligor Limits to suspend dividend payments, defer executive bonuses, and halt new investments in foreign subsidiaries or offshore ventures.

The policy shift comes at a time when banks are already absorbing significant credit losses linked to Nigeria’s fragile economic recovery and foreign exchange instability.

 

According to Nairametrics’ research, ten listed commercial banks recorded a cumulative N3.77 trillion in loan impairment charges between 2023 and Q1 2025.

The figure surged from N1.34 trillion in 2023 to N2.13 trillion in 2024, with an additional N297 billion in provisions recorded in the first quarter of 2025 alone.

Banks are already in a positive position

Meanwhile, reports from some banks indicate that they have cleared or are near to clearing their forbearance positions suggesting this circular may have been targeted at banks that have not.

For example, sources within GTCO inform Nairametrics that they cleared their regulatory forbearance as of December 2024. The bank’s GMD/CEO also stated this in the bank’s earnings call back in April.

Another source in Zenith informed Nairametrics that the balance of their forbearance will be cleared by June 2025.

What RENCAP report is saying 

Regulatory forbearance was introduced in March 2020 as part of pandemic-era relief measures that allowed Nigerian banks to restructure loans to struggling sectors such as oil and gas, agriculture, and power, without classifying them as impaired.

  • According to data compiled by Renaissance Capital, and seen by Nairametrics, the CBN’s forbearance policy kept the sector-wide NPL ratio at a modest 4.3%, below the 5% regulatory threshold, despite severe macroeconomic dislocations.
  • Estimates by Renaissance Capital show that seven Tier-1 and mid-tier banks Zenith Bank ($910 million), FBN Holdings ($848 million), UBA ($771 million), Access Bank ($535 million), Fidelity ($556 million), FCMB ($332 million), and GTCO ($60 million)—carry a combined $4 billion in restructured or “forborne” loans, primarily concentrated in the oil and gas sector.
  • These loans are largely classified as Stage 2 under IFRS 9, denoting a significant increase in credit risk but not yet non-performing.
  • The Rencap report was published in December based on estimates from the bank’s 2024 half-year results.
  • Nairametrics understands Rencap will be updating the report soon.
  • But with the worst of the pandemic now behind and Nigeria’s foreign exchange and monetary environment shifting, the central bank is keen to unwind what it sees as prolonged and distortionary relief.

Capital at risk 

The phased withdrawal of forbearance is expected to exert pressure on banks’ capital positions.

According to the report, under a base case scenario where banks are required to take a 10% provision against forbearance loans through equity, capital adequacy ratios (CAR) could decline significantly.

  • Zenith Bank’s CAR would fall by an estimated 128 basis points; FBNH, by 149bps; and Fidelity, by as much as 394bps.
  • While GTCO has already provisioned roughly 80% of its forbearance book and Zenith Bank 20%, others appear less prepared.
  • FBN Holdings’ largest exposure—oil group Aiteo—has reportedly resumed interest payments, suggesting an improvement in cash flow, but uncertainty remains over the repayment of principal.
  • In a worst-case scenario, where loans are reclassified as NPLs and banks are required to provision through their profit and loss accounts, NPL ratios could exceed the CBN’s benchmark.
  • Renaissance Capital projects NPL ratios could rise to 7.2% for FCMB, 7.1% for UBA, 6.7% for Zenith, and 6.2% for FBNH, well above current levels.

Estimated declines in capital adequacy ratios (CAR)

  • Fidelity Bank: down 394 basis points
  • FCMB: down 198bps
  • FBNH: down 149bps
  • Zenith Bank: down 128bps

Spike in NPL Ratios

In the worst-case scenario—if banks are forced to reclassify forbearance loans as non-performing—the NPL ratios could rise significantly:

  • FCMB: from 5.4% to 7.2%
  • UBA: from 6.4% to 7.1%
  • Zenith: from 4.6% to 6.7%
  • FBNH: from 4.8% to 6.2%

Only Access and GTCO would remain below the regulatory 5% NPL ceiling based on the report published last December.

Banks positioned to absorb losses 

Despite the possibility of lower profits, banks’ NPL Coverage ratio suggests that they can absorb a potential wave of bad loans.

The NPL coverage ratio is a measure of how much loan loss provision a bank holds relative to its current stock of non-performing loans. The higher the ratio, the stronger the buffer against future credit losses.

Recent data compiled by Nairametrics show that most banks are better positioned to cover bad loans due to their high NPL coverage ratios.

  • Zenith Bank, for instance, leads with an NPL coverage ratio of 223.0%, indicating it has nearly three times more in provisions than reported bad loans.
  • GTCO and Fidelity Bank also show solid cushions at 138.7% and 138.4%, respectively. Stanbic IBTC and Access Bank are moderately covered, with ratios above 110%.
  • However, UBA and FirstBank Holdings show weaker provisioning at 80.9% and 52.4%, and may need to improve this buffer to provide assurance that they can absorb shocks if macroeconomic conditions worsen further.

While the withdrawal of forbearance introduces capital and liquidity pressures, the data suggest that most of Nigeria’s systemically important banks are adequately cushioned, at least in terms of loan loss provisioning.

However, the risk remains unevenly distributed, and banks with weaker NPL coverage, high sectoral concentration, or under-provisioned loan books may still face earnings pressure or potential capital erosion.

[Nairametrics]

While it is fitting to praise the effort of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in celebrating the courage of those he remembered on June 12, 2025 as ‘Heroes of Nigerian Democracy’, it is also important to bring to his notice that there are some other ‘heroes of democracy’ the chroniclers in the presidency forgot. And so as one of those who have institutional memories of the perilous times in our history I would like to plead that those forgotten heroes should be remembered in the next celebration of democracy.

It is gratifying to note that the president’s preface to the honour’s list hinted at the expediency of recognizing as many heroes as possible, in this regard. His words: “The struggle was never the province of any one group or section of the country, it was pan-Nigerian in its conception and will be even more pan- Nigerian as we strive to perfect it”.

In his speech last year (on June 12, 2024), the president listed 32 names as “heroes of democracy”, starting with the late Chief MKO Abiola, the presumed winner of Nigeria’s arguably freest election in 1993, to Chief Ayo Opadokun, the Secretary-General of the National Democratic Coalition (NADECO), an association of several pro-democracy and activist groups that championed the call for the military to exit the stage and hand over to Abiola. Referencing the sacrifices made by the coalition, the president said, “The precious gift brought about by their selfless devotion can neither be repaid nor forgotten.”

However, many Nigerians including yours sincerely had observed then that though the president noted that the list was not exhaustive, as several names who also played critical roles, some with their lives, were not mentioned.

Some of the names said to have been worth mentioning then (2024) included Walter Carrington, Frederick Fasehun, Col Dangiwa Umar, Bagauda Kaltho, Joe Igbokwe, Mohammed Adamu, Dr Junaidu Mohammed, Alhaji Bukar Zarma, Nosa Igiebor, Bayo Onanuga, Sunday Dare, Gambo Sawaba, Mike Ozekhome, Clement Nwankwo and Alao Aka-Bashorun, Dr Amos Akingba. The president had then included the names of their contemporaries like Olisa Agbakoba, Femi Falana, Abdul Oroh, Senator Shehu Sani and Governor Uba Sani of Kaduna State.

Roll call of some individuals forgotten: Dr Tunji Abayomi, Polycap Nwite, Femi Aborishade, Ken Saro-Wiwa, Bamidele Aturu, Tony Enahoro, Bucknor Akerele, Prof Itse Sagay, Chief Olu Falae, General Ishola Williams, Balarabe Musa, M.D. Yusuf, and Tunji Braithwaite.

In a piece here then, I noted, “Immortalising people and doing all this thing on June 12, is a very good cause, but since the president decided to name some people as heroes of democracy, I believe they omitted some significant names and only remembered the prominent figures.”
In the critique of the 2024 list I also said, “Even for the media, the president just mentioned some media establishments but didn’t mention some of the people who suffered specifically. For instance, Bayo Onanuga, the current president’s media adviser, who resigned from his job as the Editor of “African Concord” as a result of the struggle. He resigned when it came to apologising to the military about a story. He refused and left.”

Besides, I highlighted the roles of Ray Ekpu, Yakubu Mohammed and Dan Agbese, all of the organic Newswatch, who were arrested on the same day for publishing an interview with Brig-General David Mark on the intrigues that led to the cancellation of the June 12, 1993, presidential election.

As Editor of the premier newspaper the Abuja Newsday that was shut down during the period, I said that being an editor during the period of Nigeria’s democratic struggle in 1993, I knew a lot of people who played significant roles in the struggle but were not on the list read by the president and thus those missing deserved to be recognised as heroes of “our” democracy.

I had then noted too that significant people like the late former Vice President, Alex Ekwueme, with his organisation of political groups G-34, which began with G-18 led by Chief Solomon Lar, the late Justice Dolapo Akinsanya, who declared the Interim National Government of Chief Ernest Shonekan illegal, were left out.

Meanwhile, President Tinubu had before then described the late Justice Akinsanya as “one of the heroines of the present democracy in Nigeria for the courageous judgment she delivered against the legality of the Interim National Government in November, 1993.” I added then that the names of people like Joe Igbokwe, with his daily letters to editors of Nigerian newspapers and newsmagazines for the actualisation of June 12 results to deepen democracy; and Dr Kayode Fayemi, a former Ekiti State governor, who was generally described as one of the brains behind, Radio Kudirat – the indispensable voice of the June 12, struggle that was broadcasting not only to Nigeria, denouncing the military dictators, but also sensitising the international community on the struggle to end military dictatorship in the country, were also not on the list.

I also wrote then that while it was impossible to have an exhaustive list, proper planning of an event of that nature would have ensured that some significant names that readily came to mind were not subsumed under “among others” as the president did in his 2024 speech. Some of the forgotten heroes in 2024 also included the following:

Walter Carrington
For instance, the late Carrington, a former US Ambassador to Nigeria, was so interested in Nigeria’s struggle for a return to democracy that his position was erroneously interpreted by the then military regime as the intention of the United States (US) to kick out the General Sani Abacha regime.

That was why in his condolence message, former President Muhammadu Buhari described Carrington as a “long-time friend of Nigeria and an astute and courageous diplomat,” adding that the story of “Nigeria’s democracy under the Fourth Republic will not be complete without a mention of the heroic roles of the likes of Ambassador Carrington.”

Carrington remains arguably the most popular US ambassador to Nigeria even after his death in 2020. The road where the US Consulate and several other countries’ consulates are situated was named after him in Lagos.

Alao Aka-Bashorun
Similarly, Aka-Bashorun, a former President of the Nigerian Bar Association (NBA), was another name believed to be too important to the democratic struggle to have been excluded.

One of his children, Dipo H Aka-Bashorun, in an opinion article to respond to the absence of his father’s name during the president’s June 12, dinner speech, said June 12, like with so many notable Nigerians, was inextricably connected to his name.

He wrote, “Where to start? His conviction of G.O.K. Ajayi (SAN) to join him and mount the legal defence of Chief MKO Abiola, the widely acclaimed winner of June 12, at his trial for treason. How about his years in exile; having had to leave Nigeria with a passport issued by the United Nations after the People’s Chambers (his law office) had been raided, sealed off, and his Nigerian passport seized? His role as a leading member of the human rights movement to take the case of Nigeria’s human rights abuses to the United Kingdom and the United States.

Frederick Fasehun
The leadership of the Oodua People’s Congress (OPC) also described President Tinubu’s failure to acknowledge its founder, Dr Frederick Fasehun, in the list of the June 12, heroes as a mark of ingratitude.

Bukar Zarma
Zarma, former Editor of the organic New Nigerian was the publisher of the premier newspaper in Abuja, Abuja Newsday (1988-1993). The Editor of the newspaper was detained several times during this time and the city newspaper was proscribed alongside others, but unlike others, it never recovered. While the struggle was on and yours sincerely as Editor fled to Lagos when security operatives occupied our office, the publisher was arrested eventually in his farm in Kaduna in the heat of the struggle.

So as we applaud the President for honouring most of the “Heroes of June 12”, his office should note that there are still some names to be included even in a “Hall of Fame” or a “Honours List”. It may not be impossible for every one of them to be conferred with National Honours. In any case, such honourable names should include, significant ones such as the late Chief Adekunle Ajasin, who was a significant part of the struggle, Col. Abubakar Dangiwa Umar (Rtd), Mr.Joe Igbokwe, Dr. Kayode Fayemi, the late Dr Tunji Braithwaite, Dr. Tunji Abayomi, the late Dr. Junaid Mohammed, Ogaga Ifowodo, Ph.D, Nnimmo Bassey, and the young radicals who hijacked an aircraft that they caused to land in Niger Republic as part of pressure on the military government to actualise the June 12 result at the time.

The list of the media honorees so far isn’t exhaustive. There are more significant ones to be honoured and recognised. The Guardian senior Editors and Managers who invented the language of coverage of June 12 debacle (M.K.O, the presumed winner of June 12, a man generally believed to have won the June 12 Election) for the Nigerian Media then included Mr Lade Bonuola who was the Managing Director then. He was invited several times by then Col. Frank Omenka, one of Abacha’s hitmen. The list should include Mr. Femi Kusa who was Editor-in-Chief, Mr. Debo Adesina, African Guardian Editor, then, Kingsley Osadolor, Editor, The Guardian, (Sunday) who wrote a story that Abacha’s regime exploited to close down the newspaper on August 14, 1994; the Newswatch three musketeers, (executives) Ray Ekpu, Yakubu Mohammed, and Dan Agbese who were arrested on the same day at the time for publishing a June 12, interview with Brig-Gen. David Mark; Senator Babafemi Ojudu, who was with The News executives then; Sunday Dare who wrote a book on Guerilla Journalism then, Mr. Alex Kabba who was chased out of Nigeria at the time, Dele Momodu, Onome, Osifo Whiskey, Dele Omotunde, etc.

What of Mohammed Adamu who allegedly wrote a cover story titled ‘Al Mustapah: The Ruthless Man behind Abacha’? Though the story had no byline, Adamu was arrested and detained for almost a year. Among others from Abuja-Kaduna axis, Alhaji Bukar Zarma, whose newspaper, Abuja Newsday was closed down in July 1993, for publishing many exclusive stories including June 12 Winner’s Transition Programme, ‘Hot romance between Abiola’s son and IBB’s daughter’, a ‘Secret night meeting between Abiola and IBB in Abuja amidst June 12 crisis, etc and Alhaji Yakubu Abdulazeez, then Editor of New Nigerian who was arrested and sacked for being too pro-June 12, deserve national honours too. Should even the late Pini Jason be forgotten?
University of Lagos then became a focal point of student activism for actualisation of June 12. There was a student leader called Comrade Olusegun Mayegun that security forces detained several times. Doesn’t he deserve an honour too?  


To be continued

In the world of writing, one of the most paralyzing traps is the idea that you must first be “right” before you begin. That everything must be perfect, the facts, the grammar, the tone, the message, even the mood, before you dare to touch the keyboard or pick up the pen. But here is the uncomfortable truth: if you are waiting to be right, you can’t write.

This is not just a clever turn of phrase. It is a hard lesson every writer or aspiring writers must confront. Whether you are a journalist trying to pen an opinion or a feature article, a novelist crafting fiction, or a student struggling with an essay, waiting to be “right” often becomes a lifelong excuse. It is the excuse that kills more ideas than criticism ever could.

The need to be right is a subtle form of perfectionism, and perfectionism is procrastination in a tuxedo. It dresses itself up as noble, but in reality, it is fear masquerading as caution. Without a doubt, the understanding of the foregoing rule of writing might had compelled Louis L’Amour to quotably say, “Start writing, no matter what. The water does not flow until the faucet is turned on.”

 

If you want to become a writer and an expert of whatever genre of writing, you must always have it at the back of your mind that writing is a Journey, an art that does not require to be done hastily or without much thought. To aptly put it, it is not a dash off.

As you travel along, improvement comes. For the sake of clarity, this writer started writing for the media almost two decades ago by frequently writing on “Letter To The Editor” Columns of various newspapers in those days, though most contemporary newspapers are devoid of such column, but choosing to be writing short opinion articles to contemporary publishers of both online and offline media platforms is also a good way to master the art of writing.

You do not have to be right to begin writing. You just have to be willing. Willing to explore. Willing to be honest. Willing to be wrong, and to grow from that process. The greatest writers did not arrive at their wisdom before they wrote. They discovered it as they wrote.

 

The blank page does not ask for perfection. It asks for presence. You do not climb a mountain by waiting at the base until you are sure you will not slip. You climb by taking the first step. So too with writing. When you continue to wait for your tenses to be grammatically accurate, then the fear of being wrong becomes a cage, and you would end up not writing.

Let us face it, many writers do not write because they are afraid of being called out. They fear criticism, judgment, misinterpretation, or even cancellation. So they wait. And wait. And wait. Until the passion fades and the ideas die quietly in the back of their minds.

But the truth is this: you will never be 100% right. Someone will always disagree. Someone will always misread. And yes, sometimes, you will get it wrong. But writing is not a final verdict, it is a contribution to an ongoing conversation.

 

You do not have to have the last word. Just the next one. This is as the act of writing is well accomplished by rewriting.  Here is a truth every seasoned writer understands: the first draft is never the final answer. The first draft is messy. It is flawed. It is clumsy and incomplete, and that is exactly what it is supposed to be.

If you are waiting for the perfect sentence before you write the first one, you will be waiting forever. Some of the most profound essays, op-eds, and even books began with weak openings and uncertain ideas. But once on paper, they were shaped, refined, revised, and transformed. This is because you cannot fix what does not exist. So write the wrong words first, so you can write the right ones later.

In fact, writing is not about certainty. It is about clarity.  Good writing is not a product of certainty. It is the pursuit of clarity. And clarity comes through the act of writing, not before it.

 

Some of the best articles I have ever written started with confusion. I was not sure what I thought. I did not have a final opinion. But as I wrote, I began to see more clearly. The words became a mirror to my own mind. The fog lifted, not because I waited for it to clear, but because I walked into it.

If you are a writer, especially a journalist or commentator in Nigeria, you must realize this: you do not need to be the moral compass of the world before you speak. You do not need to hold a Ph.D. in everything. What you need is honesty, empathy, and the courage to speak, even if your voice trembles.

In fact, let us in this context address a core dilemma many writers face: how do you tell the truth without sounding harsh? How do you balance honesty with humanity? The answer is not to dilute the truth, but to frame it with care. Truth delivered with arrogance alienates; truth delivered with empathy resonates.

 

You can write critically about government failure, societal ills, or personal struggles, without stripping people of their dignity. A good writer is not a judge in a courtroom. He or she is a guide through complexity, and need to be sharp with ideas, but soft with people.

Writing as a Healing Tool. It is not only about reporting, persuading, or entertaining. It is also deeply healing. When you pour your fears, regrets, doubts, and hopes onto the page, something magical happens, you unburden yourself. You process pain. You find language for what once felt unspeakable.

In a country like Nigeria, where many suffer in silence, where therapy is often stigmatized or inaccessible, writing can be medicine. A private journal. A blog post. Even a social media caption. Writing allows you to name your experience, and naming it is the first step toward reclaiming power over it. Don’t wait to be “okay” before you write. Write to *become* okay.

 

At this juncture, it is expedient to highlight the exercises that break the fear of perfection. For writers battling perfectionism, the kind that keeps you stuck in your head, there are proven exercises to unlock the flow, and they cut across freewriting, morning pages, shitty first draft and writing prompts. For the sake of clarification, freewriting entails setting a timer for10 minutes and write whatever comes to mind. No editing. No judgment. Just pure thought, morning pages, inspired by Julia Cameron, is the practice which involves writing three longhand pages first thing in the morning. It clears the clutter and kick starts creativity. Shitty First Drafts is the art of embracing the idea that your first draft will be terrible. That is okay. It is a starting point, not a statement of your ability. Writing Prompts, on its own, uses prompts to bypass mental blocks. Start with “I feel stuck because…” or “The last time I wrote freely was when…” These tools break the chains of needing to be right before you begin.

Again, as a writer you should stop performing. Instead, start connecting. Too often, writers write to impress, not to connect. Every sentence is calculated for applause, not authenticity. But writing that performs is rarely writing that transforms. Readers do not need your polish. They need your “presence”. They need your truth, not your posture. Let go of the need to be praised or perfect. Just be real.

Your words do not have to be clever. They have to be clear. They do not have to be flawless. They have to be felt.

 

The Nigerian writer, journalist, or poet waiting for the perfect moment to speak will find himself left behind. The conversation is already happening. The story is unfolding. The people are listening.

You do not need to have it all figured out. You do not need to be validated by institutions. You do not need to be “right.” You just need to write. So stop waiting. The blank page does not need your perfection. It needs your participation. Because if you are waiting to be right, you can’t write.

For decades, the Islamic Republic of Iran has pursued a destructive agenda across the Middle East, fueling conflicts, arming terrorist proxies, and threatening the annihilation of Israel. Yet, despite its aggressive posturing, Iran is fighting a war it can never win—not just militarily, but economically, diplomatically, and ideologically. Israel, on the other hand, has consistently acted in self-defense, employing precision strikes and intelligence operations to neutralize threats before they materialize into large-scale attacks.

Rather than being condemned, Israel’s actions should be applauded. The Jewish state operates with restraint, targeting only military assets and terrorist leaders while minimizing civilian casualties—a stark contrast to Iran’s indiscriminate rocket attacks and proxy warfare. Empirical evidence demonstrates that Israel’s defensive measures have saved countless lives, preserved regional stability, and exposed the futility of Iran’s expansionist ambitions.

Iran’s economy is in shambles, with inflation exceeding 40% in 2023 according to the IMF. U.S. sanctions have slashed oil exports—once Iran’s lifeline—by over 80%. The rial has lost more than 90% of its value since 2018, triggering mass protests. Despite this, Tehran squanders billions on proxies like Hezbollah—estimated at $700 million annually by the U.S. Treasury—rather than investing in its own people.

Militarily, Iran is overextended. It funds and arms proxies in Yemen (the Houthis), Lebanon (Hezbollah), Iraq (Shia militias), and Gaza (Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad). Yet these groups are increasingly vulnerable. Hezbollah has lost thousands of fighters in Syria, and Hamas was decimated in the 2023-2024 Gaza war, with Israeli Defense Forces estimating over 14,000 militants killed. Israel’s precision strikes have systematically degraded Iran’s so-called “Axis of Resistance,” proving that Tehran’s strategy of attrition is unsustainable.

Diplomatically, Iran remains isolated. Despite attempts to court China and Russia, it is still a pariah state. The Abraham Accords normalized relations between Israel and key Arab nations, undermining Tehran’s influence. Even Iraq, once an Iranian satellite, has moved to expel pro-Iran militias after repeated attacks on U.S. forces.

Israel employs precision over carnage, using advanced intelligence—including Mossad and cyber operations—to surgically eliminate threats. The 2020 assassination of Qasem Soleimani, carried out by the U.S. with Israeli intelligence support, removed a key architect of Iran’s terror network. Compare this to Hamas and Hezbollah, which deliberately target civilians, embed weapons in schools, and use human shields—a blatant war crime.

 

Israel’s Iron Dome missile defense system boasts a 90% interception rate, saving thousands of lives from Iranian-backed rocket barrages. During the 2021 conflict, Hamas fired 4,400 rockets at Israeli cities; without the Iron Dome, the death toll would have been catastrophic.

Moreover, Israel has consistently avoided unnecessary escalation. Even after Iran’s direct missile strike in April 2024, Israel responded proportionally to prevent all-out war.

Iran’s genocidal intentions are well-documented. Supreme Leader Khamenei has repeatedly called for Israel’s destruction. The October 7, 2023, massacre by Hamas—which killed 1,200 Israelis, including cases of rape and child mutilation—was a direct result of Iranian incitement. No nation would tolerate such existential threats, and Israel’s preemptive actions are fully justified under international law, specifically Article 51 of the UN Charter.

 

Iran’s military strength is largely a myth. Its April 2024 attack on Israel saw 99% of its missiles intercepted. Its nuclear program, though alarming, has faced repeated sabotage, from the Stuxnet cyberattack to the assassinations of key scientists. Israel, by contrast, possesses unmatched regional military power, including a nuclear triad and cutting-edge cyber capabilities, backed by unwavering U.S. support.

Far from destabilizing the region, Israel’s strikes on Iranian proxies prevent wider conflicts. If Hezbollah had retained Soleimani’s vast arsenal, Lebanon would be an even greater warzone.

The world often condemns Israel for acting in self-defense while turning a blind eye to Iran’s atrocities. This is not just hypocritical—it’s dangerous. Iran’s regime thrives on weakness; only firm deterrence can curb its aggression.

 

Israel’s actions—whether eliminating terrorist leaders, intercepting missiles, or degrading Iran’s proxy networks—have saved lives and maintained a fragile regional balance. Instead of condemnation, the international community should recognize Israel as the bulwark against Iranian chaos.

The choice is clear: Stand with the nation that values life and defends its people, or enable a regime that sows death and can never win. The answer should be obvious.

 

Jeff Okoroafor is a social accountability advocate and a political commentator focused on governance, accountability, and social justice in West Africa.

His Excellency,
President Bola Ahmed Tinubu,
President and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces,
Federal Republic of Nigeria,
State House, Abuja.

Your Excellency,

I write to you as a concerned Nigerian and stakeholder in the fate of Benue State, deeply moved by your June 15, 2025 directive to security chiefs and your appeal to the Governor of Benue State, Rev. Fr. Hyacinth Alia, to urgently convene reconciliation meetings toward resolving the ongoing bloodshed in the state. Your strong words describing the killings as “inhuman and anti-progress” resonate with the pain and anguish of our people.

 

However, to ensure that this presidential intervention leads to meaningful and lasting change, I respectfully pose the following questions for your consideration and the attention of relevant authorities:

1. Who Are the “Warring Parties”?

You stated that Governor Alia should lead dialogue among the “warring parties.” Has the Federal Government formally identified these parties? Are they communal factions, armed herdsmen, terrorist cells, self-defense groups, political opponents, or external militias? Naming them clearly would improve public understanding and accountability.

 

2. What Was the “Earlier Directive” to Security Chiefs?

You mentioned renewing an earlier directive to security chiefs. When was this initial directive issued? What were its specific instructions, and why did it fail to prevent continued killings until now?

3. What is the Nature of the Conflict, According to Federal Intelligence?

Has your government officially classified this conflict as communal, terror-related, ethnic cleansing, or a mix of factors? Nigerians and the international community need to know what intelligence the government is working with.

4. What Timeline and Measurable Outcomes Are Expected?

With the deployment of intelligence, police, and military assets to Benue State, what specific objectives, timelines, and benchmarks should the citizens expect from this renewed operation?

 

5. Will Victims and Displaced Persons Receive Immediate Support?

Thousands have been displaced, and many now live in camps or host communities with no federal support. Is there a plan for food relief, psychosocial care, medical aid, and permanent resettlement?

6. Will the Federal Government Fund or Support the Reconciliation Process?

 

Beyond tasking the Governor with reconciliation, will your government provide resources, neutral facilitators, or mediation experts to support the process? Dialogue without structure may become another talking shop.

7. What About Accountability for Past Failures?

Have any local or national security officials been held accountable for dereliction of duty or complicity in these atrocities? The absence of consequences emboldens impunity.

 

8. What Concrete Action is Being Taken Against Identified Perpetrators?

You directed the arrest and prosecution of perpetrators on “all sides.” Have any suspects been apprehended? Can the names or groups currently under investigation be published?

9. Will Political and Community Inciters Be Investigated?

You warned political and community leaders to avoid inflammatory rhetoric. Are those who have made inciting statements or sponsored provocations being monitored or investigated?

Your Excellency, the people of Benue do not need mere sympathy. We need justice, transparency, and action. Your renewed directive could mark a turning point — or it could fade like many before it, unless followed by deliberate and sustained implementation. I urge you to back these words with bold action. Let this be remembered as the moment the killings stopped — not because the cries grew too loud to ignore, but because justice finally found its voice.

May wisdom guide your leadership, and may peace return to Benue and every troubled part of Nigeria.

 

Respectfully,

Prof. Leonard Karshima Shilgba

A concerned citizen and advocate for peace in Benue State

 
 

Ilorin’s Grand Mufti, Sheikh Sulyman Faruq Onikijipa, has revealed that the late Sheikh Isiaka Sulaiman Ajimati, elder brother to the Director General of the National Institute for Legislative and Democratic Studies (NILDS), Professor Abubakar Sulaiman, once told him he had prayed earnestly for his brother’s rise in national affairs.

Speaking during the fidau prayer at the Sulaiman family house in Oke-Leru, Ilorin, Sheikh Onikijipa, said the late cleric wished his younger brother would attain greatness, including becoming a governor.

Ajimati, who died on June 11, was a respected Islamic scholar known across Cotonou, Abidjan, Lagos, and Ilorin.

A 1987 graduate of Markaz, Agege, he spent decades in Islamic propagation.

“Sheikh Al-Bayan,” as he was fondly called, was deeply spiritual and selfless, the Grand Mufti said, recalling a moment from 1983 when the late cleric confided in him during a prayer session about his dreams for his brother’s future.

“He told me as far back as 1983 that his wish for his brother, who is an academic, was for him to attain a high status in life, including becoming a governor. That prayer was a testament to his love and vision,” Sheikh Onikijipa said, urging the bereaved to stay patient and reflect on the transient nature of life.

He advised Professor Sulaiman to take solace in the will of Allah, assuring him that divine comfort would follow.

Grand Mukadam of Ilorin, Sheikh Sulyman Abubakar Sooro (Dan Borno), also urged the NILDS DG to uphold family unity and continue his legacy of kindness.

The fidau, led by Chief Imam of Ilorin, Alhaji Mohammed Bashir Saliu, drew dignitaries including Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq, represented by his adviser, Alhaji Saad Salahudeen.

 

Others included former NNPCL board member, Dr Ghali Alaya, Grand Khadi of Kwara, Justice Abdulateef Kamaldeen, ex-Grand Khadi Justice Saliu Mohammed, Lagos lawmaker Hon Lukman Olumo, a visiting Minister from Cotonou, Alhaji Sefiyullah, and former state officials.

The list also include former Kwara State Commissioner for Health, Hajia Ayinke Saka; former Chief Press Secretary to a former governor, Alhaji Mas’ud Adebimpe; and former Special Adviser to ex-Governor Bukola Saraki, Alhaji Usman Bibire Ajape among others.

Officials from NILDS and community leaders also attended the solemn gathering.

 [DailyTrust]
 

The Nigerian government has launched the official digital portal for the forthcoming Nigeria Youth Conference, also known as the National Youth Confab.

The government had said that the Youth Confab is aimed at engaging young Nigerians in policy discussions and national development.

The launching was announced on Monday by Minister of Youth Development, Ayode Olawande.

Olawande said the Confab will be inclusive, non-partisan and youth-led.

According to the minister, the theme of the Confab is “Next Gen Nigeria: Crafting Solutions, Owning the Future”.

He said the portal would enable delegates to register, contribute and get real-time updates throughout the time of the Confab.

Olawande said the initiative is “more than just a conference,” describing it as “a generational turning point, a national movement, and a call to action”.

DAILY POST recalls that President Bola Tinubu first announced the planned 30-day Youth Confab during his Independence Day broadcast in October 2024.

Tinubu also officially inaugurated a 44-member Planning Committee for the National Youth Conference at the State House in Abuja in March this year.

[DailyPost]

U.S. President Donald Trump is reportedly considering a major expansion of his administration’s travel ban to include Nigeria and citizens from 35 additional countries.

According to a report by The Washington Post, the proposed list was outlined in a State Department memo and would significantly broaden the scope of restrictions introduced earlier this month.

Of the 36 countries identified, 25 are in Africa, underscoring the potential impact on the continent.

The memo, signed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, gives the affected governments a 60-day ultimatum to comply with newly established security and information-sharing benchmarks set by the U.S. State Department.

It also mandates that each country submit an initial action plan by 8 a.m. on Wednesday, outlining steps they will take to meet these requirements.

 

The document cited concerns over the inability of some countries to issue reliable identity or civil documents, often due to weak central governments or systemic fraud. It also flagged others for having a high number of nationals who overstay their U.S. visas.

Here are 36 countries facing a potential US visa ban:

1. Angola

2. Antigua and Barbuda

3. Benin

4. Bhutan

5. Burkina Faso

6. Cabo Verde

7. Cambodia

8. Cameroon

9. Democratic Republic of Congo

10. Djibouti

11. Dominica

12. Ethiopia

 

13. Egypt

14. Gabon

15. Gambia

16. Ghana

17. Ivory Coast

18. Kyrgyzstan

19. Liberia

20. Malawi

21. Mauritania

22. Niger

23. Nigeria

24. Saint Kitts and Nevis

25. Saint Lucia

26. Sao Tome and Principe

27. Senegal

28. South Sudan

29. Syria

30. Tanzania

31. Tonga

32. Tuvalu

33. Uganda

34. Vanuatu

35. Zambia

36. Zimbabwe

[TheNation]

Amid worsening insecurity in Benue State, a former Senate President, David Mark, has raised the alarm over the continuous killings in the state, warning that residents may be left with no option but to defend themselves if the government fails in its constitutional duty to protect lives and property.

Mark disclosed this in a statement issued by his media aide, Paul Mumeh, on Sunday in Abuja, as he described the wave of attacks and killings across Benue communities as “senseless, tragic, and unacceptable.”

He cautioned that the deteriorating security situation has reached a tipping point, where citizens may soon resort to self-help to stay alive.

“This is the unfortunate reality the Benue people are confronted with. 

“Government must rise to its responsibility, or risk leaving the people with no option but to defend themselves,” Mark said.

The former Senate President lamented the sustained loss of lives and destruction of property in the state, reiterating that the foremost duty of any government is to ensure the safety and welfare of its citizens.

“Any deviation from this mandate constitutes a gross disservice to the people,” he added.

Senator Mark called on the federal government to urgently fulfil its constitutional obligation to safeguard the lives and property of all Nigerians, stressing that citizens should never be left at the mercy of armed attackers.

 

He also charged the Benue State government, under Governor Hyacinth Alia, to scale up efforts toward restoring peace and security across troubled communities.

In his appeal for grassroots collaboration, Mark urged traditional rulers, community leaders, and other stakeholders to remain vigilant and work closely with security agencies to identify and apprehend the perpetrators of the violence.

He expressed deep solidarity with the people of Benue, encouraging them to stand united in the face of adversity.

Mark said,”This is a trying moment for our people.

“We must unite, mobilise, and speak with one voice against the invaders. We must refuse to bow to fear.”

While acknowledging the pain and provocation that victims have endured, the elder statesman urged residents to remain law-abiding and not take the law into their hands, but rather continue to exhibit the values of resilience, peace, and communal support.

“Despite the ongoing provocations, we must remain law-abiding, stay united, and uphold the enduring spirit of being our brothers’ keeper,” Mark concluded.

[Punch]

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